Saturday, 3 October · A likely outcome needs a good price too.
4 value candidates pass the current policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.5% model estimate · odds 1.28
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Barrow to win (50.2%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 78.1%. Policy price: 1.49 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
60.7% model estimate · odds 1.40
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Boreham Wood to win (60.5%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 71.4%. Policy price: 1.89 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
74.9% model estimate · odds 1.29
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Woking to win (38.7%).
Stored at BetVictor. Break-even: 77.5%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
62.2% model estimate · odds 1.53
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Worthing to win (62.2%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 65.4%. Policy price: 1.84 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
77.9% model estimate · odds 1.25
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Harrogate Town to win (55.9%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.45 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.1% model estimate · odds 1.29
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Tamworth to win (39.1%).
Stored at BetVictor. Break-even: 77.5%. Policy price: 1.50 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
77.7% model estimate · odds 1.45
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Kidderminster Harriers to win (51.0%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 69.0%. Policy price: 1.45 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.4% model estimate · odds 1.27
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Forest Green to win (38.0%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 78.7%. Policy price: 1.50 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
76.3% model estimate · odds 1.28
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: FC Halifax Town to win (48.4%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 78.1%. Policy price: 1.48 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
77.6% model estimate · odds 1.25
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Southend to win (45.8%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.45 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
74.7% model estimate · odds 1.28
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Yeovil Town to win (44.9%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 78.1%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
42.2% model estimate
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Memmingen to win (42.2%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
No usable forecast · Our model: experimental — not eligible for recommendations
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
Experimental fallback: data and predictive performance are not verified for recommendations.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No recommendation — prices need checking
73.8% model estimate · odds 1.57
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Burgess Hill Town to win (66.0%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 63.7%. Policy price: 1.53 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
79.4% model estimate · odds 1.25
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Ramsgate to win (58.4%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.42 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
85.4% model estimate · odds 1.26
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Welling United to win (67.6%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 79.4%. Policy price: 1.31 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
58.8% model estimate
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Lewes to win (58.8%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
79.3% model estimate · odds 1.25
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Bamber Bridge to win (43.8%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.42 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.5% model estimate · odds 1.25
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Hyde United to win (39.7%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.50 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
79.9% model estimate · odds 1.27
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Lancaster City to win (56.3%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 78.7%. Policy price: 1.41 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.0% model estimate · odds 1.26
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Redcar Athletic to win (48.4%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 79.4%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
52.3% model estimate · odds 1.54
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Rylands to win (52.3%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 64.9%. Policy price: 2.23 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
76.7% model estimate · odds 1.29
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Cleethorpes Town to win (49.1%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 77.5%. Policy price: 1.47 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
55.9% model estimate · odds 1.74
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Poole Town to win (55.9%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 57.5%. Policy price: 2.07 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
74.2% model estimate · odds 1.26
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Yate Town to win (38.0%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 79.4%. Policy price: 1.52 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No qualifying value at this price
66.7% market-implied chance · odds 1.46
Bookmaker market · Our model: under review
Likeliest match result: Brazil to win (91.9%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 68.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 05:11 UK. Within price-age checks.
Model and bookmaker reference differ by at least 30 percentage points.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No recommendation — prices need checking
66.0% market-implied chance · odds 1.44
Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable
Likeliest match result: Chorley to win (66.0%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 69.4%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No recommendation — prices need checking
72.9% model estimate · odds 1.30
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Brackley Town to win (39.8%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.55 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
70.5% model estimate · odds 1.53
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Bury to win (61.1%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 65.4%. Policy price: 1.61 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
78.3% model estimate · odds 1.25
Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available
Likeliest match result: Bury Town to win (47.0%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.44 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
176 scheduled matches: 135 with usable models, 21 with market fallback, 20 awaiting usable data. 1 models held for disagreement review. Counts cover this date and competition; rows are paginated.
Policy value-buffer-v1 compares match result, over/under 2.5, BTTS and double chance. It subtracts five percentage points from the model probability, requires a 5% estimated return after that buffer, and minimum odds of 1.25. Models must be within 24 hours; odds collected within 30 minutes and updated within three hours. These thresholds are a policy, not proof of calibration or profit. No guaranteed outcomes.