About these probabilities and odds Kickoff Edge combines recorded expected goals (xG) with opponent-adjusted team strengths. The xG model blends the recent xG signal and v3 equally, using up to ten previous matches per team, weighted toward recent performances. Both teams need at least five xG matches within six months. Where xG is unavailable, the labelled team-strength model remains in use, with recent-form fallback for limited competition history. Experimental recent-form fallbacks remain research only and are excluded from probability and value recommendation filters. Missing xG is never treated as zero. Competitive cup matches between verified domestic divisions also adjust team strength for the division gap, using earlier league appearances. The initial map covers 37 leagues in eight national pyramids; unknown or cross-country tiers are not guessed. All markets share one score distribution. These are pre-match estimates, not live forecasts or guaranteed outcomes. Historical testing showed lower overall error on the tested sample, but calibration and future performance remain under review. Odds show the highest stored price for each selection; bookmaker availability and prices can change. Additional xG and multi-source challengers are evaluated separately in the model observatory before public promotion. Bookmaker price movement is recorded from collection onwards; it does not reveal betting volume.
Sweden · Allsvenskan 18:00 UK
Vasteras SK FK 1–0 Djurgardens IF Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 4.20
Draw — Odds 3.75
Away — Odds 1.80
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 1.53 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 20:05 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 1.53 mean? Potential return £153.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 65.4% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
England · Non League Premier - Isthmian 19:45 UK
Carshalton Athletic 2–0 Wingate & Finchley Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 2.10
Draw — Odds 3.50
Away — Odds 2.80
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 1.67 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 16:15 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 1.67 mean? Potential return £167.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £67.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 59.9% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Romania · Liga I 19:30 UK
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–0 FCSB Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds —
Draw — Odds —
Away — Odds —
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— No stored odds for this selection.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Romania · Liga I 16:30 UK
FC Botosani 0–0 Corvinul Hunedoara Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 2.10
Draw — Odds 3.10
Away — Odds 3.10
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 2.00 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 20:58 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 2.00 mean? Potential return £200.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £100.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 50.0% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
England · League Cup 20:00 UK
Plymouth 2–0 Exeter City Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 1.42
Draw — Odds 4.75
Away — Odds 6.25
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 1.50 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 20:52 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 1.50 mean? Potential return £150.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £50.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 66.7% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Portugal · Segunda Liga 18:00 UK
Benfica B 1–0 Leixoes Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 2.10
Draw — Odds 3.25
Away — Odds 3.00
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 1.80 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 10:02 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 1.80 mean? Potential return £180.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £80.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 55.6% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Sweden · Allsvenskan 18:00 UK
Sirius 2–2 IF Brommapojkarna Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 1.30
Draw — Odds 5.25
Away — Odds 9.00
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 1.36 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 20:05 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 1.36 mean? Potential return £136.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £36.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 73.5% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Portugal · Segunda Liga 18:00 UK
Lusitânia Lourosa 2–0 FC Porto B Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 2.30
Draw — Odds 3.20
Away — Odds 2.75
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 2.05 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 21:02 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 2.05 mean? Potential return £205.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £105.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 48.8% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Bulgaria · First League 19:15 UK
Botev Plovdiv 3–2 Spartak Varna Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 1.53
Draw — Odds 4.00
Away — Odds 6.00
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 1.80 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 05:20 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 1.80 mean? Potential return £180.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £80.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 55.6% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Denmark · Superliga 18:00 UK
Silkeborg 1–0 Odense Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 2.50
Draw — Odds 3.60
Away — Odds 2.55
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 1.53 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 20:48 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 1.53 mean? Potential return £153.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 65.4% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Bulgaria · First League 17:00 UK
Botev Vratsa 0–3 Slavia Sofia Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 1.95
Draw — Odds 3.30
Away — Odds 4.00
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 2.20 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 20:49 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 2.20 mean? Potential return £220.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £120.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 45.5% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie 19:00 UK
Jong AZ 0–1 FC Eindhoven Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 2.05
Draw — Odds 3.80
Away — Odds 3.20
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 1.48 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 20:51 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 1.48 mean? Potential return £148.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £48.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 67.6% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Portugal · Primeira Liga 20:15 UK
Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 1.83
Draw — Odds 3.30
Away — Odds 4.50
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 2.15 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 17:06 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 2.15 mean? Potential return £215.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £115.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 46.5% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie 19:00 UK
Jong PSV U21 3–2 FC Volendam Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home — Odds 3.50
Draw — Odds 3.75
Away — Odds 1.95
Selected market · estimated chance Over 2.5 goals
— 1.53 Bet365Snapshot 9 Aug, 20:51 · Older than 24 hours
What would £100 at 1.53 mean? Potential return £153.00 , including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00 . Loss if it loses: £100 .
Break-even win rate: 65.4% . Displayed chance: — . This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +