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La LigaMatchweek 36THE MATCH CENTRE

Alaves vs Valencia match centre

Alaves badgeAlavesHome
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Valencia badgeValenciaAway
W
Momentum→ Limited sample100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Joan Jordán79′ (pen)
Estadio de Mendizorroza · Vitoria-GasteizSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AlavesValencia
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Alaves 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Valencia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Alaves

1/2Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Alaves’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Valencia

1/3Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Valencia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Alaves at home with Valencia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:43 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2024/25 · all league matches

AlavesValencia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Alaves at home with Valencia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Alaves

3wins
1 draw

Valencia

1wins

Jul 2023 – Dec 2024 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Alaves first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Alaves

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1E. Coudet
  1. 1Antonio SiveraG
  2. 14N. TenagliaD
  3. 2F. GarcésD
  4. 12S. MouriñoD
  5. 3Manu SánchezD
  6. 8Antonio BlancoM
  7. 7Carlos VicenteM
  8. 18Jon GuridiM
  9. 6Ander GuevaraM
  10. 21Carles AleñáM
  11. 17Kike GarcíaF
Substitutes (12)

24 · Joan Jordán

23 · C. Benavídez

10 · T. Conechny

11 · Toni Martínez

36 · Adrián Pica

19 · Pau Cabanes

13 · Jesús Owono

9 · Asier Villalibre

31 · A. Rodríguez

15 · Carlos Martín

4 · A. Sedlar

16 · Hugo Novoa

Valencia

Confirmed formation4-4-2Carlos Corberan
  1. 25G. MamardashviliG
  2. 3Cristhian MosqueraD
  3. 15César TárregaD
  4. 4M. DiakhabyD
  5. 14José GayàD
  6. 22Luis RiojaM
  7. 18PepeluM
  8. 5E. BarrenecheaM
  9. 16Diego LópezM
  10. 11Rafa MirF
  11. 9Hugo DuroF
Substitutes (12)

17 · Iván Jaime

12 · U. Sadiq

23 · Fran Pérez

7 · Sergi Canós

19 · M. Aarons

6 · Hugo Guillamón

31 · Rubén Iranzo

47 · Lucas Nuñez

1 · Jaume Doménech

13 · S. Dimitrievski

24 · Yarek Gąsiorowski

21 · Jesús Vázquez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Alaves

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Antonio Sivera907.3—0—26—
Nahuel Tenaglia907.9—01364
Facundo Garcés907.3—0—272
Santiago Mouriño907.6—0134—
Manuel Sánchez907.2—0—223
Antonio Blanco846.3—0—43—
Carlos Vicente906.9—0141—
Jon Guridi656.5—0118—
Ander Guevara906.9—0—411
Carles Aleñá897.2—0218—
Kike García896.5—0116—
Joan Jordán257.210110—
Carlos Benavídez126.3—0—3—
Tomás Conechny1——0———
Toni Martínez1——0—2—
Adrián Rodríguez———————
Jesús Owono———————
Aleksandar Sedlar———————
Adrián Pica———————
Hugo Novoa Ramos———————
Carlos Martín———————
Asier Villalibre———————
Pau Cabanes De La Torre———————

Valencia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Giorgi Mamardashvili907.7—0—33—
Cristhian Mosquera906.7—0—561
César Tárrega906.9—0167—
Mouctar Diakhaby846.9—0159—
José Luis Gayà907.2—0—391
Luis Rioja787.3—0127—
Pepelu907.2—0—551
Enzo Barrenechea907.3—0—562
Diego López656.3—0121—
Rafa Mir847.0—0229—
Hugo Duro656.3—0—9—
Iván Jaime256.9—014—
Umar Sadiq256.2—0—5—
Fran Pérez126.3—0—4—
Max Aarons126.3—0—8—
Sergi Canós126.6—013—
Stole Dimitrievski———————
Jaume Doménech———————
Yarek Gasiorowski———————
Jesús Vázquez———————
Rubén Iranzo———————
Lucas Núñez———————
Hugo Guillamón———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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