Mali
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Mali’s results
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREMali vs Zambia match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Sinayoko61′
P. Daka90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MaliZambia
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target2
15Total Shots7
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks5
15Fouls13
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
425Total passes375
350Passes accurate301
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mali 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Zambia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Zambia
1/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 9 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Zambia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mali
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored1 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
JordanAway · Friendlies0–0MadagascarHome · World Cup - Qualification Africa4–1ChadAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa2–0GhanaAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa0–1ComorosHome · World Cup - Qualification Africa3–0Congo DRAway · Friendlies0–1Central African RepublicAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa0–0ComorosAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa3–0MauritaniaHome · African Nations Championship - Qualification0–0MauritaniaAway · African Nations Championship - Qualification0–1
Zambia
10 matchesResults1 wins · 0 draws · 9 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Congo DRAway · Friendlies0–2AngolaAway · Friendlies2–3South AfricaAway · Friendlies1–3NigerHome · World Cup - Qualification Africa0–1TanzaniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa1–0MoroccoHome · World Cup - Qualification Africa0–2KenyaHome · African Nations Championship0–1MoroccoAway · African Nations Championship1–3AngolaHome · African Nations Championship1–2Congo DRAway · African Nations Championship0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mali at home with Zambia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Africa Cup of Nations · 2025/26 · all league matches
MaliZambia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mali at home with Zambia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mali
Confirmed formationPending
- 16
D. DiarraG - 26
W. CoulibalyD - 5
A. DiabyD - 15
M. FofanaD - 3
A. DanteD - 20
M. SangareM - 23
A. DiengM - 17
L. SinayokoM - 19
K. DoumbiaM - 7
D. NeneM - 9
E. B. ToureF
Substitutes (15)
1 · I. Diawara
22 · M. Samassa
25 · O. Camara
13 · F. Doucoure
28 · N. Gassama
2 · H. Traore
12 · M. Camara
11 · L. Coulibaly
27 · G. Diakite
8 · M. Doumbia
4 · A. Haidara
24 · I. Sissoko
21 · G. Diarra
14 · M. Camara
18 · M. Doumbia
Zambia
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Avraham Grant
- 1
W. MwanzaG - 2
M. Banda - 6
B. SakalaD - 21
D. ChandaD - 8
L. MusondaD - 25
O. TemboM - 5
M. ChaiwaM - 9
L. BandaM - 17
K. KangwaM - 10
F. SakalaM - 20
P. DakaF
Substitutes (14)
16 · L. Mulenga
18 · F. Mwansa
14 · K. Chongo
4 · F. Musonda
22 · D. Hamansenya
3 · O. Chisala
15 · G. Kalusa
26 · J. Liteta
11 · J. Sabobo
28 · D. Simukonda
12 · W. Chisala
27 · E. Mandanji
7 · J. Lahne
19 · K. Musonda
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Mali
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djigui Diarra | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Woyo Coulibaly | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Abdoulaye Diaby | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 1 |
| Mamadou Fofana | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Amadou Dante | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 3 |
| Mamadou Sangare | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 59 | 7 |
| Aliou Dieng | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 66 | 1 |
| Lassine Sinayoko | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 1 |
| Kamory Doumbia | 86 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | — |
| Dorgeles Nene | 76 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 32 | 3 |
| El Bilal Touré | 76 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Gaoussou Diarra | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Mahamadou Doumbia | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Amadou Haidara | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Ismael Diawara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Samassa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamari Traoré | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Gassama | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Camara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Camara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Sissoko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fodé Doucouré | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Camara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lassana Coulibaly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Doumbia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaoussou Diakite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Zambia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willard Mwanza | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 47 | — |
| Mathews Banda | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 3 |
| Benson Sakala | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 2 |
| Dominic Chanda | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 48 | 1 |
| Lubambo Musonda | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Owen Tembo | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 3 |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | 67 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Lameck Banda | 67 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Kings Kangwa | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 2 |
| Fashion Sakala | 78 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Patson Daka | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Joseph Sabobo | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| David Simukonda | 23 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Kennedy Musonda | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Francis Mwansa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Mulenga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kabaso Chongo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Hamansenya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frankie Musonda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Liteta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Given Kalusa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obino Chisala | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilson Chisala | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Lahne | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eliya Mandanji | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Africa Cup of Nations table
Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Morocco
ComorosTHE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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