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Serie AMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Fiorentina vs Napoli match centre

Fiorentina badgeFiorentinaHome · 15 in league
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
Napoli badgeNapoliAway · 2 in league
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
L. Ranieri79′
K. De Bruyne6′ (pen)
R. Hojlund14′
S. Beukema51′
Stadio Artemio Franchi · FlorenceSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FiorentinaNapoli
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Fiorentina 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Napoli 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Fiorentina

0/2Wins
0.5Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Fiorentina’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Napoli

2/2Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Napoli’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fiorentina at home with Napoli away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2025/26 · all league matches

FiorentinaNapoli
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fiorentina at home with Napoli away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Fiorentina

1wins
1 draw

Napoli

3wins

Oct 2023 – Mar 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Fiorentina first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Fiorentina

Confirmed formation3-5-2Stefano Pioli
  1. 43D. de GeaG
  2. 15P. ComuzzoD
  3. 5M. PongracicD
  4. 6L. RanieriD
  5. 2DodoM
  6. 8R. MandragoraM
  7. 44N. FagioliM
  8. 7S. SohmM
  9. 21R. GosensM
  10. 20M. KeanF
  11. 9E. DzekoF
Substitutes (13)

1 · L. Lezzerini

30 · T. Martinelli

18 · P. Mari

26 · M. Viti

29 · N. Fortini

48 · T. Lamptey

60 · E. Kouadio

65 · F. Parisi

14 · H. Nicolussi Caviglia

22 · J. Fazzini

24 · A. Richardson

27 · C. Ndour

91 · R. Piccoli

Napoli

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Antonio Conte
  1. 32V. Milinkovic-SavicG
  2. 22G. Di LorenzoD
  3. 31S. BeukemaD
  4. 4A. BuongiornoD
  5. 37L. SpinazzolaD
  6. 68S. LobotkaM
  7. 21M. PolitanoM
  8. 99F. AnguissaM
  9. 11K. De BruyneM
  10. 8S. McTominayM
  11. 19R. HojlundF
Substitutes (14)

1 · A. Meret

25 · M. Ferrante

3 · M. Gutierrez

5 · Juan Jesus

17 · M. Olivera

30 · P. Mazzocchi

35 · L. Marianucci

6 · B. Gilmour

20 · E. Elmas

7 · David Neres

26 · A. Vergara

27 · L. Lucca

69 · G. Ambrosino

70 · N. Lang

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Fiorentina

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
David De Gea907.3—0—35—
Pietro Comuzzo875.7—0—422
Marin Pongračić895.7—0—50—
Luca Ranieri906.9101591
Dodô907.0—01361
Rolando Mandragora906.2—0240—
Nicolò Fagioli656.5—0—38—
Simon Sohm656.9—0—332
Robin Gosens907.6—01453
Moise Kean906.6—0461
Edin Džeko456.9—0—181
Roberto Piccoli456.9—0211—
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia257.2—0—231
Jacopo Fazzini256.9—0—12—
Tariq Lamptey106.9—0—71
Mattia Viti1——0—1—
Luca Lezzerini———————
Tommaso Martinelli———————
Fabiano Parisi———————
Pablo Marí———————
Eddy Kouadio———————
Cher Ndour———————
Amir Richardson———————
Niccolò Fortini———————

Napoli

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Vanja Milinković-Savić906.6—0—31—
Giovanni Di Lorenzo907.5—01463
Sam Beukema907.3101371
Alessandro Buongiorno907.0—0—393
Leonardo Spinazzola697.5—1—321
Stanislav Lobotka896.9—0—551
Matteo Politano696.9—02201
Frank Anguissa908.0—11491
Kevin De Bruyne697.710233—
Scott McTominay906.9—01291
Rasmus Højlund738.210217—
Mathías Olivera216.5—0—12—
Eljif Elmas216.2—013—
David Neres216.9—0—122
Lorenzo Lucca176.3—0—4—
Billy Gilmour1——0———
Mathias Ferrante———————
Juan Jesus———————
Miguel Gutiérrez———————
Luca Marianucci———————
Pasquale Mazzocchi———————
Antonio Vergara———————
Giuseppe Ambrosino———————
Noa Lang———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter38276589355487
DDWWD
2Napoli38237858362276
WWLDW
3AS Roma382341159312873
WWWWW
4Como382011765293671
WWWDW
5AC Milan382010853351870
LWLLD
6Juventus381912761342769
DLWDD
7Atalanta381514951361559
DLWDL
8Bologna38168144946356
DWWDL
9Lazio381412124140154
WLLWD
10Udinese38148164548-350
LLWWD
11Sassuolo38147174650-449
LLLWD
12Torino38129174463-1945
DLWLD
13Parma381112152846-1845
WLLLW
14Cagliari381110174053-1343
WWLDW
15Fiorentina38915144150-942
DWDLD
16Genoa381011174151-1041
LLDDL
17Lecce38108202850-2238
WWLWD
18Cremonese38810203257-2534
LWWLL
19Hellas Verona38312232561-3621
LDLDD
20Pisa38212242671-4518
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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