Bet Finder
Find the markets you want to research. Compare match estimates with stored odds, check the evidence and follow the results.
Research view incomplete — recommendations withheld
Another research sample is being prepared. This request did not repeat the full match-data read. 0 fixture IDs were examined. Counts below describe only the safely loaded sample, not every match for this day. Narrow the competition or try later; no probability or value recommendations are shown from an incomplete read.
Reads use stored data, not live bookmaker quotes. No complete stored-data sample available. Price-change history and competition totals are separate reads; records and prices can change after a sample was taken.
Choose a marketFilter goals, match results, BTTS or double chance.
Compare the evidenceCheck the estimate, price and data timestamp.
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Upcoming fixtures first, then live and finished research. Model estimates and bookmaker-derived market chances are labelled separately. Delayed, postponed and cancelled records appear last.
Probability or value? Probability describes how likely an outcome is. Value also considers its price. A high percentage alone does not make a good selection; estimates and odds can change.
About these probabilities and odds
Kickoff Edge combines recorded expected goals (xG) with opponent-adjusted team strengths. The xG model blends the recent xG signal and v3 equally, using up to ten previous matches per team, weighted toward recent performances. Both teams need at least five xG matches within six months. Where xG is unavailable, the labelled team-strength model remains in use, with recent-form fallback for limited competition history. Experimental recent-form fallbacks remain research only and are excluded from probability and value recommendation filters. Missing xG is never treated as zero. Competitive cup matches between verified domestic divisions also adjust team strength for the division gap, using earlier league appearances. The initial map covers 37 leagues in eight national pyramids; unknown or cross-country tiers are not guessed. All markets share one score distribution. These are pre-match estimates, not live forecasts or guaranteed outcomes. Historical testing showed lower overall error on the tested sample, but calibration and future performance remain under review. Odds show the highest stored price for each selection; bookmaker availability and prices can change. Additional xG and multi-source challengers are evaluated separately in the model observatory before public promotion. Bookmaker price movement is recorded from collection onwards; it does not reveal betting volume.
Research temporarily incomplete
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