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Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria match centre

Equatorial Guinea badgeEquatorial GuineaHome · 4 in league
DWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling22/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
Algeria badgeAlgeriaAway · 1 in league
WWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising87/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Nsue50′
Z. Belaid19′
F. Chaibi25′
I. Maza32′
Moulay Hassan Stadium · RabatSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Equatorial GuineaAlgeria
4Corner Kicks5
13Fouls15
4Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
434Total passes532
377Passes accurate484

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Equatorial Guinea 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Algeria 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Algeria

7/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Algeria’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Equatorial Guinea at home with Algeria away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Africa Cup of Nations · 2025/26 · all league matches

Equatorial GuineaAlgeria
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Equatorial Guinea at home with Algeria away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Equatorial Guinea

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1J. OwonoG
  2. 3M. AniebohD
  3. 21E. OrozcoD
  4. 16S. CocoD
  5. 12C. OndoD
  6. 5O. MascarellM
  7. 8J. BuylaM
  8. 4A. BalboaM
  9. 22P. GanetM
  10. 26J. NabilM
  11. 10E. NsueF
Substitutes (13)

2 · N. Senra

6 · I. Salvador

7 · J. Machin

9 · D. Hanza

13 · A. Embela

14 · P. Obiang

18 · P. Ngaah

19 · L. Asue

23 · M. Sapunga

24 · L. Zuniga

25 · J. Mum

27 · G. Akogo

28 · A. Masogo

Algeria

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Madjid Bougherra
  1. 1A. MandreaG
  2. 25R. BelghaliD
  3. 5Z. BelaidD
  4. 4M. TougaiD
  5. 15R. Ait NouriD
  6. 6R. ZerroukiM
  7. 8H. AbdelliM
  8. 11A. Hadj MoussaM
  9. 22I. MazaM
  10. 17F. ChaibiM
  11. 12M. BakrarF
Substitutes (15)

2 · A. Mandi

3 · M. Dorval

7 · R. Mahrez

9 · B. Bounedjah

10 · I. Bennacer

14 · H. Boudaoui

16 · O. Benbot

18 · M. Amoura

19 · A. Zorgane

20 · Y. Atal

21 · R. Bensebaini

23 · L. Zidane

24 · I. Kebbal

27 · A. Boulbina

28 · R. Berkane

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Equatorial Guinea

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jesús Owono906.0—0—35—
Marvin Anieboh905.9—0—34—
Esteban Orozco906.5—0—742
Saúl Coco846.5—0175—
Charles Ondo716.3—0—173
Omar Mascarell456.2—0—38—
Jannick Buyla716.2—0—131
Alex Balboa906.2—11311
Pablo Ganet906.6—01443
José Nabil456.3—0—82
Emilio Nsue907.310317—
José Machín456.6—0121—
Iban Salvador456.9—0—13—
Michael Ngaah196.6—0—9—
Gael Akogo Esono196.3—0—3—
Néstor Senra126.6—0—2—
Manuel Sapunga———————
Aitor Embela Gil———————
Javier Mum———————
Alex Masogo———————
Pedro Obiang———————
Loren Zúñiga———————
Luís Asué———————
Dorian Hanza———————

Algeria

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Anthony Mandrea906.9—0—36—
Rafik Belghali456.9—0—281
Zineddine Belaid907.7101481
Mohamed Tougai606.9—0142—
Rayan Aït-Nouri457.2—0—413
Ramiz Zerrouki907.2—0—554
Himad Abdelli906.3—0—72—
Anis Hadj Moussa907.7—2—321
Ibrahim Maza618.9111323
Farès Chaïbi797.5106262
Monsef Bakrar906.2—02121
Youcef Atal456.5—0—252
Mehdi Dorval456.5—0—23—
Aïssa Mandi306.6—0—21—
Adem Zorgane296.7—0—24—
Ilan Kebbal116.3—0—15—
Luca Zidane———————
Oussama Benbot———————
Ramy Bensebaini———————
Hicham Boudaoui———————
Adil Boulbina———————
Ismaël Bennacer———————
Riyad Mahrez———————
Baghdad Bounedjah———————
Redouane Berkane———————
Mohamed Amoura———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Africa Cup of Nations table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group E. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Algeria33007169
WWW
2Burkina Faso32014226
WLW
3Sudan310215-43
LWL
4Equatorial Guinea300326-40
LLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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