Sample read started 2026-11-07T16:51:45+00:00. Complete samples are shared for at most 15 seconds; incomplete samples for at most 5 seconds. Original model and odds timestamps are unchanged; age and kickoff checks are repeated for each view.
Reads use stored data, not live bookmaker quotes. Fixture, score, model and current-price records from one read-only database snapshot. Price-change history and competition totals are separate reads; records and prices can change after a sample was taken.
01
Choose a marketFilter goals, match results, BTTS or double chance.
02
Compare the evidenceCheck the estimate, price and data timestamp.
03
Follow it throughOpen the match for context or review captured selections in the record.
Choose a shortcut, then refine the competition and minimum estimate below.
Upcoming fixtures first, then live and finished research. Model estimates and bookmaker-derived market chances are labelled separately. Delayed, postponed and cancelled records appear last.
Probability or value? Probability describes how likely an outcome is. Value also considers its price. A high percentage alone does not make a good selection; estimates and odds can change.
About these probabilities and odds
Kickoff Edge combines recorded expected goals (xG) with opponent-adjusted team strengths. The xG model blends the recent xG signal and v3 equally, using up to ten previous matches per team, weighted toward recent performances. Both teams need at least five xG matches within six months. Where xG is unavailable, the labelled team-strength model remains in use, with recent-form fallback for limited competition history. Experimental recent-form fallbacks remain research only and are excluded from probability and value recommendation filters. Missing xG is never treated as zero. Competitive cup matches between verified domestic divisions also adjust team strength for the division gap, using earlier league appearances. The initial map covers 37 leagues in eight national pyramids; unknown or cross-country tiers are not guessed. All markets share one score distribution. These are pre-match estimates, not live forecasts or guaranteed outcomes. Historical testing showed lower overall error on the tested sample, but calibration and future performance remain under review. Odds show the highest stored price for each selection; bookmaker availability and prices can change. Additional xG and multi-source challengers are evaluated separately in the model observatory before public promotion. Bookmaker price movement is recorded from collection onwards; it does not reveal betting volume.
Stored final snapshot; shootout tallies are separate.
Data availability · sources & freshness
Kickoff Edge modelStored
Existing pre-match model policy: Available. This is separate from provider predictions and bookmaker-implied chances; stored percentages alone do not establish eligibility or accuracy.
Home: stored
Draw: stored
Away: stored
Existing model policy · no recalculation in this panel. Within stored model-age check.
Model calculation: 2026-11-07T12:42:27+00:00 (UTC).
Selected-market oddsStored
A stored price exists for this selection only. It does not establish a complete market, current bookmaker availability or value.
Selected outcome: stored
Stored odds snapshot. Stored pre-match data · not a live feed.
This describes data loaded for this view, not the whole database. Unknown coverage is not unsupported coverage. A blank field is not zero or a promise that data will arrive.
Estimated chances · pre-match
Home31.2%Odds 2.68
Draw22.3%Odds 4.02
Away46.5%Odds 2.05
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
66.0%
1.341xBetProvider 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
No earlier price change found in the latest 100 recorded pre-match snapshots for this selection.
What would £100 at 1.34 mean?
Potential return £134.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £34.00. Loss if it loses: £100.
Break-even win rate: 74.6%. Displayed chance: 66.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Market
Estimate
Stored odds
Home win
31.2%
2.681xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Draw
22.3%
4.021xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away win
46.5%
2.051xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 0.5 goals
96.7%
—
Under 0.5 goals
3.3%
—
Over 1.5 goals
85.3%
—
Under 1.5 goals
14.7%
—
Over 2.5 goals
66.0%
1.341xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 2.5 goals
34.0%
2.901xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 3.5 goals
44.1%
1.951xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 3.5 goals
55.9%
1.721xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 4.5 goals
25.5%
3.281xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 4.5 goals
74.5%
1.271xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — Yes
66.1%
1.331xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — No
33.9%
2.911xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or draw
53.5%
1.591xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away or draw
68.8%
1.351xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or away
77.7%
1.141xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home team to concede
84.8%
—
Away team to concede
78.0%
—
Model status: Available · Pre-match research only; selections closed
Stored final snapshot; shootout tallies are separate.
Data availability · sources & freshness
Kickoff Edge modelStored
Existing pre-match model policy: Available. This is separate from provider predictions and bookmaker-implied chances; stored percentages alone do not establish eligibility or accuracy.
Home: stored
Draw: stored
Away: stored
Existing model policy · no recalculation in this panel. Within stored model-age check.
Model calculation: 2026-11-07T12:42:27+00:00 (UTC).
Selected-market oddsStored
A stored price exists for this selection only. It does not establish a complete market, current bookmaker availability or value.
Selected outcome: stored
Stored odds snapshot. Stored pre-match data · not a live feed.
This describes data loaded for this view, not the whole database. Unknown coverage is not unsupported coverage. A blank field is not zero or a promise that data will arrive.
