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Uganda vs Tanzania match centre

Uganda badgeUgandaHome · 4 in league
WLWLL
Momentum↘ Falling34/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Tanzania badgeTanzaniaAway · 3 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
U. Ikpeazu80′
S. Msuva59′ (pen)
Al-Barid Stadium · RabatSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
UgandaTanzania
7Corner Kicks3
16Fouls16
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves5
421Total passes347
347Passes accurate276

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Uganda 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Tanzania 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Uganda

5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Uganda’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Tanzania

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Tanzania’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Uganda

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Tanzania

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Uganda at home with Tanzania away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Africa Cup of Nations · 2025/26 · all league matches

UgandaTanzania
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Uganda at home with Tanzania away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Uganda

Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Morley Byekwaso Ochama
  1. 18D. OnyangoG
  2. 4K. SemakulaD
  3. 5T. SibbickD
  4. 15J. ObitaD
  5. 23A. KayondoD
  6. 21A. Okello
  7. 6B. ByaruhangaM
  8. 12B. AlhassanM
  9. 7R. MatoM
  10. 10T. MutyabaF
  11. 22J. Ssemugabi
Substitutes (15)

1 · N. Alionzi

19 · S. Magoola

8 · K. Aucho

9 · U. Ikpeazu

27 · M. Lorenzen

11 · S. Mukwala

14 · D. Omedi

16 · R. Ssekiganda

17 · R. Mpande

20 · I. Muleme

2 · R. Torach

24 · J. Bogere

25 · S. Kwikiriza

26 · H. Mukundane

28 · Ahimbisibwe Ivan

Tanzania

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hemed Suleiman Ali
  1. 28Z. Foba
  2. 25H. MnogaD
  3. 14B. MwamnyetoD
  4. 4I. HamadD
  5. 15M. HusseinD
  6. 27A. MsangaM
  7. 20N. MiroshiM
  8. 26T. AllarakhiaM
  9. 6F. SalumM
  10. 12S. MsuvaM
  11. 21K. JohnF
Substitutes (15)

1 · H. Masalanga

2 · P. Msindo

5 · D. Job

3 · N. Kibabage

19 · L. Mwaikenda

16 · W. Nangu

22 · S. Kapombe

23 · Y. Kagoma

17 · K. Habibu

8 · C. M'Mombwa

24 · K. Nashon

9 · A. Suleiman

7 · I. Nado

11 · D. Kibu

10 · A. Samatta

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Uganda

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Denis Onyango906.6—0—381
Kenneth Semakula906.7—01391
Toby Sibbick906.9—0—672
Jordan Obita907.2—0—651
Aziz Kayondo907.3—02283
Allan Okello896.0—05321
Byaruhanga Bobosi907.0—0—414
Baba Alhassan655.9—0—34—
Rogers Mato906.7—01173
Travis Mutyaba776.9—0—273
Jude Ssemugabi776.2—01171
Denis Omedi256.9—116—
Uche Ikpeazu137.21013—
James Bogere136.7—0—6—
Ronald Ssekiganda1——0—1—
Legason Nafiani Alionzi———————
Salim Jamal Magoola———————
Hilary Mukundane———————
Isaac Muleme———————
Rogers Torach———————
Khalid Aucho———————
Shafik Nana Kwikiriza———————
Ivan Ahimbisibwe———————
Reagan Mpande———————
Steven Mukwala———————
Melvyn Lorenzen———————

Tanzania

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Zuberi Foba Masudi906.2—0—17—
Haji Mnoga905.9—01243
Bakari Mwamnyeto906.2—0—382
Ibrahim Hamad908.2—0—423
Mohamed Husseini906.6—0—383
Alphonce Msanga906.6—0—375
Novatus Miroshi907.2—01471
Tarryn Allarakhia646.3—0—21—
Feisal Salum846.9—01313
Simon Msuva907.3101202
Kelvin John646.3—02101
Dickson Job266.3—0—5—
Mbwana Ally Samatta266.3—0—11—
Charles M'Mombwa146.7—016—
Wilson Nangu———————
Pascal Msindo———————
Lusajo Mwaikenda———————
Nickson Clement Kibabage———————
Shomari Kapombe———————
Khalid Habibu———————
Hussein Masaranga———————
Denis Kibu———————
Kelvin Nashon———————
Yusuph Kagoma———————
Iddi Selemani———————
Selemani Mwalimu———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Africa Cup of Nations table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group C. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Nigeria33008449
WWW
2Tunisia31116514
DLW
3Tanzania302134-12
DDL
4Uganda301237-41
LDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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