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Nigeria vs Tunisia match centre

Nigeria badgeNigeriaHome · 1 in league
WWWDW
Momentum↘ Falling85/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
Tunisia badgeTunisiaAway · 2 in league
DLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising60/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
V. Osimhen44′
W. Ndidi50′
A. Lookman67′
M. Talbi74′
A. Abdi87′ (pen)
Complexe Sportif de Fès · FèsSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
NigeriaTunisia
4Corner Kicks6
18Fouls15
3Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
441Total passes300
390Passes accurate237

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Nigeria 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Tunisia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Nigeria

6/8Wins
1.9Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Nigeria’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Tunisia

6/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Tunisia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nigeria at home with Tunisia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Africa Cup of Nations · 2025/26 · all league matches

NigeriaTunisia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nigeria at home with Tunisia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Nigeria

Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Éric Sékou Chelle
  1. 23S. NwabaliG
  2. 2B. Osayi-SamuelD
  3. 6S. AjayiD
  4. 21C. BasseyD
  5. 13B. OnyemaechiD
  6. 8F. OnyekaM
  7. 4W. NdidiM
  8. 17A. IwobiM
  9. 7A. LookmanM
  10. 22A. AdamsF
  11. 9V. OsimhenF
Substitutes (15)

16 · A. Obasogie

1 · F. Uzoho

27 · R. Alebiosu

20 · C. Awaziem

5 · I. Ogbu

3 · Zaidu

26 · E. Akinsanmiro

10 · F. Dele-Bashiru

28 · T. Nnadi

18 · R. Onyedika

11 · S. Chukwueze

12 · C. Dessers

24 · C. Ejuke

19 · P. Onuachu

15 · M. Simon

Tunisia

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 16A. DahmenG
  2. 20Y. ValeryD
  3. 6D. BronnD
  4. 3M. TalbiD
  5. 2A. AbdiD
  6. 17E. SkhiriM
  7. 5M. Ben RomdhaneM
  8. 13F. SassiM
  9. 10H. MejbriM
  10. 9H. MastouriF
  11. 7E. AchouriF
Substitutes (15)

22 · B. Ben Said

1 · N. Farhati

24 · A. Arous

12 · A. Maaloul

4 · Y. Meriah

15 · M. Belhadj

14 · M. Ben Ali

21 · M. Ben Ouanes

25 · H. Tka

19 · F. Chaouat

11 · I. Gharbi

27 · S. Jaziri

8 · E. Saad

23 · N. Sliti

26 · S. Tounekti

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Nigeria

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Stanley Nwabali906.3—0—22—
Bright Osayi-Samuel906.5—0—512
Semi Ajayi906.5—0173—
Calvin Bassey907.2—0—64—
Bruno Onyemaechi906.9—0—394
Frank Onyeka796.9—01271
Wilfred Ndidi908.5102537
Alex Iwobi906.6—0—59—
Ademola Lookman899.2121241
Akor Adams797.2—0181
Victor Osimhen907.911512—
Chidera Ejuke116.9—0111
Moses Simon116.3—0—4—
Chidozie Awaziem1——0—4—
Francis Uzoho———————
Amas Obasogie———————
Zaidu Sanusi———————
Igoh Ogbu———————
Ryan Alebiosu———————
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro———————
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru———————
Tochukwu Nnadi———————
Raphael Onyedika———————
Cyriel Dessers———————
Paul Onuachu———————
Samuel Chukwueze———————

Tunisia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Aymen Dahmen905.9—0—20—
Yan Valery905.9—0—291
Dylan Bronn907.0—0—29—
Montassar Talbi906.610120—
Ali Abdi907.010235—
Ellyes Skhiri907.0—0—423
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane616.3—0—61
Ferjani Sassi906.2—0133—
Hannibal Mejbri907.7—11391
Hazem Mastouri906.3—0—15—
Elias Achouri756.2—0—12—
Sebastian Tounekti296.3—0113—
Ismael Gharbi156.0—017—
Noureddine Farhati———————
Bechir Ben Said———————
Ali Maâloul———————
Yassine Meriah———————
Adem Arous———————
Mohamed Ben Ali———————
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud———————
Naïm Sliti———————
Mortadha Ben Ouanes———————
Houssem Teka———————
Seifeddine Jaziri———————
Firas Chaouat———————
Elias Saad———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Africa Cup of Nations table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group C. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Nigeria33008449
WWW
2Tunisia31116514
DLW
3Tanzania302134-12
DDL
4Uganda301237-41
LDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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