Poland
0/4Wins
1.5Goals / game
3.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Poland’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREPoland vs Lithuania match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Lewandowski81′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
PolandLithuania
—Expected goals · API-Football—
7Shots on target2
24Total Shots8
62%Ball Possession38%
11Corner Kicks1
14Fouls18
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
507Total passes320
410Passes accurate231
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Poland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Lithuania 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lithuania
0/4Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Lithuania’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Poland
4 matchesResults0 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game3.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 4
Both teams scored4 of 4
Only a few results are available.
Lithuania
4 matchesResults0 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals3 of 4
Both teams scored3 of 4
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Poland at home with Lithuania away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
PolandLithuania
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Poland at home with Lithuania away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Poland
Confirmed formation3-5-2Jan Urban
- 1
L. SkorupskiG - 15
K. PiatkowskiD - 5
J. BednarekD - 14
J. KiwiorD - 2
M. CashM - 10
S. SzymanskiM - 8
J. ModerM - 6
J. PiotrowskiM - 19
P. FrankowskiM - 11
K. SwiderskiF - 9
R. LewandowskiF
Substitutes (12)
12 · M. Bulka
22 · B. Dragowski
3 · M. Skrzypczak
4 · M. Wieteska
7 · K. Urbanski
13 · J. Kaminski
16 · A. Buksa
17 · B. Slisz
18 · B. Bereszynski
20 · D. Marczuk
21 · M. Bogusz
23 · K. Piatek
Lithuania
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Edgaras Jankauskas
- 1
E. GertmonasG - 5
K. KazukolovasD - 3
E. UtkusD - 2
A. TutyskinasD - 17
P. SirvysM - 6
D. AntanaviciusM - 15
G. GineitisM - 13
J. LasickasM - 22
P. GolubickasF - 7
A. DolznikovF - 11
A. Kucys
Substitutes (12)
12 · M. Adamonis
23 · M. Bertasius
4 · E. Girdvainis
8 · G. Matulevicius
9 · G. Paulauskas
10 · F. Cernych
14 · M. Ruzgis
16 · M. Remeikis
18 · M. Vareika
19 · K. Upstas
20 · T. Milasius
21 · D. Barauskas
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Poland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łukasz Skorupski | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Kamil Piątkowski | 77 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 2 |
| Jan Bednarek | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 2 |
| Jakub Kiwior | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 4 |
| Matty Cash | 68 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 22 | — |
| Sebastian Szymański | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 4 |
| Jakub Moder | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 75 | 1 |
| Jakub Piotrowski | 77 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 41 | — |
| Przemysław Frankowski | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 4 |
| Karol Świderski | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Robert Lewandowski | 86 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Jakub Kamiński | 22 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 12 | — |
| Krzysztof Piątek | 22 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Mateusz Wieteska | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Adam Buksa | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Marcin Bułka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartłomiej Drągowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Skrzypczak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Bereszyński | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kacper Urbański | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Slisz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Marczuk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lithuania
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edvinas Gertmonas | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Kipras Kazukolovas | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Edgaras Utkus | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Artemijus Tutyškinas | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 3 |
| Pijus Širvys | 74 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 2 |
| Domantas Antanavičius | 84 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Gvidas Gineitis | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 30 | 3 |
| Justas Lasickas | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 4 |
| Paulius Golubickas | 61 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Artur Dolznikov | 62 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Armandas Kučys | 84 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Giedrius Matulevicius | 29 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Fedor Černych | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Titas Milašius | 16 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Matas Vareika | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Gytis Paulauskas | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Marius Adamonis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mantas Bertasius | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edvinas Girdvainis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Klaudijus Upstas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominykas Barauskas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matijus Remeikis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manfredas Ruzgis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group G. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 20 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 4 |  Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 5 | LWLDL |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | LLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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