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KICKOFFEDGE
EVIDENCE OVER TIME

Decision record

Original pre-match decisions, with later revisions kept separately.

ORIGINAL RECORD

Almere City FC v FC Volendam

Captured 2 Oct 2026 03:00 UK · kickoff 3 Oct 19:00 UK

No recommendation — prices need checking at capture time. This is a historical record, not a current betting instruction.

Either team to win (no draw) · 79.0% · stored price 1.25 at William Hill

Kickoff Edge model · model xg-blend-v1 · policy value-buffer-v2

Odds updated 1 Oct 21:28 UK. Model calculated 2 Oct 03:00 UK.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Open the match

Prospective results

One fixed cohort: the first qualifying value candidate recorded for each fixture and policy, from the recorder’s launch onwards. Later selections do not replace it. Every captured loss and void stays in the cohort. One virtual unit per candidate, at its original stored price; availability is not guaranteed. This is not a backtest or a record of real bets.

Policy / modelCandidatesWonLostVoidPendingNet unitsROI
value-buffer-v2 / strength-tier-v42026-10-01 to 2026-10-01900090.00—
value-buffer-v2 / xg-blend-v12026-09-29 to 2026-10-0111100101.90190.0%
value-buffer-v2 / opponent-shrink-dc-v32026-09-28 to 2026-10-02521070351.7210.1%

ROI uses settled wins and losses only; voids return the unit stake. Pending fixtures remain visible. Results use confirmed regulation-time scores, with corrections appended for 30 days after kickoff. Unresolved postponements remain pending for review. Small samples and model uncertainty limit what any return figure tells us.

Latest captured decisions

Includes no-value decisions and market fallbacks; these are not counted as value bets in the results above.

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  3. Montenegro U19 v Israel U19 · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:12 UK
  4. Albania U19 v Lithuania U19 · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:12 UK
  5. Congo DR v Uganda · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:12 UK
  6. Wales U19 v Norway U19 · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:12 UK
  7. Brentwood Town v Dagenham & Redbridge · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:06 UK
  8. Kettering Town v Worcester City · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  9. Thame United v Eastbourne Borough · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  10. Uxbridge v Hungerford Town · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  11. Gainsborough Trinity v Anstey Nomads · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  12. Guiseley AFC v Bradford (Park Avenue) · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  13. Leiston v Coventry United · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  14. Cray Wanderers v Chippenham Town · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  15. Worksop Town v United of Manchester · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  16. Dorking Wanderers v Chatham Town · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  17. Harborough Town v St Albans City · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  18. Marine v Warrington Town · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  19. Bedford Town v Wingate & Finchley · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  20. AFC Rushden & Diamonds v Braintree · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  21. Morecambe v Darlington 1883 · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  22. Cambridge City v Alvechurch · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  23. Buxton v South Shields · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  24. Bury v Bromsgrove Sporting · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  25. Bury Town v Spalding United · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  26. Hanwell Town v Dover · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  27. Chesham United v Real Bedford · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  28. Leatherhead v Hanworth Villa · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  29. Brackley Town v Chelmsford City · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK
  30. Ebbsfleet United v Sholing · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:05 UK