Denmark
1/5Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Denmark’s results
UEFA Nations LeagueQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREDenmark vs Portugal match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Højlund78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
DenmarkPortugal
—Expected goals · API-Football—
9Shots on target2
23Total Shots8
44%Ball Possession56%
7Corner Kicks6
5Fouls9
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves7
439Total passes552
392Passes accurate491
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Denmark 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Portugal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Portugal
2/2Wins
4.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Portugal’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Denmark
5 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals3 of 5
Both teams scored3 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
Portugal
2 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game4.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 2
Both teams scored2 of 2
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Denmark at home with Portugal away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:25 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Nations League · 2024/25 · all league matches
DenmarkPortugal
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Denmark at home with Portugal away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
1 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Denmark
0wins1MEETINGS
Portugal
1winsJun 2012 – Jun 2012 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Denmark first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Denmark
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1B. Riemer
- 1
K. SchmeichelG - 13
R. KristensenD - 2
J. AndersenD - 3
J. VestergaardD - 5
J. MæhleD - 21
M. HjulmandM - 15
C. NørgaardM - 8
G. IsaksenM - 10
C. EriksenM - 18
J. LindstrømM - 12
M. BierethF
Substitutes (11)
9 · R. Højlund
11 · A. Skov Olsen
19 · J. Wind
7 · P. Dorgu
22 · F. Jørgensen
6 · M. Frendrup
17 · L. Høgsberg
20 · C. Harder
4 · V. Nelsson
23 · V. Froholdt
16 · M. Hermansen
Portugal
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Roberto Martínez
- 1
Diogo CostaG - 5
Diogo DalotD - 3
Rúben DiasD - 13
Renato VeigaD - 19
Nuno MendesD - 23
VitinhaM - 15
João NevesM - 9
Pedro NetoM - 8
Bruno FernandesM - 17
Rafael LeãoM - 7
Cristiano RonaldoF
Substitutes (12)
2 · Nélson Semedo
14 · Gonçalo Inácio
18 · Rúben Neves
10 · Bernardo Silva
4 · António Silva
21 · Diogo Jota
20 · Trincão
11 · João Félix
22 · Rui Silva
12 · José Sá
16 · Geovany Quenda
6 · João Palhinha
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Denmark
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasper Schmeichel | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Rasmus Kristensen | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 4 |
| Joachim Andersen | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 47 | — |
| Jannik Vestergaard | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | — |
| Joakim Mæhle | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 4 |
| Morten Hjulmand | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Christian Nørgaard | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Gustav Isaksen | 87 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 4 | 27 | — |
| Christian Eriksen | 86 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 35 | 1 |
| Jesper Lindstrøm | 69 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | 2 |
| Mika Biereth | 69 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Andreas Skov Olsen | 21 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Rasmus Højlund | 21 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Jonas Wind | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Patrick Dorgu | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Mads Hermansen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Jørgensen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Nelsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Høgsberg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morten Frendrup | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Froholdt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conrad Harder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Portugal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | 90 | 8.6 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Diogo Dalot | 66 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Rúben Dias | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 67 | — |
| Renato Veiga | 76 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 5 |
| Nuno Mendes | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 5 |
| Vitinha | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 81 | — |
| João Neves | 86 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 2 |
| Pedro Neto | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 53 | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 75 | 1 |
| Rafael Leão | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Nélson Semedo | 24 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Gonçalo Inácio | 14 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Rúben Neves | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Bernardo Silva | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Rui Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Sá | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| António Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geovany Quenda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Palhinha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Félix | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Trincão | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Jota | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Nations League table
Current standings · League A, Group 1. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Croatia
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Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
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AWAITING DATA
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