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Probability or value? Probability describes how likely an outcome is. Value also considers its price. A high percentage alone does not make a good selection; estimates and odds can change.

About these probabilities and odds

Kickoff Edge combines recorded expected goals (xG) with opponent-adjusted team strengths. The xG model blends the recent xG signal and v3 equally, using up to ten previous matches per team, weighted toward recent performances. Both teams need at least five xG matches within six months. Where xG is unavailable, the labelled team-strength model remains in use, with recent-form fallback for limited competition history. Experimental recent-form fallbacks remain research only and are excluded from probability and value recommendation filters. Missing xG is never treated as zero. Competitive cup matches between verified domestic divisions also adjust team strength for the division gap, using earlier league appearances. The initial map covers 37 leagues in eight national pyramids; unknown or cross-country tiers are not guessed. All markets share one score distribution. These are pre-match estimates, not live forecasts or guaranteed outcomes. Historical testing showed lower overall error on the tested sample, but calibration and future performance remain under review. Odds show the highest stored price for each selection; bookmaker availability and prices can change. Additional xG and multi-source challengers are evaluated separately in the model observatory before public promotion. Bookmaker price movement is recorded from collection onwards; it does not reveal betting volume.

Over 2.5 goals

77 matching fixtures · 29 Sep
World · UEFA Nations League
Czechia0–2England
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home—Odds 10.00
Draw—Odds 5.90
Away—Odds 1.35
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
—
1.57BetanoSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.67 → 1.60 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.57 mean?

Potential return £157.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £57.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.7%. Displayed chance: —. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—10.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw—5.90Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win—1.35Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals—1.03Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals—18.501xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals—1.18Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals—5.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals—1.57Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals—2.50Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals—2.41Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals—1.62SBO
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals—4.33BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals—1.25Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes—1.91Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No—1.95William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw—3.60Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw—1.09Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away—1.17Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Maldon & Tiptree1–5Cray Wanderers
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home29.7%Odds 2.95
Draw20.6%Odds 4.18
Away49.7%Odds 2.15
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
73.5%
1.57Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.53 → 1.57 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.57 mean?

Potential return £157.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £57.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.7%. Displayed chance: 73.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win29.7%2.951xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw20.6%4.181xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win49.7%2.15Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals97.8%1.011xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals2.2%13.901xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals89.5%1.16Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals10.5%5.231xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals73.5%1.57Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals26.5%2.521xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals53.2%2.26Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals46.8%1.671xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals33.7%3.82Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals66.3%1.251xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes71.7%1.45Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No28.3%2.591xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw50.3%1.70William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw70.3%1.36Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away79.4%1.24Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede88.6%—
Away team to concede81.0%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Northern
Whitby Town1–2Lancaster City
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home44.4%Odds 2.76
Draw22.3%Odds 3.81
Away33.3%Odds 2.36
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
66.7%
1.771xBetSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.74 → 1.77 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.77 mean?

Potential return £177.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £77.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 56.5%. Displayed chance: 66.7%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win44.4%2.761xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw22.3%3.811xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win33.3%2.361xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals96.8%1.04Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals3.2%10.901xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals85.7%1.23Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals14.3%3.88Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals66.7%1.771xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals33.3%2.10Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals45.0%2.76Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals55.0%1.421xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals26.3%5.25Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals73.7%1.14Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes67.0%1.62William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No33.0%2.201xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw66.7%1.60Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw55.6%1.44Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away77.7%1.26Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede79.5%—
Away team to concede84.3%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Southern South
Gloucester City1–1Plymouth Parkway
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home23.6%Odds 2.20
Draw21.1%Odds 4.08
Away55.3%Odds 2.94
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
65.5%
1.581xBetSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.53 → 1.58 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.58 mean?

