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Liga MXClausura - 12THE MATCH CENTRE

Puebla vs Toluca match centre

Puebla badgePueblaHome
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
0:3
UK time · Europe/London
Toluca badgeTolucaAway
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
J. Gallardo15′
Paulinho57′
A. Vega62′ (pen)
Estadio Cuauhtémoc · PueblaSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PueblaToluca
3Corner Kicks6
14Fouls12
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves6
310Total passes614
236Passes accurate542

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Puebla 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Toluca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Puebla

0/2Wins
0.0Goals / game
3.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Puebla’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Toluca

1/2Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Toluca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Puebla at home with Toluca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2024/25 · all league matches

PueblaToluca
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Puebla at home with Toluca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Puebla

1wins
2 draws

Toluca

2wins

Apr 2023 – Oct 2024 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Puebla first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

Puebla

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Toluca

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Puebla

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Julio González907.0—0—18—
Gustavo Ferrareis456.6—0115—
Jose Pachuca456.7—0—192
Emanuel Gularte907.2—0224—
Juan Fedorco905.9—0—322
Efrain Orona906.3—0—431
Fernando Arce Jr.906.5—01233
Franco Moyano906.3—0—34—
Facundo Waller907.2—01364
Ricardo Marín906.2—01151
Luis Quiñones906.2—02321
Bryan Garnica456.5—0—9—
Emiliano Gómez456.9—0210—
Miguel Jiménez———————
Eduardo Navarro———————
Dylan Torres———————
Pablo González———————
Denilson Paz———————
Alberto Herrera———————
Raúl Castillo———————
Cristian Mares———————

Toluca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Pau López908.7—0—35—
Federico Pereira907.7—01621
Antonio Briseño907.5—0—791
Everardo López907.2—0—682
Jesús Gallardo688.0101581
Héctor Herrera677.2—0—502
Marcel Ruíz787.3—01283
Juan Dominguez907.2—0138—
Ivan López596.9—0—18—
Alexis Vega788.3111771
Paulinho907.310222—
Franco Romero316.7—0—231
Jesús Ricardo Angulo236.5—0117—
Isaías Violante226.2—0111—
Victor Arteaga126.7—0—16—
Helinho126.3—0—12—
Luis García———————
Luan Garcia———————
Diego Barbosa———————
Bruno Méndez———————
Robert Morales———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

Liga MX table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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