Likeliest match result
Hungary U21 to win61.4% market implied
Stored odds 1.53 · Pinnacle
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 21THE MATCH CENTREHungary U21 vs Lithuania U21 match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Tuboly30′ (pen)
C. Denes75′
D. Grudzinskas16′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Pre-match research only
Hungary U21 to win
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance61.4%
Best stored price1.53Pinnacle
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 65.4%.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals51.6% market implied
Stored odds 1.90 · Bet365
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No51.3% market implied
Stored odds 1.85 · Betfair
Double chance
Hungary U21 or draw84.0% market implied
Stored odds 1.14 · William Hill
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 1 Oct 17:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Hungary U21Lithuania U21
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Hungary U21 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Lithuania U21 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Hungary U21
1/6Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Hungary U21’s resultsLithuania U21
0/5Wins
0.4Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Lithuania U21’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Hungary U21
6 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals3 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Lithuania U21
5 matchesResults0 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.4
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Hungary U21 at home with Lithuania U21 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 1 Oct, 23:33 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 2027/28 · all league matches
Hungary U21Lithuania U21
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Hungary U21 at home with Lithuania U21 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Hungary U21
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Lithuania U21
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2027/28 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification table
Current standings · Group H. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Croatia U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Turkey U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 | LWWDW |
| 3 |  Ukraine U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 | WDLLD |
| 4 | Hungary U21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 5 | Lithuania U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 2 | DLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Hungary U21 | Draw | Lithuania U21 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.22 | 6.01 |
| SBO | 1.43 | 3.87 | 5.90 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
Snapshot from 1 Oct 2026, 17:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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