Estimated chances · pre-match
Home43.8%Odds 2.11
Draw22.6%Odds 3.90
Away33.6%Odds 3.00
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
65.3%
1.47BetanoProvider 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
No earlier price change found in the latest 100 recorded pre-match snapshots for this selection.
What would £100 at 1.47 mean?
Potential return £147.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £47.00. Loss if it loses: £100.
Break-even win rate: 68.0%. Displayed chance: 65.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Market
Estimate
Stored odds
Home win
43.8%
2.11Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Draw
22.6%
3.90Dafabet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away win
33.6%
3.00Dafabet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 0.5 goals
96.5%
1.021xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 0.5 goals
3.5%
15.001xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 1.5 goals
84.9%
1.15Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 1.5 goals
15.1%
5.25Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 2.5 goals
65.3%
1.47Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 2.5 goals
34.7%
2.58Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 3.5 goals
43.3%
2.18Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 3.5 goals
56.7%
1.65Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 4.5 goals
24.9%
3.68Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 4.5 goals
75.1%
1.26Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — Yes
66.0%
1.45Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — No
34.0%
2.621xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or draw
66.4%
1.36William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away or draw
56.2%
1.72Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or away
77.4%
1.25William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home team to concede
78.9%
—
Away team to concede
83.5%
—
Model status: Available · Pre-match research only; selections closed
Stored final snapshot; shootout tallies are separate.
Data availability · sources & freshness
Kickoff Edge modelStored
Existing pre-match model policy: Available. This is separate from provider predictions and bookmaker-implied chances; stored percentages alone do not establish eligibility or accuracy.
Home: stored
Draw: stored
Away: stored
Existing model policy · no recalculation in this panel. Within stored model-age check.
Model calculation: 2026-11-07T12:42:27+00:00 (UTC).
Selected-market oddsStored
A stored price exists for this selection only. It does not establish a complete market, current bookmaker availability or value.
Selected outcome: stored
Stored odds snapshot. Stored pre-match data · not a live feed.
This describes data loaded for this view, not the whole database. Unknown coverage is not unsupported coverage. A blank field is not zero or a promise that data will arrive.
Estimated chances · pre-match
Home59.4%Odds 1.29
Draw20.3%Odds 5.35
Away20.3%Odds 6.84
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
65.0%
1.291xBetProvider 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
No earlier price change found in the latest 100 recorded pre-match snapshots for this selection.
What would £100 at 1.29 mean?
Potential return £129.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £29.00. Loss if it loses: £100.
Break-even win rate: 77.5%. Displayed chance: 65.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Market
Estimate
Stored odds
Home win
59.4%
1.291xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Draw
20.3%
5.351xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away win
20.3%
6.841xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 0.5 goals
96.5%
—
Under 0.5 goals
3.5%
—
Over 1.5 goals
84.7%
—
Under 1.5 goals
15.3%
—
Over 2.5 goals
65.0%
1.291xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 2.5 goals
35.0%
3.161xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 3.5 goals
43.0%
1.831xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 3.5 goals
57.0%
1.831xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 4.5 goals
24.6%
2.981xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 4.5 goals
75.4%
1.321xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — Yes
61.5%
1.491xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — No
38.5%
2.381xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or draw
79.7%
—
Away or draw
40.6%
2.941xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or away
79.7%
—
Home team to concede
69.6%
—
Away team to concede
88.4%
—
Model status: Available · Pre-match research only; selections closed
Stored final snapshot; shootout tallies are separate.
Data availability · sources & freshness
Kickoff Edge modelStored
Existing pre-match model policy: Available. This is separate from provider predictions and bookmaker-implied chances; stored percentages alone do not establish eligibility or accuracy.
Home: stored
Draw: stored
Away: stored
Existing model policy · no recalculation in this panel. Within stored model-age check.
Model calculation: 2026-11-07T12:42:27+00:00 (UTC).
Selected-market oddsStored
A stored price exists for this selection only. It does not establish a complete market, current bookmaker availability or value.
Selected outcome: stored
Stored odds snapshot. Stored pre-match data · not a live feed.
This describes data loaded for this view, not the whole database. Unknown coverage is not unsupported coverage. A blank field is not zero or a promise that data will arrive.
Estimated chances · pre-match
Home42.3%Odds 2.45
Draw25.6%Odds 3.45
Away32.1%Odds 2.72
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
50.6%
1.71PinnacleProvider 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
No earlier price change found in the latest 100 recorded pre-match snapshots for this selection.
What would £100 at 1.71 mean?
Potential return £171.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £71.00. Loss if it loses: £100.
Break-even win rate: 58.5%. Displayed chance: 50.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Market
Estimate
Stored odds
Home win
42.3%
2.45Dafabet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Draw
25.6%
3.45Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away win
32.1%
2.72Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 0.5 goals
93.3%
1.05Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 0.5 goals
6.7%
11.001xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 1.5 goals
75.1%
1.23Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 1.5 goals
24.9%
3.80Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 2.5 goals
50.6%
1.71Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 2.5 goals
49.4%
2.08Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 3.5 goals
28.6%
2.71Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 3.5 goals
71.4%
1.42Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 4.5 goals
13.7%
4.75Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 4.5 goals
86.3%
1.16Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — Yes
54.5%
1.57William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — No
45.5%
2.25William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or draw
67.9%
1.44William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away or draw
57.7%
1.57Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or away
74.4%
1.30William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home team to concede
71.0%
—
Away team to concede
76.8%
—
Model status: Available · Pre-match research only; selections closed
Stored final snapshot; shootout tallies are separate.
