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Croatia vs Gibraltar match centre

Croatia badgeCroatiaHome · 1 in league
DWWWD
Momentum↑ Strong73/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Gibraltar badgeGibraltarAway · 5 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
T. Fruk30′
L. Sucic78′
M. Erlic90′
Gradski stadion Varazdin · VaraždinSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CroatiaGibraltar
18Corner Kicks0
7Fouls7
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves6
613Total passes162
545Passes accurate91

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Croatia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Gibraltar 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Croatia

4/6Wins
3.3Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Croatia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Gibraltar

0/10Wins
0.4Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Gibraltar’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Croatia at home with Gibraltar away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:25 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

CroatiaGibraltar
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Croatia at home with Gibraltar away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Croatia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Zlatko Dalić
  1. 12D. KotarskiG
  2. 22M. PasalicD
  3. 3M. PongracicD
  4. 5M. ErlicD
  5. 6D. BradaricD
  6. 13N. MoroM
  7. 8M. KovacicM
  8. 7L. MajerM
  9. 16M. BaturinaM
  10. 19T. FrukM
  11. 20F. IvanovicF
Substitutes (12)

1 · D. Livakovic

23 · I. Ivusic

2 · I. Smolcic

4 · J. Gvardiol

9 · A. Kramaric

10 · L. Modric

11 · A. Budimir

14 · I. Perisic

15 · M. Pasalic

17 · P. Sucic

18 · K. Jakic

21 · L. Sucic

Gibraltar

Confirmed formation5-4-1Scott Nigel Kenneth Wiseman
  1. 23J. Hankins
  2. 3E. JolleyD
  3. 14K. RonanD
  4. 6B. LopesD
  5. 5L. AnnesleyD
  6. 2J. ValarinoD
  7. 8J. ScanlonM
  8. 4D. BentM
  9. 16J. PereraM
  10. 11C. Richards
  11. 7T. De BarrF
Substitutes (11)

1 · B. Banda

13 · V. Huart

10 · J. Del Rio

12 · D. Borge

15 · A. Mouelhi

17 · K. Ronco

18 · K. Clinton

19 · L. Jessop

20 · J. Vinet

21 · K. Mauro

22 · E. De Haro

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Croatia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dominik Kotarski906.9—0—13—
Marco Pašalić909.0—15561
Marin Pongračić606.9—0—321
Martin Erlić907.9101492
Domagoj Bradarić907.9—0—671
Nikola Moro456.9—0—51—
Mateo Kovačić697.9—0—892
Lovro Majer908.2—15521
Martin Baturina697.2—0138—
Toni Fruk908.5103321
Franjo Ivanović697.3—05261
Luka Sučić457.310219—
Joško Gvardiol306.6—0—321
Luka Modrić217.2—0—36—
Ivan Perišić217.0—01151
Andrej Kramarić216.9—016—
Dominik Livaković———————
Ivica Ivušić———————
Ivan Smolčić———————
Petar Sučić———————
Kristijan Jakić———————
Mario Pašalić———————
Ante Budimir———————

Gibraltar

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jaylan Hankins908.2—0—39—
Ethan Jolley906.5—0—101
Kian Ronan906.0—0—102
Bernardo Lopes906.3—0—121
Louie Annesley887.3—019—
Julian Valarino906.2—0—113
James Scanlon896.3—0—11—
Dan Bent906.3—0—191
Jeremy Perera676.6—0—61
Carlos Richards906.2—0—14—
Tjay De Barr896.5—0—182
Kyle Clinton236.2—0—1—
Ayman Mouelhi96.3—0—2—
Julian Del Rio1——0———
Liam Jessop1——0———
Bradley Banda———————
Victor Huart———————
Kevagn Ronco———————
Kai Mauro———————
Jaron Vinet———————
Evan de Haro———————
Dylan Borge———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group L. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Croatia87102642222
WWWDW
2Czech Republic85121881016
WLDWL
3Faroe Islands8404119212
LWWWL
4Montenegro8305817-99
LWLLL
5Gibraltar8008328-250
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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