Potential return £158.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £58.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.3%. Displayed chance: 65.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win23.6%2.20Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw21.1%4.081xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win55.3%2.94Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals96.6%—
Under 0.5 goals3.4%13.001xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals85.0%1.17Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals15.0%4.80BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals65.5%1.581xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals34.5%2.41Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals43.5%2.331xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals56.5%1.591xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals25.0%4.10BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals75.0%1.211xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes63.5%1.45Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No36.5%2.55BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw44.7%1.40Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw76.4%1.67Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away78.9%1.30William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede87.4%—
Away team to concede72.7%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Dulwich Hamlet2–0Aveley
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home53.8%Odds 2.44
Draw21.4%Odds 4.14
Away24.8%Odds 2.49
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
65.4%
1.57Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.62 → 1.57 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.57 mean?

Potential return £157.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £57.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.7%. Displayed chance: 65.4%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win53.8%2.441xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw21.4%4.141xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win24.8%2.491xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals96.6%1.011xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals3.4%13.801xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals85.0%1.16Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals15.0%5.251xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals65.4%1.57Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals34.6%2.60Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals43.5%2.24Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals56.5%1.671xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals25.0%3.86Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals75.0%1.261xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes64.0%1.44William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No36.0%2.591xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw75.2%1.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw46.2%1.53Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away78.6%1.25Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede73.6%—
Away team to concede87.0%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League
AFC Fylde0–2Carlisle
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home54.0%Odds 2.30
Draw21.4%Odds 4.25
Away24.6%Odds 2.75
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
65.3%
1.44PinnacleSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.47 → 1.43 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.44 mean?

Potential return £144.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £44.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 69.4%. Displayed chance: 65.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win54.0%2.30William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw21.4%4.251xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win24.6%2.75Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals96.5%1.03Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals3.5%23.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals84.9%1.14Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals15.1%6.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals65.3%1.44Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals34.7%2.79Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals43.4%2.11Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals56.6%1.761xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals24.9%3.60Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals75.1%1.31Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes63.9%1.40William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No36.1%2.88Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw75.4%1.50Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw46.0%1.62Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away78.6%1.27Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede73.4%—
Away team to concede87.0%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League
Woking2–4Solihull Moors
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home68.4%Odds 1.93
Draw17.9%Odds 4.18
Away13.8%Odds 3.79
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
64.2%
1.621xBetSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.61 → 1.62 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.62 mean?

Potential return £162.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £62.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 61.7%. Displayed chance: 64.2%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win68.4%1.93Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw17.9%4.181xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win13.8%3.79Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals96.3%1.04Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals3.7%17.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals84.3%1.20Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals15.7%5.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals64.2%1.621xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals35.8%2.35Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals42.2%2.49Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals57.8%1.551xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals23.9%4.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals76.1%1.21Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes55.8%1.57Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No44.2%2.40BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw86.2%1.31Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw31.6%1.96SBO
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away82.1%1.26Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede61.7%—
Away team to concede90.5%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Southern South
Uxbridge2–1Basingstoke Town
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home64.7%Odds 1.78
Draw19.0%Odds 4.24
Away16.2%Odds 4.02
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
64.1%
1.65Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.60 → 1.65 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.65 mean?

Potential return £165.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £65.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 60.6%. Displayed chance: 64.1%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win64.7%1.78Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw19.0%4.241xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win16.2%4.021xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals96.3%—
Under 0.5 goals3.7%12.501xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals84.2%1.19Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals15.8%4.50BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals64.1%1.65Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals35.9%2.26Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals42.0%2.471xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals58.0%1.521xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals23.8%4.75BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals76.2%1.18Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes58.0%1.60William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No42.0%2.25BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw83.8%1.22William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw35.3%2.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away81.0%1.24Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede64.8%—
Away team to concede89.5%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Southern South
Bath City2–1Malvern Town
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home70.7%Odds 1.47
Draw17.1%Odds 5.02
Away12.2%Odds 6.15
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
64.0%
1.541xBetSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.49 → 1.54 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.54 mean?

