Skip to content
League TwoMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Newport County vs Swindon Town match centre

Newport County badgeNewport CountyHome
WW
Momentum→ Limited sample100/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Swindon Town badgeSwindon TownAway
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
K. Hudlin12′
H. Smith15′
J. Westley75′
Rodney Parade · CasnewyddSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Newport CountySwindon Town
3Corner Kicks7
13Fouls12
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
337Total passes295
239Passes accurate201

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Newport County 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Swindon Town 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Newport County

1/4Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Newport County’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Swindon Town

1/4Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Swindon Town’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Newport County at home with Swindon Town away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:45 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Two · 2024/25 · all league matches

Newport CountySwindon Town
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Newport County at home with Swindon Town away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Newport County

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Nélson Jardim
  1. 1N. TownsendG
  2. 26C. EvansD
  3. 5J. ClarkeD
  4. 4M. BakerD
  5. 28T. DaviesD
  6. 17K. EvansM
  7. 19S. McLoughlinM
  8. 44D. AjiboyeM
  9. 14K. WhitmoreM
  10. 7B. KamwaM
  11. 25K. HudlinF
Substitutes (7)

8 · J. Martin

9 · C. Baker-Richardson

21 · M. Spellman

10 · O. Greaves

36 · L. Webb

12 · J. Thomas

11 · C. Antwi

Swindon Town

Confirmed formation4-3-2-1I. Holloway
  1. 1J. BycroftG
  2. 2T. SobowaleD
  3. 5W. WrightD
  4. 4R. DelaneyD
  5. 27G. CoxD
  6. 8O. ClarkeM
  7. 18G. KilkennyM
  8. 6N. OfoborhM
  9. 23A. DrinanM
  10. 17T. NicholsM
  11. 10H. SmithF
Substitutes (7)

25 · J. Westley

7 · J. Cotterill

21 · K. Tshimanga

16 · J. Cain

12 · D. Barden

22 · D. Butterworth

9 · P. Glatzel

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Newport County

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nick Townsend906.6—0—35—
Cameron Evans906.9—02342
James Clarke906.7—0—291
Matthew Baker906.6—0—37—
Thomas Davies906.9—0—394
Kieron Evans906.9—01486
Shane McLoughlin906.9—0—322
David Ajiboye866.3—0113—
Kai Whitmore596.3—0—171
Bobby Kamwa906.5—0—21—
Kyle Hudlin597.310114—
Josh Martin316.6—0—10—
Courtney Baker-Richardson316.6—017—
Michael Spellman116.3—0—1—
Lewis Webb———————
Joe Thomas———————
Cameron Antwi———————
Oliver Greaves———————

Swindon Town

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jack Bycroft907.0—0—34—
Tunmise Sobowale906.9—0—222
Will Wright906.9—0—34—
Ryan Delaney906.9—0—26—
George Cox866.6—0—183
Ollie Clarke907.3—01234
Gavin Kilkenny907.0—0137—
Nnamdi Ofoborh726.7—0128—
Aaron Drinan907.3—02202
Tom Nichols636.9—0—152
Harry Smith868.010325—
Joe Westley277.210131
Joel Cotterill186.6—0—81
Jake Cain116.3—0—1—
Kabongo Tshimanga116.7—0—1—
Daniel Barden———————
Daniel Butterworth———————
Paul Glatzel———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

League Two table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →