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Leeds vs Newcastle match centre

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Elland Road · LeedsSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
LeedsNewcastle
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Leeds 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Newcastle 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Leeds

0 matches
Oldest newest
Results0 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game—
Goals conceded per game—
Games with 3+ goals—
Both teams scored—

Only a few results are available.

See results

Newcastle

0 matches
Oldest newest
Results0 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game—
Goals conceded per game—
Games with 3+ goals—
Both teams scored—

Only a few results are available.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Leeds at home with Newcastle away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier League · 2025/26 · all league matches

LeedsNewcastle
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Leeds at home with Newcastle away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Leeds

1wins
3 draws

Newcastle

1wins

Jan 2021 – May 2023 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with Leeds first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Leeds

Confirmed formation4-3-3Daniel Farke
  1. 1Lucas PerriG
  2. 2J. BogleD
  3. 6J. RodonD
  4. 5P. StruijkD
  5. 3G. GudmundssonD
  6. 8S. LongstaffM
  7. 44I. GruevM
  8. 18A. StachM
  9. 7D. JamesF
  10. 14L. NmechaF
  11. 29W. GnontoF
Substitutes (9)

26 · K. Darlow

9 · D. Calvert-Lewin

23 · S. Bornauw

24 · J. Justin

19 · N. Okafor

15 · J. Bijol

20 · J. Harrison

10 · J. Piroe

11 · B. Aaronson

Newcastle

Confirmed formation5-3-2Eddie Howe
  1. 1N. PopeG
  2. 2K. TrippierD
  3. 5F. ScharD
  4. 4S. BotmanD
  5. 33D. BurnD
  6. 21V. LivramentoD
  7. 39Bruno GuimaraesM
  8. 8S. TonaliM
  9. 41J. RamseyM
  10. 23J. MurphyF
  11. 18W. OsulaF
Substitutes (9)

32 · A. Ramsdale

6 · J. Lascelles

17 · E. Krafth

28 · J. Willock

12 · M. Thiaw

3 · L. Hall

11 · H. Barnes

20 · A. Elanga

67 · L. Miley

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Leeds

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lucas Perri906.3—0—38—
Jayden Bogle906.9—01382
Joe Rodon907.2—0—491
Pascal Struijk907.0—0—63—
Gabriel Gudmundsson807.2—0—332
Sean Longstaff907.0—0—355
Ilia Gruev907.2—0—553
Anton Stach907.0—02272
Daniel James607.2—01101
Lukas Nmecha706.2—0—18—
Wilfried Gnonto606.3—0124—
Jack Harrison307.0—0—91
Brenden Aaronson306.9—0—81
Dominic Calvert-Lewin206.2—026—
James Justin106.7—0—1—
Karl Darlow———————
Jaka Bijol———————
Sebastiaan Bornauw———————
Noah Okafor———————
Joël Piroe———————

Newcastle

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nick Pope907.0—0—19—
Kieran Trippier616.6—0—471
Fabian Schär907.5—0187—
Sven Botman687.2—0—442
Dan Burn906.9—0—57—
Valentino Livramento906.7—0—46—
Bruno Guimarães906.9—0—543
Sandro Tonali906.9—0—81—
Jacob Ramsey456.9—0—17—
Jacob Murphy626.2—0314—
William Osula906.5—0—121
Lewis Miley456.7—0—30—
Lewis Hall296.7—01181
Anthony Elanga286.3—0—111
Harvey Barnes226.6—0—101
Aaron Ramsdale———————
Jamaal Lascelles———————
Malick Thiaw———————
Emil Krafth———————
Joe Willock———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal38267571274485
WWWWW
2Manchester City38239677354278
LDWWD
3Manchester United382011769501971
WWDWW
4Aston Villa38198115649765
WWDLL
5Liverpool381791263531060
DLDLW
6Bournemouth38131875854457
DDWWD
7Sunderland381412124248-654
WWDDL
8Brighton381411135246653
LLWLW
9Brentford381411135552353
DDLWL
10Chelsea381410145852652
LWDLL
11Fulham38157164751-452
WDLLW
12Newcastle38147175355-249
LWDWL
13Everton381310154750-349
LLDDL
14Leeds381114134956-747
LWDWD
15Crystal Palace381112154151-1045
LDLDL
16Nottingham Forest381111164851-344
DLDWW
17Tottenham381011174857-941
WLDWW
18West Ham38109194665-1939
WLLLW
19Burnley38410243875-3722
DLDLL
20Wolves38311242768-4120
DDLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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