Potential return £154.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £54.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 64.9%. Displayed chance: 64.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win70.7%1.47Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw17.1%5.021xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win12.2%6.151xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals96.3%—
Under 0.5 goals3.7%—
Over 1.5 goals84.1%1.15Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals15.9%5.25BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals64.0%1.541xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals36.0%2.49Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals41.9%2.251xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals58.1%1.631xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals23.7%4.10BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals76.3%1.24Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes53.9%1.62BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No46.1%2.15William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw87.8%1.14Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw29.3%2.63BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away82.9%1.20William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede59.2%—
Away team to concede90.9%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League
Yeovil Town1–1Worthing
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home42.2%Odds 2.14
Draw23.1%Odds 4.20
Away34.8%Odds 2.96
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
63.4%
1.53BetanoSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.55 → 1.53 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.53 mean?

Potential return £153.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 65.4%. Displayed chance: 63.4%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win42.2%2.14Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw23.1%4.201xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win34.8%2.96Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals96.2%1.03Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals3.8%19.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals83.8%1.17Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals16.2%5.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals63.4%1.53Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals36.6%2.63Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals41.3%2.34Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals58.7%1.691xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals23.2%4.20Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals76.8%1.261xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes64.6%1.47Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No35.4%2.70BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw65.2%1.42Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw57.8%1.72Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away76.9%1.25Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede78.7%—
Away team to concede82.1%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Dartford2–1Whitehawk
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home71.5%Odds 1.42
Draw17.0%Odds 5.49
Away11.6%Odds 7.20
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
62.9%
1.53Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.50 → 1.53 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.53 mean?

Potential return £153.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 65.4%. Displayed chance: 62.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win71.5%1.42Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw17.0%5.491xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win11.6%7.201xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals96.1%1.011xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals3.9%15.501xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals83.5%1.14Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals16.5%5.531xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals62.9%1.53Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals37.1%2.64Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals40.8%2.18Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals59.2%1.721xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals22.7%3.58Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals77.3%1.281xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes52.2%1.65William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No47.8%2.081xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw88.4%1.12Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw28.5%3.10Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away83.0%1.16Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede57.4%—
Away team to concede90.8%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Southern South
Hanworth Villa2–1Chichester City
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home61.2%Odds 1.90
Draw20.5%Odds 4.25
Away18.4%Odds 3.54
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
61.2%
1.57Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.62 → 1.57 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.57 mean?

Potential return £157.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £57.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.7%. Displayed chance: 61.2%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win61.2%1.90Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw20.5%4.251xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win18.4%3.541xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals95.8%—
Under 0.5 goals4.2%13.501xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals82.3%1.16Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals17.7%5.00BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals61.2%1.57Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals38.8%2.44Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals38.8%2.27Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals61.2%1.621xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals21.2%4.10BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals78.8%1.231xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes57.4%1.50William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No42.6%2.50BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw81.6%1.29William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw38.8%1.87Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away79.5%1.24Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede65.4%—
Away team to concede87.7%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League
Hartlepool0–1Harrogate Town
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home26.0%Odds 3.70
Draw22.9%Odds 4.16
Away51.1%Odds 1.90
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
59.1%
1.73Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.70 → 1.73 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.73 mean?

Potential return £173.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £73.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 57.8%. Displayed chance: 59.1%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win26.0%3.70BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw22.9%4.161xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win51.1%1.90Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals95.3%1.04Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals4.7%13.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals81.0%1.22Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals19.0%4.56Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals59.1%1.73Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals40.9%2.28Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals36.7%2.75Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals63.3%1.531xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals19.6%5.50Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals80.4%1.19Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes59.6%1.70Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No40.4%2.25Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw48.9%1.95Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw74.0%1.30Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away77.1%1.25Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede83.9%—
Away team to concede71.0%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Southern South
Chertsey Town1–3Poole Town
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home53.1%Odds 2.07
Draw22.7%Odds 4.10
Away24.2%Odds 3.10
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
58.5%
1.62Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.62 mean?

Potential return £162.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £62.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 61.7%. Displayed chance: 58.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win53.1%2.071xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw22.7%4.101xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win24.2%3.10Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals95.2%—
Under 0.5 goals4.8%—
Over 1.5 goals80.6%1.18Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals19.4%4.75BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals58.5%1.62Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals41.5%2.351xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals36.1%2.35Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals63.9%1.591xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals19.1%4.33BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals80.9%1.211xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes58.5%1.50Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No41.5%2.45William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw75.8%1.33BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw46.9%1.75Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away77.3%1.29William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede69.4%—
Away team to concede84.3%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League
Forest Green1–1Wealdstone
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home44.2%Odds 1.74
Draw24.0%Odds 4.50
Away31.8%Odds 4.20
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
57.8%
1.501xBetSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.51 → 1.50 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.50 mean?

Potential return £150.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £50.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 66.7%. Displayed chance: 57.8%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win44.2%1.74Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw24.0%4.501xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win31.8%4.20Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals95.1%1.03Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals4.9%19.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals80.2%1.16Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals19.8%6.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals57.8%1.501xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals42.2%2.70Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals35.4%2.23Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals64.6%1.681xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals18.6%3.80Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals81.4%1.28Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes60.0%1.50William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No40.0%2.55Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw68.2%1.25Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw55.8%2.16SBO
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away76.0%1.23Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede74.4%—
Away team to concede80.7%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
World · Gulf Cup of Nations
Saudi Arabia2–0Iraq
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home—Odds 2.25
Draw—Odds 3.32
Away—Odds 3.70
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
—
2.62PinnacleSnapshot 29 Sep, 17:38 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 2.55 → 2.62 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 2.62 mean?

Potential return £262.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £162.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 38.2%. Displayed chance: —. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—2.25Bet365
29 Sep, 17:38
Draw—3.321xBet
29 Sep, 17:38
Away win—3.70Bet365
29 Sep, 17:38
Over 0.5 goals—1.11Pinnacle
29 Sep, 17:38
Under 0.5 goals—7.50Betfair
29 Sep, 17:38
Over 1.5 goals—1.51Pinnacle
29 Sep, 17:38
Under 1.5 goals—2.60Betfair
29 Sep, 17:38
Over 2.5 goals—2.62Pinnacle
29 Sep, 17:38
Under 2.5 goals—1.541xBet
29 Sep, 17:38
Over 3.5 goals—5.11Pinnacle
29 Sep, 17:38
Under 3.5 goals—1.18Betano
29 Sep, 17:38
Over 4.5 goals—10.501xBet
29 Sep, 17:38
Under 4.5 goals—1.06Betano
29 Sep, 17:38
Both teams to score — Yes—2.10Marathonbet
29 Sep, 17:38
Both teams to score — No—1.73Betfair
29 Sep, 17:38
Home or draw—1.33Betano
29 Sep, 17:38
Away or draw—1.67Betfair
29 Sep, 17:38
Home or away—1.40Bet365
29 Sep, 17:38
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Calculated 29 Sep, 18:20 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Southern South
Evesham United2–0Chippenham Town
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home51.9%Odds 2.38
Draw23.2%Odds 3.91
Away24.9%Odds 2.71
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
56.9%
1.75Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.75 mean?

Potential return £175.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £75.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 57.1%. Displayed chance: 56.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win51.9%2.38BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw23.2%3.911xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win24.9%2.71Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals94.9%1.02BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals5.1%11.501xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals79.6%1.22Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals20.4%4.181xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals56.9%1.75Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals43.1%2.181xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals34.5%2.63Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals65.5%1.491xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals17.9%5.25BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals82.1%1.161xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes57.6%1.55William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No42.4%2.30William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw75.1%1.44Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw48.1%1.57Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away76.8%1.29Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede69.1%—
Away team to concede83.3%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Northern
AFC Emley1–3Workington
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home33.5%Odds 3.00
Draw24.4%Odds 3.98
Away42.1%Odds 2.19
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
56.6%
1.75Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.75 mean?

