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Moldova vs Estonia match centre

Moldova badgeMoldovaHome · 5 in league
WLWDL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:3
UK time · Europe/London
Estonia badgeEstoniaAway · 4 in league
WLDLL
Momentum↘ Falling21/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
I. Nicolaescu67′
M. Caimacov90′
R. Peetson19′
R. Sappinen30′
M. Kait70′
Stadionul Zimbru · ChisinauSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MoldovaEstonia
5Corner Kicks3
14Fouls15
3Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
349Total passes367
262Passes accurate296

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Moldova 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Estonia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Moldova

4/7Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Moldova’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Estonia

1/6Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Estonia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Moldova at home with Estonia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:47 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

MoldovaEstonia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Moldova at home with Estonia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Moldova

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sergiu Cleşcenco
  1. 23A. Kozhukhar
  2. 13M. CojocaruD
  3. 14A. CraciunD
  4. 4V. BabogloD
  5. 2O. ReabciukD
  6. 8N. MotpanM
  7. 22V. RataM
  8. 17V. PostolachiM
  9. 11M. CaimacovM
  10. 7S. BodisteanuM
  11. 9I. NicolaescuF
Substitutes (12)

1 · N. Cebotari

12 · C. Avram

3 · D. Puscas

5 · V. Posmac

6 · V. Bogaciuc

10 · A. Boiciuc

15 · V. Mudrac

16 · V. Stina

18 · T. Lungu

19 · D. Dumbravanu

20 · S. Platica

21 · I. Revenco

Estonia

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 12M. IgonenG
  2. 6R. PeetsonD
  3. 13M. PaskotsiD
  4. 2M. KuuskD
  5. 18M. Schjonning-LarsenD
  6. 10K. PalumetsM
  7. 11M. AinsaluM
  8. 9I. Yakovlev
  9. 4M. KaitM
  10. 23V. SinyavskiyM
  11. 15R. SappinenF
Substitutes (12)

1 · K. Hein

22 · K. Vallner

3 · J. Saliste

5 · A. Tamm

7 · R. Saarma

8 · H. Anier

14 · P. Kristal

16 · J. Tamm

17 · M. Miller

19 · K. Hussar

20 · M. Poom

21 · D. Jepihhin

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Moldova

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Andrii Kozhukhar906.5—0—24—
Maxim Cojocaru53.0—0—4—
Artur Crăciun906.5—0—503
Vladyslav Babohlo906.7—02572
Oleg Reabciuk906.2—0—403
Nichita Moțpan786.9—0—224
Vadim Rață906.9—0—414
Virgiliu Postolachi785.9—0—15—
Mihail Caimacov908.2102501
Ştefan Bodişteanu857.0—01231
Ion Nicolaescu907.2103151
Sergiu Plătică126.6—0—1—
Victor Stina127.3—0161
Alexandru Boiciuc126.6—0—1—
Nicolai Cebotari———————
Cristian Avram———————
Veaceslav Posmac———————
Victor Mudrac———————
Daniel Dumbravanu———————
Ioan-Calin Revenco———————
Dan Pușcaș———————
Victor Bogaciuc———————
Teodor Lungu———————

Estonia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matvei Igonen906.6—0—31—
Rasmus Peetson527.3101152
Maksim Paskotsi906.9—0—451
Märten Kuusk907.3—0—422
Michael Schjonning-Larsen906.9—01381
Kevor Palumets486.5—1—332
Mihkel Ainsalu906.7—01371
Ioan Yakovlev877.2—1—222
Mattias Käit907.3102452
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy906.6—0—281
Rauno Sappinen666.910213—
Joseph Saliste386.7—0—134
Alex Matthias Tamm246.5—014—
Martin Miller106.5—0—1—
Karl Hein———————
Andre Karl Vallner———————
Joonas Tamm———————
Kristo Hussar———————
Patrik Kristal———————
Markus Poom———————
Dimitri Jepihhin———————
Robi Saarma———————
Henri Anier———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group I. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Norway88003753224
WWWWW
2Italy86022112918
LWWWW
3Israel84041920-112
WLLLW
4Estonia8116821-134
LDLLL
5Moldova8017532-271
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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