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Serie AMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Lecce vs AC Milan match centre

Lecce badgeLecceHome
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
2:3
UK time · Europe/London
AC Milan badgeAC MilanAway
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
N. Krstovi?7′
N. Krstovi?59′
A. Gallo68′ (og)
C. Puliši?73′ (pen)
C. Puliši?81′
Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare · LecceSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
LecceAC Milan
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lecce 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

AC Milan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Lecce

0/1Wins
0.0Goals / game
3.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Lecce’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

AC Milan

1/1Wins
3.0Goals / game
0.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect AC Milan’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Lecce

1 matches
Oldest newest
Results0 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game0.0
Goals conceded per game3.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 1
Both teams scored0 of 1

Only a few results are available.

See results

AC Milan

1 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.0
Goals conceded per game0.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 1
Both teams scored0 of 1

Only a few results are available.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lecce at home with AC Milan away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 12:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2024/25 · all league matches

LecceAC Milan
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lecce at home with AC Milan away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lecce

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1M. Giampaolo
  1. 30W. FalconeG
  2. 12F. GuilbertD
  3. 6F. BaschirottoD
  4. 19G. JeanD
  5. 25A. GalloD
  6. 29L. CoulibalyM
  7. 5M. BerishaM
  8. 50S. PierottiM
  9. 14Þ. HelgasonM
  10. 7Tete MorenteM
  11. 9N. KrstovićF
Substitutes (15)

75 · B. Pierret

20 · Y. Ramadani

17 · Danilo Veiga

22 · L. Banda

3 · A. Rebić

4 · Kialonda Gaspar

99 · M. Sala

77 · M. Kaba

1 · C. Früchtl

32 · J. Samooja

23 · R. Burnete

44 · Tiago Gabriel

37 · J. Karlsson

10 · K. N’Dri

8 · H. Rafia

AC Milan

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sérgio Conceição
  1. 57M. SportielloG
  2. 32K. WalkerD
  3. 46M. GabbiaD
  4. 28M. ThiawD
  5. 19T. HernándezD
  6. 38W. BondoM
  7. 80Y. MusahM
  8. 20Álex JiménezM
  9. 14T. ReijndersM
  10. 11C. PulišićM
  11. 7S. GiménezF
Substitutes (13)

10 · Rafael Leão

90 · T. Abraham

79 · João Félix

99 · R. Sottil

29 · Y. Fofana

21 · S. Chukwueze

96 · L. Torriani

23 · F. Tomori

42 · F. Terracciano

24 · A. Florenzi

9 · L. Jović

69 · L. Nava

33 · D. Bartesaghi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lecce

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Wladimiro Falcone907.9—0—20—
Frédéric Guilbert906.7—11234
Federico Baschirotto905.9—0—15—
Gaby Jean906.3—0—33—
Antonino Gallo906.2—0—203
Lassana Coulibaly826.2—0—132
Medon Berisha566.3—0—9—
Santiago Pierotti746.9—02155
Þórir Jóhann Helgason747.2—11201
Tete Morente826.2—0—15—
Nikola Krstović908.6204261
Balthazar Pierret346.5—0—143
Danilo Veiga166.5—0—51
Ylber Ramadani166.9—0142
Lameck Banda86.5—0—3—
Ante Rebić86.7—0—8—
Jasper Samooja———————
Christian Früchtl———————
Kialonda Gaspar———————
Marco Sala———————
Tiago Gabriel———————
Hamza Rafia———————
Mohamed Kaba———————
Konan N'Dri———————
Jesper Karlsson———————
Rareș Burnete———————

AC Milan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marco Sportiello906.3—0—35—
Kyle Walker746.3—0—531
Matteo Gabbia906.3—0—69—
Malick Thiaw906.9—0182—
Theo Hernández907.2—0—71—
Warren Bondo627.0—01412
Yunus Musah757.0—02391
Álex Jiménez456.7—0—141
Tijjani Reijnders906.9—0—60—
Christian Pulišić909.220343—
Santiago Giménez626.9—05111
Rafael Leão457.9—1122—
Tammy Abraham286.3—017—
João Félix286.9—0113—
Youssouf Fofana166.3—0—14—
Riccardo Sottil156.3—0—7—
Lapo Nava———————
Lorenzo Torriani———————
Filippo Terracciano———————
Alessandro Florenzi———————
Davide Bartesaghi———————
Fikayo Tomori———————
Luka Jović———————
Samuel Chukwueze———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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