Potential return £175.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £75.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 57.1%. Displayed chance: 56.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win33.5%3.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw24.4%3.981xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win42.1%2.191xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals94.8%1.021xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals5.2%11.901xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals79.4%1.21Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals20.6%4.381xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals56.6%1.75Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals43.4%2.29Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals34.2%2.50Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals65.8%1.521xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals17.7%4.311xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals82.3%1.171xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes59.3%1.57Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No40.7%2.341xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw57.9%1.67Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw66.5%1.36William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away75.6%1.29Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede79.3%—
Away team to concede74.8%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Northern
Alfreton Town1–0Guiseley AFC
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home38.0%Odds 2.50
Draw24.5%Odds 3.94
Away37.4%Odds 2.52
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
56.6%
1.70Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.85 → 1.70 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.70 mean?

Potential return £170.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £70.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 58.8%. Displayed chance: 56.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win38.0%2.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw24.5%3.941xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win37.4%2.521xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals94.8%1.04Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals5.2%11.501xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals79.3%1.21Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals20.7%4.321xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals56.6%1.70Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals43.4%2.23Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals34.2%2.56Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals65.8%1.511xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals17.7%4.70Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals82.3%1.171xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes59.5%1.55Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No40.5%2.341xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw62.6%1.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw62.0%1.53William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away75.5%1.29Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede77.0%—
Away team to concede77.3%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League - South
Slough Town1–1Ebbsfleet United
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home20.3%Odds 5.80
Draw22.5%Odds 4.88
Away57.2%Odds 1.50
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
54.9%
1.57Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.53 → 1.57 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.57 mean?

Potential return £157.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £57.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.7%. Displayed chance: 54.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win20.3%5.801xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw22.5%4.881xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win57.2%1.50Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals94.4%1.02Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals5.6%17.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals78.2%1.17Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals21.8%5.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals54.9%1.57Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals45.1%2.55Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals32.5%2.38Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals67.5%1.601xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals16.4%4.10BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals83.6%1.22Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes53.9%1.73Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No46.1%2.20William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw42.8%2.75Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw79.7%1.14William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away77.5%1.18William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede84.4%—
Away team to concede63.8%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League
Barrow3–0Scunthorpe
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home48.3%Odds 2.14
Draw24.2%Odds 4.08
Away27.5%Odds 3.20
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
54.4%
1.67BetanoSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.72 → 1.67 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.67 mean?

Potential return £167.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £67.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 59.9%. Displayed chance: 54.4%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win48.3%2.14Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw24.2%4.081xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win27.5%3.20Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals94.3%1.04Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals5.7%17.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals77.9%1.22Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals22.1%5.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals54.4%1.67Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals45.6%2.38Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals32.1%2.57Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals67.9%1.581xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals16.2%4.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals83.8%1.21Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes56.5%1.57Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No43.5%2.45BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw72.5%1.37Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw51.7%1.75Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away75.8%1.28Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede69.8%—
Away team to concede81.0%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League
Gateshead0–1Altrincham
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home18.9%Odds 5.02
Draw22.4%Odds 4.43
Away58.7%Odds 1.63
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
53.5%
1.67PinnacleSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.65 → 1.62 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.67 mean?

Potential return £167.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £67.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 59.9%. Displayed chance: 53.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win18.9%5.02Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw22.4%4.431xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win58.7%1.631xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals94.0%1.04Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals6.0%15.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals77.2%1.22Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals22.8%4.80Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals53.5%1.67Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals46.5%2.23Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals31.2%2.64Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals68.8%1.521xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals15.5%5.00BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals84.5%1.18Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes52.0%1.73Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No48.0%2.10Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw41.3%2.38Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw81.1%1.21Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away77.6%1.22William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede84.5%—
Away team to concede61.5%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Northern
Ilkeston Town0–1Rylands
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home27.4%Odds 3.10
Draw25.1%Odds 3.95
Away47.5%Odds 2.11
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
50.6%
1.73Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.80 → 1.73 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.73 mean?

