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FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTRE

Scotland vs Iceland match centre

Scotland badgeScotlandHome
WWL
Momentum↘ Falling61/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
Iceland badgeIcelandAway
LWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling17/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
John Souttar25′
Andri Guðjohnsen8′
Lewis Ferguson45′ (og)
Victor Pálsson52′
Hampden Park · GlasgowSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ScotlandIceland
6Corner Kicks1
11Fouls12
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
531Total passes427
452Passes accurate341

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Scotland 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Iceland 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Scotland

2/4Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Scotland’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Iceland

1/6Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Iceland’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Iceland

6 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 6
Both teams scored5 of 6

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Scotland at home with Iceland away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches

ScotlandIceland
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Scotland at home with Iceland away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Scotland

Confirmed formation5-4-1S. Clarke
  1. 1Angus GunnG
  2. 22Max JohnstonD
  3. 15John SouttarD
  4. 5Grant HanleyD
  5. 6Kieran TierneyD
  6. 3Andrew RobertsonD
  7. 7John McGinnM
  8. 19Lewis FergusonM
  9. 8Billy GilmourM
  10. 4Scott McTominayM
  11. 9George HirstF
Substitutes (14)

21 · Cieran Slicker

16 · Scott McKenna

14 · Lennon Miller

10 · Che Adams

24 · Nathan Patterson

11 · Tommy Conway

12 · Robby McCrorie

2 · Anthony Ralston

13 · Jack Hendry

23 · Josh Doig

17 · Andy Irving

20 · Connor Barron

18 · James Wilson

25 · Kieron Bowie

Iceland

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Å. Hareide
  1. 1Elías ÓlafssonG
  2. 4Victor PálssonD
  3. 5Sverrir Ingi IngasonD
  4. 23Hörður MagnússonD
  5. 24Mikael EllertssonD
  6. 16Stefán Teitur ÞórðarsonM
  7. 6Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonM
  8. 11Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonM
  9. 10Albert GuðmundssonM
  10. 8Hakon Arnar HaraldssonM
  11. 22Andri GuðjohnsenF
Substitutes (12)

3 · Daníel Grétarsson

19 · Dagur Dan Þórhallsson

15 · Willum Thor Willumsson

18 · Mikael Anderson

21 · Arnór Traustason

17 · Aron Gunnarsson

12 · Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson

13 · Anton Ari Einarsson

2 · Logi Tomasson

14 · Þórir Jóhann Helgason

20 · Kristian Hlynsson

9 · Sævar Atli Magnússon

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Scotland

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Angus Gunn7——0—2—
Max Johnston806.5—12261
John Souttar907.7101731
Grant Hanley686.3—02431
Kieran Tierney686.3—0—41—
Andrew Robertson907.0—0—521
John McGinn906.6—01281
Lewis Ferguson906.9—0—46—
Billy Gilmour907.2—0—722
Scott McTominay806.3—0—33—
George Hirst686.7—038—
Cieran Slicker835.2—0—26—
Scott McKenna226.9—0—25—
Lennon Miller226.6—0—261
Che Adams226.7—0—8—
Nathan Patterson106.6—0—17—
Tommy Conway106.7—0—51
Robby McCrorie———————
Anthony Ralston———————
Jack Hendry———————
Josh Doig———————
Andy Irving———————
Connor Barron———————
James Wilson———————
Kieron Bowie———————

Iceland

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Elías Ólafsson907.5—0—47—
Victor Pálsson607.610129—
Sverrir Ingi Ingason776.5—0—462
Hörður Magnússon456.2—0—27—
Mikael Ellertsson906.2—0—203
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson727.3—11481
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson726.3—0—421
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson726.6—01121
Albert Guðmundsson906.9—1—41—
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson906.7—0—282
Andri Guðjohnsen907.2101211
Daníel Grétarsson457.2—0—282
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson306.7—0—81
Willum Thor Willumsson186.3—0—11—
Mikael Anderson186.7—0—3—
Arnór Traustason186.7—0—11—
Aron Gunnarsson136.9—0—5—
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson———————
Anton Ari Einarsson———————
Logi Tomasson———————
Þórir Jóhann Helgason———————
Kristian Hlynsson———————
Sævar Atli Magnússon———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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