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Spain U21 vs Italy U21 match centre

Spain U21 badgeSpain U21Home · 1 in league
LWWW
Momentum↗ Rising81/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Italy U21 badgeItaly U21Away · 2 in league
DW
Momentum→ Limited sample70/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Jesús Rodríguez53′
N. Pisilli59′
CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského · TrnavaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Spain U21Italy U21
3Corner Kicks2
15Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
406Total passes530
346Passes accurate477

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Spain U21 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Italy U21 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Spain U21

3/3Wins
3.3Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Spain U21’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Italy U21

1/2Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Italy U21’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Spain U21 at home with Italy U21 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:07 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA U21 Championship · 2025/26 · all league matches

Spain U21Italy U21
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Spain U21 at home with Italy U21 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

Spain U21

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Italy U21

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Spain U21

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Pablo Cuñat907.0—0—46—
Marc Pubill746.9—0—524
Rafa Marín906.9—01641
Juanma Herzog906.6—0—41—
Andrés García906.3—01222
Mikel Jauregizar906.9—0—436
Pablo Marín666.3—01221
Raúl Moro897.2—1—27—
Alberto Moleiro746.5—0—27—
Jesús Rodriguez657.5101132
Roberto Fernández906.6—01161
Javier Guerra256.6—0—61
Diego López246.6—0—5—
Pablo Torre166.3—0—8—
Juanlu Sánchez166.6—0—14—
César Tárrega1——0———
Alejandro Iturbe———————
Aitor Fraga———————
Cristhian Mosquera———————
Hugo Bueno———————
Beñat Turrientes———————
Mateo Joseph———————

Italy U21

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gioele Zacchi906.5—0—14—
Daniele Ghilardi907.3—11563
Diego Coppola907.7—0—962
Gabriele Guarino846.7—0—751
Michael Kayode906.7—01282
Issa Doumbia906.9—01462
Alessandro Bianco907.0—0—643
Riccardo Turicchia846.9—01271
Niccolò Pisilli897.510340—
Jacopo Fazzini736.9—01453
Giuseppe Ambrosino746.9—0—13—
Cesare Casadei176.9—0—41
Wilfried Gnonto166.3—0—6—
Lorenzo Pirola106.9—0—9—
Matteo Ruggeri107.2—0—63
Matteo Prati1——0—1—
Sebastiano Desplanches———————
Jacopo Sassi———————
Mattia Zanotti———————
Cher Ndour———————
Tommaso Baldanzi———————
Giovanni Fabbian———————
Luca Koleosho———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

UEFA U21 Championship table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Spain U2132106427
DWW
2Italy U2132103127
DWW
3Slovakia U21310245-13
WLL
4Romania U21300325-30
LLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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