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Waterford vs Derry City match centre

Waterford badgeWaterfordHome
W
Momentum→ Limited sample100/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Derry City badgeDerry CityAway
W
Momentum→ Limited sample100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
T. Lonergan21′
G. Whyte34′
M. Duffy41′
Regional Sports Centre · WaterfordSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
WaterfordDerry City
4Corner Kicks2
17Fouls9
3Yellow Cards5
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves5
360Total passes312
237Passes accurate214

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Waterford 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Derry City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Waterford

0/2Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Waterford’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Derry City

1/2Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Derry City’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Waterford at home with Derry City away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier Division · 2025/26 · all league matches

WaterfordDerry City
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Waterford at home with Derry City away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Waterford

2wins
0 draws

Derry City

3wins

Jun 2024 – Jul 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Waterford first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Waterford

Confirmed formation3-4-3John Coleman
  1. 1S. McMullanG
  2. 17K. RadkowskiD
  3. 22R. MansfieldD
  4. 3R. BurkeD
  5. 5G. HortonM
  6. 27D. McMenamyM
  7. 8J. OlayinkaM
  8. 16K. WhiteM
  9. 20C. NoonanF
  10. 9P. AmondF
  11. 18T. LonerganF
Substitutes (9)

2 · N. Bakboord

99 · T. Coyle

14 · J. Dempsey

7 · M. Faal

19 · S. Glenfield

15 · D. Leahy

21 · J. Miles

11 · M. Smith

31 · B. Wade

Derry City

Confirmed formation4-3-3Tiernan Lynch
  1. 1B. MaherG
  2. 2R. BoyceD
  3. 16H. CannD
  4. 6M. ConnollyD
  5. 22J. StottD
  6. 20C. WinchesterM
  7. 13R. BensonM
  8. 19B. FlemingM
  9. 8A. O'ReillyF
  10. 11G. WhyteF
  11. 7M. Duffy
Substitutes (8)

26 · A. Doherty

41 · C. Downey

23 · C. Dummigan

3 · S. Ferguson

17 · A. Frizzell

33 · R. Long

· C. Mullan

24 · S. Todd

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Waterford

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Stephen McMullan975.9———24—
Kacper Radkowski756.2———381
Ronan Mansfield976.3———36—
Ryan Burke976.6———551
Grant Horton976.5———342
Dean McMenamy816.9——1381
James Olayinka686.3———131
Kyle White976.9——227—
Conan Noonan977.5——3341
Pádraig Amond977.2—1225—
Tom Lonergan977.71—4203
Samuel Glenfield296.9———82
Trae Coyle226.7———51
Matthew Smith166.9———3—
Bradley Wade———————
Jesse Dempsey———————
Darragh Leahy———————
Navajo Bakboord———————
Josh Miles———————
Muhammadu Faal———————

Derry City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Brian Maher977.2———32—
Ronan Boyce976.9——1221
Hayden Cann976.6———321
Mark Connolly976.9———31—
Jamie Stott976.9———262
Carl Winchester556.6——1171
Robbie Benson977.0——1262
Brandon Fleming726.7———23—
Adam O'Reilly976.6———181
Gavin Whyte728.211122—
Michael Duffy978.311129—
Cameron Dummigan426.9——1113
Sam Todd256.7———14—
Adam Frizzell256.6———9—
Arlo Doherty———————
Shane Ferguson———————
Callum Downey———————
Ciaran Mullan———————
Ryan Long———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Premier Division table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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