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Latvia vs Serbia match centre

Latvia badgeLatviaHome · 4 in league
LWLDD
Momentum→ Steady33/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Serbia badgeSerbiaAway · 3 in league
DDWDW
Momentum→ Steady64/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Vlahovic12′
Daugavas stadions · RigaSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
LatviaSerbia
3Corner Kicks7
9Fouls13
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves2
482Total passes574
426Passes accurate539

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Latvia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Serbia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Latvia

1/9Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Latvia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Serbia

2/7Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Serbia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Latvia at home with Serbia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

LatviaSerbia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Latvia at home with Serbia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Latvia

Confirmed formation5-4-1Paolo Nicolato
  1. 1K. ZviedrisG
  2. 16A. JaunzemsD
  3. 2D. BalodisD
  4. 3V. Jagodinskis
  5. 13R. JurkovskisD
  6. 14A. CiganiksD
  7. 8R. VarslavansM
  8. 15D. ZelenkovsM
  9. 22A. SaveljevsM
  10. 10J. IkaunieksM
  11. 9V. GutkovskisF
Substitutes (12)

12 · F. Orols

23 · R. Matrevics

4 · R. Veips

5 · B. Melnis

6 · K. Penkevics

7 · E. Daskevics

11 · R. Savalnieks

17 · L. Vapne

18 · D. Sits

19 · M. Tonisevs

20 · M. Regza

21 · D. Melniks

Serbia

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Dragan Stojković
  1. 1D. PetrovicG
  2. 13M. VeljkovicD
  3. 4N. MilenkovicD
  4. 2S. PavlovicD
  5. 10S. LukicM
  6. 14A. ZivkovicM
  7. 17I. IlicM
  8. 22A. KataiM
  9. 11F. KosticM
  10. 23D. VlahovicF
  11. 8L. JovicF
Substitutes (12)

12 · D. Rosic

21 · V. Ilic

3 · O. Ugresic

5 · N. Maksimovic

6 · N. Gudelj

7 · A. Terzic

9 · A. Mitrovic

15 · S. Babic

16 · S. Erakovic

18 · N. Stulic

19 · V. Birmancevic

20 · L. Samardzic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Latvia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Krišjānis Zviedris908.0—0—31—
Alvis Jaunzems836.3—0—28—
Daniels Balodis906.7—0—571
Vitālijs Jagodinskis456.9—0—24—
Raivis Jurkovskis906.9—0—537
Andrejs Cigaņiks906.6—0—42—
Renārs Varslavāns907.5—03491
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs906.9—0—502
Aleksejs Saveljevs456.5—0—23—
Jānis Ikaunieks456.3—0—18—
Vladislavs Gutkovskis776.7—0—9—
Deniss Melniks456.9—01342
Lūkass Vapne456.9—0—421
Dario Sits456.3—0—10—
Bruno Melnis136.9—0—4—
Roberts Savaļnieks116.9—0—8—
Frenks Orols———————
Rihards Matrevics———————
Roberts Veips———————
Maksims Tonisevs———————
Kristers Penkevics———————
Eduards Daskevics———————
Marko Regža———————

Serbia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Đorđe Petrović907.3—0—19—
Miloš Veljković907.6—0—731
Nikola Milenković907.0—0—60—
Strahinja Pavlović908.6—01782
Saša Lukić687.2—0—662
Andrija Živković907.7—01481
Ivan Ilić827.2—0162—
Aleksandar Katai457.2—1224—
Filip Kostić827.3—01321
Dušan Vlahović907.910320—
Luka Jović747.3—0435—
Lazar Samardžić456.7—0—13—
Nemanja Gudelj226.7—0—211
Nemanja Maksimović166.3—0—13—
Aleksa Terzić86.7—0—6—
Aleksandar Mitrović86.7—014—
Dragan Rosić———————
Veljko Ilić———————
Srđan Babić———————
Strahinja Eraković———————
Ognjen Ugrešić———————
Nikola Štulić———————
Veljko Birmančević———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group K. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1England88002202224
WWWWW
2Albania842275214
LWWWD
3Serbia8413910-113
WLWLL
4Latvia8125515-105
LLDLL
5Andorra8017316-131
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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