Potential return £173.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £73.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 57.8%. Displayed chance: 50.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win27.4%3.101xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw25.1%3.951xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win47.5%2.111xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals93.3%1.021xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals6.7%12.401xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals75.1%1.21Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals24.9%4.141xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals50.6%1.73Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals49.4%2.18Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals28.6%2.64Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals71.4%1.481xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals13.7%4.65Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals86.3%1.16Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes53.6%1.57William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No46.4%2.221xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw52.5%1.72Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw72.6%1.36Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away74.9%1.25Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede79.2%—
Away team to concede67.7%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
World · UEFA Nations League
Spain4–1Croatia
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home—Odds 1.27
Draw—Odds 8.00
Away—Odds 13.00
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
—
1.42PinnacleSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.45 → 1.44 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.42 mean?

Potential return £142.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £42.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 70.4%. Displayed chance: —. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—1.271xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw—8.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win—13.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals—1.03Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals—23.001xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals—1.13Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals—7.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals—1.42Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals—3.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals—2.141xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals—1.82SBO
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals—3.50BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals—1.35Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes—2.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No—1.91William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw—1.06Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw—4.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away—1.131xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League - North
Brackley Town3–2South Shields
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home27.6%Odds 3.84
Draw25.6%Odds 4.01
Away46.8%Odds 1.91
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
48.7%
1.771xBetSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.78 → 1.77 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.77 mean?

Potential return £177.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £77.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 56.5%. Displayed chance: 48.7%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win27.6%3.841xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw25.6%4.011xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win46.8%1.91Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals92.7%1.04Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals7.3%11.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals73.7%1.22Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals26.3%4.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals48.7%1.771xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals51.3%2.10Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals26.9%2.88Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals73.1%1.43Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals12.6%5.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals87.4%1.15Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes52.2%1.73Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No47.8%2.20Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw53.2%1.98Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw72.4%1.25Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away74.4%1.30William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede78.1%—
Away team to concede66.8%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League
FC Halifax Town1–1Boston United
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home44.7%Odds 2.12
Draw26.1%Odds 3.90
Away29.2%Odds 3.25
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
47.7%
1.74PinnacleSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.73 → 1.74 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.74 mean?

Potential return £174.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £74.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 57.5%. Displayed chance: 47.7%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win44.7%2.12Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw26.1%3.901xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win29.2%3.25Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals92.4%1.05Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals7.6%13.00Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals72.9%1.24Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals27.1%4.18Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals47.7%1.74Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals52.3%2.12Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals26.0%2.88Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals74.0%1.451xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals12.0%5.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals88.0%1.17Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes51.8%1.62William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No48.2%2.25Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw70.8%1.36Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw55.3%1.80Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away73.9%1.27Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede67.5%—
Away team to concede76.7%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern
SpVgg Unterhaching2–2Buchbach
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home44.4%Odds 1.99
Draw26.1%Odds 3.85
Away29.4%Odds 3.10
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
47.5%
1.40PinnacleSnapshot 29 Sep, 13:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.40 mean?

Potential return £140.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £40.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 71.4%. Displayed chance: 47.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win44.4%1.99Pinnacle
29 Sep, 13:00
Draw26.1%3.85Betano
29 Sep, 13:00
Away win29.4%3.10Betano
29 Sep, 13:00
Over 0.5 goals92.4%—
Under 0.5 goals7.6%—
Over 1.5 goals72.7%1.13Betano
29 Sep, 13:00
Under 1.5 goals27.3%4.50Betano
29 Sep, 13:00
Over 2.5 goals47.5%1.40Pinnacle
29 Sep, 13:00
Under 2.5 goals52.5%2.77Pinnacle
29 Sep, 13:00
Over 3.5 goals25.8%1.95Betano
29 Sep, 13:00
Under 3.5 goals74.2%1.88Pinnacle
29 Sep, 13:00
Over 4.5 goals11.9%3.00Betano
29 Sep, 13:00
Under 4.5 goals88.1%1.29Betano
29 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — Yes51.7%1.39Betano
29 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — No48.3%3.00William Hill
29 Sep, 13:00
Home or draw70.6%1.35William Hill
29 Sep, 13:00
Away or draw55.6%1.80Betano
29 Sep, 13:00
Home or away73.9%1.25William Hill
29 Sep, 13:00
Home team to concede67.6%—
Away team to concede76.5%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 17:50 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
World · Friendlies
Australia2–4Brazil
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home—Odds 9.15
Draw—Odds 5.43
Away—Odds 1.39
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
—
1.641xBetSnapshot 29 Sep, 09:05 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.50 → 1.64 same bookmaker · observed price change

