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Premier LeagueMatchweek 28
EnglandTHE MATCH CENTRE

Burnley vs Brentford match centre

Burnley badgeBurnleyHome · 19 in league
LLWLD
Momentum→ Steady28/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:4
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
Brentford badgeBrentfordAway · 9 in league
WWDWL
Momentum↘ Falling61/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Kayode45+3′ (og)
Turf Moor · BurnleySeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
BurnleyBrentford
4Corner Kicks8
8Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
317Total passes449
251Passes accurate366

— means unavailable.

Statistics snapshot: 364953 min old.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
Burnley0.82xG

3 goals +2.18 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
Brentford2.45xG

4 goals +1.55 vs xG

25%Share of total xG · not a win probability75%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

Burnley BrentfordBoth teams attack →
Burnley · Zian Flemming · 1′ · Missed Shots · 0.01 xGBrentford · Dango Ouattara · 9′ · Blocked Shot · 0.05 xGBrentford · Mikkel Damsgaard · 9′ · Goal · 0.10 xGBrentford · Thiago · 13′ · Saved Shot · 0.10 xGBurnley · Jaidon Anthony · 17′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xGBurnley · Jaidon Anthony · 21′ · Saved Shot · 0.07 xGBrentford · Kevin Schade · 24′ · Missed Shots · 0.41 xGBrentford · Thiago · 25′ · Goal · 0.27 xGBrentford · Sepp van den Berg · 34′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGBrentford · Kevin Schade · 34′ · Goal · 0.95 xGBurnley · Jaidon Anthony · 44′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGBurnley · Hannibal Mejbri · 46′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xGBrentford · Thiago · 47′ · Blocked Shot · 0.07 xGBurnley · Jaidon Anthony · 47′ · Goal · 0.06 xGBrentford · Sepp van den Berg · 48′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGBurnley · Jaidon Anthony · 48′ · Missed Shots · 0.06 xGBrentford · Michael Kayode · 48′ · Own Goal · 0.00 xGBurnley · Zian Flemming · 60′ · Goal · 0.22 xGBurnley · Maxime Estève · 65′ · Missed Shots · 0.09 xGBrentford · Sepp van den Berg · 66′ · Missed Shots · 0.05 xGBurnley · Chimuanya Ugochukwu · 68′ · Blocked Shot · 0.12 xGBrentford · Mikkel Damsgaard · 71′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xGBrentford · Mikkel Damsgaard · 76′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGBurnley · Zian Flemming · 77′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGBrentford · Romelle Donovan · 85′ · Blocked Shot · 0.04 xGBrentford · Mikkel Damsgaard · 93′ · Goal · 0.10 xGBurnley · Joe Worrall · 95′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGBrentford · Thiago · 95′ · Blocked Shot · 0.09 xGBrentford · Mathias Jensen · 97′ · Saved Shot · 0.05 xG

29 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 29 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
1′Zian FlemmingBurnleyMissed Shots0.01
9′Dango OuattaraBrentfordBlocked Shot0.05
9′Mikkel DamsgaardBrentfordGoal0.10
13′ThiagoBrentfordSaved Shot0.10
17′Jaidon AnthonyBurnleyMissed Shots0.03
21′Jaidon AnthonyBurnleySaved Shot0.07
24′Kevin SchadeBrentfordMissed Shots0.41
25′ThiagoBrentfordGoal0.27
34′Sepp van den BergBrentfordBlocked Shot0.06
34′Kevin SchadeBrentfordGoal0.95
44′Jaidon AnthonyBurnleyMissed Shots0.04
46′Hannibal MejbriBurnleyMissed Shots0.03
47′ThiagoBrentfordBlocked Shot0.07
47′Jaidon AnthonyBurnleyGoal0.06
48′Sepp van den BergBrentfordMissed Shots0.04
48′Jaidon AnthonyBurnleyMissed Shots0.06
48′Michael KayodeBrentfordOwn Goal0.00
60′Zian FlemmingBurnleyGoal0.22
65′Maxime EstèveBurnleyMissed Shots0.09
66′Sepp van den BergBrentfordMissed Shots0.05
68′Chimuanya UgochukwuBurnleyBlocked Shot0.12
71′Mikkel DamsgaardBrentfordBlocked Shot0.03
76′Mikkel DamsgaardBrentfordMissed Shots0.04
77′Zian FlemmingBurnleyBlocked Shot0.06
85′Romelle DonovanBrentfordBlocked Shot0.04
93′Mikkel DamsgaardBrentfordGoal0.10
95′Joe WorrallBurnleyMissed Shots0.04
95′ThiagoBrentfordBlocked Shot0.09
97′Mathias JensenBrentfordSaved Shot0.05

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

Burnley

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

Brentford

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Premier League · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

Burnley

27 league matches

19 pts4W7D16L
1.1Goals scored / match1.5
2.0Goals conceded / match1.4
3Clean sheets6
9Failed to score8
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