Data availability · sources & freshness
Kickoff Edge modelStored
Existing pre-match model policy: Available. This is separate from provider predictions and bookmaker-implied chances; stored percentages alone do not establish eligibility or accuracy.
Home: stored
Draw: stored
Away: stored
Existing model policy · no recalculation in this panel. Within stored model-age check.
Model calculation: 2026-11-07T12:42:27+00:00 (UTC).
Selected-market oddsStored
A stored price exists for this selection only. It does not establish a complete market, current bookmaker availability or value.
Selected outcome: stored
Stored odds snapshot. Stored pre-match data · not a live feed.
This describes data loaded for this view, not the whole database. Unknown coverage is not unsupported coverage. A blank field is not zero or a promise that data will arrive.
Estimated chances · pre-match
Home59.0%Odds 1.46
Draw23.3%Odds 4.70
Away17.7%Odds 6.52
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
48.0%
1.51PinnacleProvider 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
No earlier price change found in the latest 100 recorded pre-match snapshots for this selection.
What would £100 at 1.51 mean?
Potential return £151.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £51.00. Loss if it loses: £100.
Break-even win rate: 66.2%. Displayed chance: 48.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Market
Estimate
Stored odds
Home win
59.0%
1.46Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Draw
23.3%
4.70Dafabet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away win
17.7%
6.521xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 0.5 goals
92.5%
1.021xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 0.5 goals
7.5%
14.501xBet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 1.5 goals
73.2%
1.16Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 1.5 goals
26.8%
4.70Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 2.5 goals
48.0%
1.51Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 2.5 goals
52.0%
2.43Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 3.5 goals
26.3%
2.25Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 3.5 goals
73.7%
1.59Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 4.5 goals
12.2%
3.58Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 4.5 goals
87.8%
1.24Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — Yes
47.1%
1.65Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — No
52.9%
2.15William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or draw
82.3%
1.13Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away or draw
41.0%
2.67Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or away
76.7%
1.20William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home team to concede
56.9%
—
Away team to concede
82.7%
—
Model status: Available · Pre-match research only; selections closed
Stored final snapshot; shootout tallies are separate.
Data availability · sources & freshness
Kickoff Edge modelStored
Existing pre-match model policy: Available. This is separate from provider predictions and bookmaker-implied chances; stored percentages alone do not establish eligibility or accuracy.
Home: stored
Draw: stored
Away: stored
Existing model policy · no recalculation in this panel. Within stored model-age check.
Model calculation: 2026-11-07T12:42:27+00:00 (UTC).
Selected-market oddsStored
A stored price exists for this selection only. It does not establish a complete market, current bookmaker availability or value.
Selected outcome: stored
Stored odds snapshot. Stored pre-match data · not a live feed.
This describes data loaded for this view, not the whole database. Unknown coverage is not unsupported coverage. A blank field is not zero or a promise that data will arrive.
Estimated chances · pre-match
Home34.1%Odds 2.78
Draw30.3%Odds 3.05
Away35.5%Odds 2.60
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
33.9%
1.99PinnacleProvider 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
No earlier price change found in the latest 100 recorded pre-match snapshots for this selection.
What would £100 at 1.99 mean?
Potential return £199.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £99.00. Loss if it loses: £100.
Break-even win rate: 50.3%. Displayed chance: 33.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Market
Estimate
Stored odds
Home win
34.1%
2.78Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Draw
30.3%
3.05Dafabet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away win
35.5%
2.60Dafabet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 0.5 goals
87.2%
1.07Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 0.5 goals
12.8%
7.60Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 1.5 goals
61.0%
1.30Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 1.5 goals
39.0%
3.10Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 2.5 goals
33.9%
1.99Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 2.5 goals
66.1%
1.80Pinnacle 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 3.5 goals
15.4%
3.14Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 3.5 goals
84.6%
1.31Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Over 4.5 goals
5.8%
5.95Marathonbet 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Under 4.5 goals
94.2%
1.11Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — Yes
41.3%
1.75William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Both teams to score — No
58.7%
2.05Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or draw
64.5%
1.50Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Away or draw
65.9%
1.42Betano 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home or away
69.7%
1.36William Hill 7 Nov, 06:01 UK
Home team to concede
64.8%
—
Away team to concede
63.8%
—
Model status: Available · Pre-match research only; selections closed
FC Schweinfurt 052–1
Wacker Burghausen
Bayern München II
Bayreuth
Vilzing
Landsberg
Greuther Fürth II
Aubstadt
SpVgg Unterhaching
Schwaben Augsburg
Augsburg II
Memmingen