Saturday, 3 October · A likely outcome needs a good price too.
No qualifying value candidates in this view. Use the match research below; a short price alone is not an edge.
No recommendation — prices need checking
44.0% model estimate
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: SG Wattenscheid 09 to win (44.0%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No recommendation — prices need checking
74.1% model estimate · odds 1.25
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Cittadella to win (54.3%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.52 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
73.3% model estimate · odds 1.34
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Gubbio to win (42.7%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 74.6%. Policy price: 1.54 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
71.8% model estimate · odds 1.32
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Forli to win (38.7%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 75.8%. Policy price: 1.58 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
76.2% model estimate · odds 1.33
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Cavese to win (46.4%).
Stored at BetVictor. Break-even: 75.2%. Policy price: 1.48 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
74.3% model estimate · odds 1.31
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Sorrento to win (48.6%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 76.3%. Policy price: 1.52 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No recommendation — prices need checking
70.3% market-implied chance · odds 1.36
Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable
Likeliest match result: Finland to win (39.2%).
Stored at Marathonbet. Break-even: 73.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 03:51 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No recommendation — prices need checking
54.1% model estimate
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Phönix Lübeck to win (54.1%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No recommendation — prices need checking
59.8% model estimate · odds 2.10
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Livingston to win (58.2%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 47.6%. Policy price: 1.92 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
72.8% model estimate · odds 1.25
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Raith Rovers to win (50.9%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.55 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
76.7% model estimate · odds 1.97
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Partick to win (48.9%).
Stored at Pinnacle. Break-even: 50.8%. Policy price: 1.47 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
76.4% model estimate · odds 1.30
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Cheltenham to win (39.5%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.48 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
49.2% model estimate
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Barnet to win (49.2%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.5% model estimate · odds 1.30
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Bristol Rovers to win (43.4%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.49 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
72.1% model estimate · odds 1.33
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Exeter City to win (37.1%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 75.2%. Policy price: 1.57 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.0% model estimate · odds 1.29
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Gillingham to win (48.4%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 77.5%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
79.2% model estimate · odds 1.25
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Grimsby to win (63.5%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.42 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
74.8% model estimate · odds 1.31
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Rochdale to win (45.7%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 76.3%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.9% model estimate · odds 1.28
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Salford City to win (53.7%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 78.1%. Policy price: 1.49 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
74.0% model estimate · odds 1.28
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Huddersfield to win (44.1%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 78.1%. Policy price: 1.53 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.8% model estimate · odds 1.30
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Plymouth to win (43.5%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.49 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.0% model estimate · odds 1.40
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Reading to win (48.0%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 71.4%. Policy price: 1.50 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
74.8% model estimate · odds 1.26
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Aldershot Town to win (42.5%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 79.4%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.5% model estimate · odds 1.28
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Barrow to win (50.2%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 78.1%. Policy price: 1.49 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
60.7% model estimate · odds 1.40
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Boreham Wood to win (60.5%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 71.4%. Policy price: 1.89 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
176 scheduled matches: 135 with usable models, 18 with market fallback, 23 awaiting usable data. 1 models held for disagreement review. Counts cover this date and competition; rows are paginated.
Policy value-buffer-v1 compares match result, over/under 2.5, BTTS and double chance. It subtracts five percentage points from the model probability, requires a 5% estimated return after that buffer, and minimum odds of 1.25. Models must be within 24 hours; odds collected within 30 minutes and updated within three hours. These thresholds are a policy, not proof of calibration or profit. No guaranteed outcomes.