Burnley

Formation3-4-2-1Mike Jackson
  1. 1M. DubravkaForm 7.0Ability 77G
  2. 12B. HumphreysForm 6.9Ability 74D
  3. 4J. WorrallForm 6.5Ability —D
  4. 5M. EsteveForm 6.6Ability 76D
  5. 29J. LaurentForm 6.5Ability —M
  6. 20J. Ward-ProwseForm 6.8Ability —M
  7. 28H. MejbriForm 6.7Ability 75M
  8. 23Lucas PiresForm 6.6Ability 74M
  9. 7J. Bruun LarsenForm 6.5Ability 73F
  10. 11J. AnthonyForm 6.8Ability —F
  11. 19Z. FlemmingForm 6.8Ability 76F
Substitutes (9)

13 · M. WeissForm 7.7Ability 70

2 · K. WalkerForm 6.6Ability —

17 · L. TchaounaForm 6.6Ability 73

8 · L. UgochukwuForm 6.7Ability —

3 · Q. HartmanForm 6.5Ability 75

35 · A. BarnesForm 6.4Ability —

16 · FlorentinoForm 6.7Ability 77

18 · H. EkdalForm 6.7Ability 71

9 · L. FosterForm 6.5Ability —

Brentford

Formation4-2-3-1Keith Andrews
  1. 12H. R. ValdimarssonForm 6.3Ability —G
  2. 33M. KayodeForm 6.9Ability —D
  3. 20K. AjerForm 6.7Ability —D
  4. 4S. van den BergForm 6.8Ability 78D
  5. 3R. HenryForm 6.5Ability —D
  6. 18Y. YarmolyukForm 6.7Ability —M
  7. 8M. JensenForm 7.0Ability 80M
  8. 19D. OuattaraForm 6.9Ability —M
  9. 24M. DamsgaardForm 7.0Ability —M
  10. 7K. SchadeForm 6.8Ability 79M
  11. 9I. ThiagoForm 6.9Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

31 · E. BalcombeForm —Ability —

6 · J. HendersonForm 6.8Ability —

5 · E. PinnockForm 6.8Ability —

22 · N. CollinsForm 6.8Ability —

23 · K. Lewis-PotterForm 6.7Ability —

47 · K. FuroForm 6.5Ability —

45 · R. DonovanForm 6.7Ability 67

49 · O. ShieldForm —Ability —

48 · L. BenttForm —Ability —

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Burnley

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Martin Dúbravka906.0—0—30—
Bashir Humphreys906.5—0—402
Joe Worrall905.3—0117—
Maxime Estève906.3—0138—
Josh Laurent456.3—0—231
James Ward-Prowse756.5—0—30—
Hannibal Mejbri847.3—21313
Lucas Pires907.5—0—332
Jacob Bruun Larsen456.3—0—4—
Jaidon Anthony907.9105272
Zian Flemming897.3102131
Lesley Ugochukwu456.7—0—101
Lyle Foster457.0—0—161
Florentino Luís156.6—0—10—
Loum Tchaouna206.6—0—3—
Ashley Barnes136.3—0—1—
Max Weiss———————
Kyle Walker———————
Quilindschy Hartman———————
Hjalmar Ekdal———————

Brentford

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson906.3—0—41—
Michael Kayode906.9—0—354
Kristoffer Ajer906.0—0—491
Sepp van den Berg906.3—0368—
Rico Henry906.3—1—492
Yehor Yarmolyuk726.5—0—392
Mathias Jensen906.7—01571
Dango Ouattara726.9—1—12—
Mikkel Damsgaard909.3213441
Kevin Schade726.6102191
Igor Thiago908.2102252
Keane Lewis-Potter186.9—0—7—
Jordan Henderson186.6—0—13—
Romelle Donovan186.9—0—5—
Ellery Balcombe———————
Ethan Pinnock———————
Nathan Collins———————
Luka Bentt———————
Ollie Shield———————
Kaye Furo———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal38267571274485
WWWWW
2Manchester City38239677354278
LDWWD
3Manchester United382011769501971
WWDWW
4Aston Villa38198115649765
WWDLL
5Liverpool381791263531060
DLDLW
6Bournemouth38131875854457
DDWWD
7Sunderland381412124248-654
WWDDL
8Brighton381411135246653
LLWLW
9Brentford381411135552353
DDLWL
10Chelsea381410145852652
LWDLL
11Fulham38157164751-452
WDLLW
12Newcastle38147175355-249
LWDWL
13Everton381310154750-349
LLDDL
14Leeds381114134956-747
LWDWD
15Crystal Palace381112154151-1045
LDLDL
16Nottingham Forest381111164851-344
DLDWW
17Tottenham381011174857-941
WLDWW
18West Ham38109194665-1939
WLLLW
19Burnley38410243875-3722
DLDLL
20Wolves38311242768-4120
DDLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 28
Venue
Turf Moor
Referee
Samuel Barrott, England
Kickoff
28 Feb · 15:00 UK
Match data by API-Football
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