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Bulgaria vs Spain match centre

Bulgaria badgeBulgariaHome · 4 in league
DLLDL
Momentum↓ Low12/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:3
UK time · Europe/London
Spain badgeSpainAway · 1 in league
WWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Oyarzabal5′
M. Cucurella30′
M. Merino38′
National Stadium Vasil Levski · SofiaSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
BulgariaSpain
1Corner Kicks6
6Fouls17
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
8Goalkeeper Saves0
228Total passes818
159Passes accurate753

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Bulgaria 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Spain 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Bulgaria

2/9Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Bulgaria’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Spain

3/3Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Spain’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Bulgaria

9 matches
Oldest newest
Results2 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored4 of 9

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bulgaria at home with Spain away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

BulgariaSpain
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bulgaria at home with Spain away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Bulgaria

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 21S. VutsovG
  2. 14A. NedyalkovD
  3. 5K. DimitrovD
  4. 13E. TsenovD
  5. 7F. NurnbergerD
  6. 15V. PanayotovM
  7. 18I. ChochevM
  8. 4I. GruevM
  9. 12N. MinkovF
  10. 9A. KolevF
  11. 10R. KirilovF
Substitutes (12)

1 · D. Mitov

23 · I. Dyulgerov

2 · H. Petrov

3 · Z. Atanasov

6 · R. Bozhinov

8 · A. Kraev

11 · K. Despodov

16 · M. Petkov

17 · G. Milanov

19 · M. Minchev

20 · L. Petkov

22 · V. Nikolov

Spain

Confirmed formation4-3-3Luis de la Fuente Castillo
  1. 23U. SimonG
  2. 12P. PorroD
  3. 3R. Le NormandD
  4. 5D. HuijsenD
  5. 22M. CucurellaD
  6. 6M. MerinoM
  7. 18M. ZubimendiM
  8. 20PedriM
  9. 19Lamine YamalF
  10. 21M. OyarzabalF
  11. 17N. WilliamsF
Substitutes (12)

1 · D. Raya

13 · A. Remiro

2 · D. Carvajal

4 · P. Cubarsi

7 · A. Morata

8 · F. Lopez

9 · A. Garcia

10 · D. Olmo

11 · F. Torres

14 · J. Rodriguez

15 · A. Grimaldo

16 · Rodri

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Bulgaria

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Svetoslav Vutsov907.3—0—361
Anton Nedyalkov906.3—0—234
Kristian Dimitrov906.2—0—25—
Emil Tsenov907.2—0—301
Fabian Nürnberger626.2—0—163
Vasil Panayotov456.2—0—3—
Ivajlo Chochev816.6—01142
Ilia Gruev906.6—0—262
Nikolay Minkov906.6—0—13—
Aleksandar Kolev716.5—0—14—
Radoslav Kirilov726.3—0—81
Marin Petkov456.6—0—61
Rosen Bozhinov286.6—0—8—
Vladimir Nikolov196.9—0—32
Martin Minchev186.5—0—1—
Georgi Milanov96.3—0—2—
Dimitar Mitov———————
Ivan Dyulgerov———————
Zhivko Atanasov———————
Hristiyan Petrov———————
Kiril Despodov———————
Lukas Petkov———————
Andrian Kraev———————

Spain

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Unai Simón906.6—0—12—
Pedro Porro627.9—01521
Robin Le Normand456.6—0—41—
Dean Huijsen907.9—021031
Marc Cucurella908.0101811
Mikel Merino908.210452—
Martín Zubimendi628.0—1—78—
Pedri908.0—01130—
Lamine Yamal797.9—13511
Mikel Oyarzabal907.710224—
Nico Williams717.7—0245—
Pau Cubarsí456.9—0—551
Daniel Carvajal286.6—0—25—
Rodri287.0—0148—
Dani Olmo196.3—0—10—
Jesús Rodriguez116.7—0—11—
David Raya———————
Álex Remiro———————
Fermín López———————
Aleix García———————
Alejandro Grimaldo———————
Álvaro Morata———————
Ferran Torres———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group E. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Spain65102121916
DWWWW
2Türkiye64111712513
DWWWL
3Georgia6105715-83
LLLLW
4Bulgaria6105319-163
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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