The statistical estimate is under quality review. Market chances, where shown, come from stored bookmaker odds and do not establish value.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—9.151xBet
29 Sep, 09:05
Draw—5.431xBet
29 Sep, 09:05
Away win—1.39Betano
29 Sep, 09:05
Over 0.5 goals—1.04Betano
29 Sep, 09:05
Under 0.5 goals—15.501xBet
29 Sep, 09:05
Over 1.5 goals—1.20Pinnacle
29 Sep, 09:05
Under 1.5 goals—4.80Betfair
29 Sep, 09:05
Over 2.5 goals—1.641xBet
29 Sep, 09:05
Under 2.5 goals—2.421xBet
29 Sep, 09:05
Over 3.5 goals—2.53Pinnacle
29 Sep, 09:05
Under 3.5 goals—1.57Betano
29 Sep, 09:05
Over 4.5 goals—4.50Betfair
29 Sep, 09:05
Under 4.5 goals—1.24Betano
29 Sep, 09:05
Both teams to score — Yes—1.85Betfair
29 Sep, 09:05
Both teams to score — No—1.95Betano
29 Sep, 09:05
Home or draw—3.341xBet
29 Sep, 09:05
Away or draw—1.10Bet365
29 Sep, 09:05
Home or away—1.191xBet
29 Sep, 09:05
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Calculated 29 Sep, 10:36 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · National League
Boreham Wood3–1Kidderminster Harriers
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home51.6%Odds 1.43
Draw25.2%Odds 5.29
Away23.2%Odds 7.78
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
47.0%
1.55PinnacleSnapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.53 → 1.54 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.55 mean?

Potential return £155.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £55.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 64.5%. Displayed chance: 47.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win51.6%1.43Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw25.2%5.291xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win23.2%7.78Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals92.2%1.03Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals7.8%17.00Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals72.3%1.17Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals27.7%5.50Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals47.0%1.55Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals53.0%2.55Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals25.4%2.34Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals74.6%1.621xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals11.6%4.10BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals88.4%1.26Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes49.4%1.75William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No50.6%2.05Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw76.8%1.12Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw48.4%3.05Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away74.8%1.18Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede62.2%—
Away team to concede79.4%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 18:52 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →
England · Non League Premier - Southern South
Havant & Wville1–1Hanwell Town
Match Finished
Match research · stored prices and team context
Home43.5%Odds 2.27
Draw26.5%Odds 4.01
Away30.0%Odds 2.79
Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals
46.3%
1.65Bet365Snapshot 29 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.73 → 1.65 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.65 mean?

Potential return £165.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £65.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 60.6%. Displayed chance: 46.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win43.5%2.27Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Draw26.5%4.011xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Away win30.0%2.791xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals92.0%1.011xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals8.0%13.001xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals71.8%1.19Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals28.2%4.581xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals46.3%1.65Bet365
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals53.7%2.30Pinnacle
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals24.8%2.42Marathonbet
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals75.2%1.561xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals11.2%4.60BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals88.8%1.191xBet
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes50.9%1.50William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No49.1%2.45BetVictor
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw70.0%1.44Betfair
29 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw56.5%1.60Betano
29 Sep, 19:00
Home or away73.5%1.30William Hill
29 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede67.4%—
Away team to concede75.5%—
Calculated 29 Sep, 19:24 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →