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Ukraine vs Belgium match centre

Ukraine badgeUkraineHome
WDDW
Momentum→ Steady67/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Belgium badgeBelgiumAway · 3 in league
WDLL
Momentum↘ Falling27/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
O. Hutsuliak66′
V. Vanat73′
I. Zabarnyi78′
R. Lukaku40′
Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia · MurciaSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
UkraineBelgium
3Corner Kicks4
7Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
402Total passes500
345Passes accurate444

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Ukraine 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Belgium 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Ukraine

2/4Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Ukraine’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Belgium

1/7Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Belgium’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Belgium

7 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals3 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ukraine at home with Belgium away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Nations League · 2024/25 · all league matches

UkraineBelgium
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ukraine at home with Belgium away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Ukraine

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1S. Rebrov
  1. 1A. LuninG
  2. 2Y. KonopliaD
  3. 13I. ZabarnyiD
  4. 22M. MatviienkoD
  5. 16V. MykolenkoD
  6. 6I. KaliuzhnyiM
  7. 15V. TsygankovM
  8. 17O. ZinchenkoM
  9. 10M. ShaparenkoM
  10. 8H. SudakovM
  11. 9R. YaremchukF
Substitutes (12)

4 · O. Sych

18 · Y. Yarmoliuk

11 · V. Vanat

19 · O. Hutsuliak

20 · Y. Nazaryna

7 · A. Yarmolenko

12 · A. Trubin

23 · D. Riznyk

5 · O. Svatok

21 · O. Nazarenko

14 · V. Buialskyi

3 · B. Mykhailichenko

Belgium

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1R. Garcia
  1. 1T. CourtoisG
  2. 15T. MeunierD
  3. 16K. De WinterD
  4. 18B. MecheleD
  5. 5M. De CuyperD
  6. 2Z. DebastM
  7. 8Y. TielemansM
  8. 17C. De KetelaereM
  9. 7K. De BruyneM
  10. 11L. TrossardM
  11. 10R. LukakuF
Substitutes (12)

20 · H. Vanaken

14 · D. Lukébakio

6 · N. Raskin

23 · A. Saelemaekers

21 · J. Mokio

22 · J. Doku

3 · A. Al Dakhil

13 · M. Sels

19 · B. Heynen

12 · S. Lammens

4 · W. Faes

9 · M. Batshuayi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Ukraine

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Andriy Lunin906.9—0—31—
Yukhym Konoplia256.5—0—6—
Illia Zabarnyi907.2101411
Mykola Matviyenko907.3—0—662
Vitaliy Mykolenko906.6—01411
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi887.2—0—243
Viktor Tsygankov907.3—02331
Oleksandr Zinchenko907.3—1140—
Mykola Shaparenko626.5—0—291
Georgiy Sudakov907.0—01421
Roman Yaremchuk636.6—019—
Oleksii Sych376.7—0110—
Yehor Yarmolyuk286.7—0—171
Vladyslav Vanat287.31015—
Oleksii Hutsuliak277.710281
Yehor Nazaryna2——0———
Anatoliy Trubin———————
Dmytro Riznyk———————
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko———————
Oleksandr Svatok———————
Andriy Yarmolenko———————
Vitaliy Buyalskyi———————
Oleksandr Nazarenko———————

Belgium

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thibaut Courtois906.9—0—31—
Thomas Meunier907.2—0—623
Koni De Winter805.3—0—63—
Brandon Mechele906.7—0—691
Maxim De Cuyper886.7—0—472
Zeno Debast906.9—0—572
Youri Tielemans906.9—02482
Charles De Ketelaere706.5—0—18—
Kevin De Bruyne707.9—13251
Leandro Trossard806.9—0132—
Romelu Lukaku907.3101101
Hans Vanaken206.2—0—6—
Dodi Lukebakio206.5—0—6—
Nicolas Raskin106.3—0—14—
Alexis Saelemaekers106.7—0—7—
Jorthy Mokio2——0—5—
Senne Lammens———————
Matz Sels———————
Ameen Al-Dakhil———————
Wout Faes———————
Bryan Heynen———————
Michy Batshuayi———————
Jérémy Doku———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

UEFA Nations League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League A, Group 2. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1France6411126613
WLWLW
2Italy6411138513
DLLWW
3Belgium611469-34
WLLLL
4Israel6114513-84
WDLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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