ORIGINAL RECORDBosnia & Herzegovina v Sweden
Captured 2 Oct 2026 00:22 UK · kickoff 2 Oct 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking at capture time. This is a historical record, not a current betting instruction.
Either team to win (no draw) · 73.0% · stored price 1.32 at Marathonbet
Bookmaker market · model consistent-poisson-v2 · policy value-buffer-v2
Odds updated 1 Oct 21:18 UK. Model calculated 2 Oct 00:22 UK.
Experimental fallback: data and predictive performance are not verified for recommendations.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
Open the matchProspective results
One fixed cohort: the first qualifying value candidate recorded for each fixture and policy, from the recorder’s launch onwards. Later selections do not replace it. Every captured loss and void stays in the cohort. One virtual unit per candidate, at its original stored price; availability is not guaranteed. This is not a backtest or a record of real bets.
| Policy / model | Candidates | Won | Lost | Void | Pending | Net units | ROI |
|---|
| value-buffer-v2 / strength-tier-v42026-10-01 to 2026-10-01 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.00 | — |
|---|
| value-buffer-v2 / xg-blend-v12026-09-29 to 2026-10-01 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1.90 | 190.0% |
|---|
| value-buffer-v2 / opponent-shrink-dc-v32026-09-28 to 2026-10-01 | 45 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 1.72 | 10.1% |
|---|
ROI uses settled wins and losses only; voids return the unit stake. Pending fixtures remain visible. Results use confirmed regulation-time scores, with corrections appended for 30 days after kickoff. Unresolved postponements remain pending for review. Small samples and model uncertainty limit what any return figure tells us.