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Peru vs Paraguay match centre

Peru badgePeruHome · 9 in league
WLDDL
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Paraguay badgeParaguayAway · 6 in league
WDW
Momentum↘ Falling78/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Galarza78′
Estadio Nacional · LimaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PeruParaguay
6Corner Kicks7
6Fouls12
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
509Total passes426
422Passes accurate339

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Peru 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Paraguay 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Peru

2/10Wins
0.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Peru’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Paraguay

2/3Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Paraguay’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Peru at home with Paraguay away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification South America · 2026/27 · all league matches

PeruParaguay
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Peru at home with Paraguay away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Peru

Confirmed formation4-5-1Óscar Manuel Ibáñez Holzmann
  1. 1P. GalleseG
  2. 17L. AdvinculaD
  3. 5C. ZambranoD
  4. 15R. GarcesD
  5. 4M. LopezD
  6. 23J. GrimaldoM
  7. 10S. PenaM
  8. 13R. TapiaM
  9. 19Y. YotunM
  10. 7K. G. Cabrera NakamuraM
  11. 9L. RamosF
Substitutes (12)

12 · C. Caceda

21 · D. Enriquez

2 · L. Abram

3 · E. Noriega

6 · P. Cari

8 · J. Concha

11 · J. Rivera

14 · J. Pretell

16 · C. Gonzales

18 · C. Inga

20 · O. Sonne

22 · K. Quevedo

Paraguay

Confirmed formation4-4-2Gustavo Julio Alfaro
  1. 22O. GillG
  2. 2G. VelazquezD
  3. 15G. GomezD
  4. 3O. AldereteD
  5. 6A. SandezD
  6. 7R. SosaM
  7. 8D. GomezM
  8. 16D. BobadillaM
  9. 11Angel RomeroM
  10. 9A. SanabriaF
  11. 21R. MartinezF
Substitutes (12)

1 · Carlos Coronel

12 · R. Fernandez

4 · J. Caceres

5 · A. Duarte

10 · Kaku

13 · L. Romero

14 · B. Riveros

17 · A. Alcaraz

18 · A. Arce

19 · G. Avalos

20 · B. Ojeda

23 · M. Galarza

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Peru

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Pedro Gallese956.6———29—
Luis Advíncula857.2——1401
Carlos Zambrano956.9——1652
Renzo Garcés846.9———551
Marcos López957.2———333
Joao Grimaldo957.2——1282
Sergio Peña807.3——2552
Renato Tapia957.2——3742
Yoshimar Yotún627.3———38—
Kenji Cabrera626.7———84
Luis Ramos956.9———171
Kevin Quevedo336.5———15—
Jairo Concha336.6——132—
Piero Cari156.3———6—
Erick Noriega116.7———10—
Oliver Sonne106.6———43
Diego Enríquez———————
Carlos Cáceda———————
César Inga———————
Luis Abram———————
Jesús Pretell———————
Christofer Gonzáles———————
José Rivera———————

Paraguay

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Orlando Gill957.3———12—
Gustavo Velázquez687.0——1262
Gustavo Gómez957.2———562
Omar Alderete957.3——246—
Agustín Sández956.7———30—
Ramón Sosa956.9——1231
Diego Gómez747.2——1503
Damián Bobadilla957.2———694
Ángel Romero456.3———231
Antonio Sanabria696.7———191
Ronaldo Martinez456.3———9—
Matías Galarza507.31—1133
Alejandro Romero506.6———262
Juan Cáceres277.2—1—71
Gabriel Ávalos266.6———61
Braian Ojeda216.6———111
Gatito Fernández———————
Carlos Coronel———————
Alexis Duarte———————
Blás Riveros———————
Lucas Romero———————
Alex Arce———————
Adrián Alcaraz———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification South America table

League centre ↗

Current standings · WC Qualification South America. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Argentina18122431102138
LWDWW
2Ecuador18882145929
WDDDD
3Colombia1877428181028
WWDDD
4Uruguay1877422121028
DWWLD
5Brazil188462417728
LWWDL
6Paraguay187741410428
WDLWD
7Bolivia1862101735-1820
WLWLD
8Venezuela184681828-1018
LLLWW
9Peru182610621-1512
LLDDL
10Chile182511927-1811
DLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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