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NB IMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRE

Ujpest vs Paks match centre

Ujpest badgeUjpestHome · 7 in league
LLWWL
Momentum→ Steady43/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Paks badgePaksAway · 3 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Szusza Ferenc Stadion · BudapestSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate1.7%Ujpest
Draw92.7%at full time
Current result estimate5.6%Paks
Another goal7.4%before full time

Next goal: Ujpest 1.8% · no further goal 92.6% · Paks 5.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
UjpestPaks
4Corner Kicks9
11Fouls18
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves0
377Total passes307
292Passes accurate233

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

NB I

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Gyori ETO FC33+3569—
2Ferencvarosi TC33+3668—
3Paks34+1754—
4Debreceni VSC33+1053—
5Zalaegerszegi TE33+648—
6Puskas Academy33046—
7Ujpest34-941—
8Nyiregyhaza33-1040↑ 1
9Kisvarda FC33-1340↓ 1
10MTK Budapest33-738—
11Diosgyori VTK33-2628—
12Kazincbarcikai33-3922—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Ujpest 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Paks 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Ujpest

3/7Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Ujpest’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Paks

1/8Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Paks’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ujpest at home with Paks away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:49 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

NB I · 2025/26 · all league matches

UjpestPaks
24Matches played24
29Points earned36
8Wins10
1.4Goals scored / match2.0
1.7Goals conceded / match1.6
1Clean sheets3
8Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ujpest at home with Paks away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Ujpest

Confirmed formation4-4-2Zoltan Szelesi
  1. 23D. BanaiG
  2. 2G. Bodnar
  3. 30J. NunesD
  4. 94P. StronatiD
  5. 55A. FiolaD
  6. 17A. MatkoM
  7. 77N. FenyoM
  8. 88M. LjujicM
  9. 39G. VlijterM
  10. 11K. HorvathF
  11. 19N. GradisarF
Substitutes (12)

31 · D. Dombo

1 · R. Piscitelli

8 · A. Ademi

33 · B. Bese

7 · G. Beridze

18 · T. Lacoux

27 · A. Krajcsovics

9 · F. Brodic

5 · D. Kobouri

44 · B. Gergenyi

34 · M. Tucic

74 · D. Kaczvinszki

Paks

Confirmed formation5-3-2Gyorgy Bognar
  1. 1A. KovacsikG
  2. 11Z. BevardiD
  3. 24B. LenzserD
  4. 30J. SzaboD
  5. 5B. VecseiD
  6. 20M. ZekeD
  7. 22J. WindeckerM
  8. 19K. HorvathM
  9. 8B. BaloghM
  10. 9J. HahnF
  11. 29B. TothF
Substitutes (12)

25 · B. Simon

28 · M. Gyetvan

17 · K. Hinora

15 · A. Szendrei

6 · O. Tamas

3 · A. Alaxai

26 · M. Szekszardi

23 · C. Mate

7 · M. Adam

14 · E. Silye

18 · G. Gyurkits

16 · Z. Pesti

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Ujpest

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dávid Banai978.7———35—
Janos Bodnar977.3———461
João Nunes978.0——1463
Patrizio Stronati977.7———42—
Attila Fiola816.3—0—411
Aljoša Matko916.5——111—
Noah Fenyő977.2———513
Matija Ljujić977.6——2324
Gleofilo Vlijter596.9———142
Krisztofer Horváth597.2———192
Nejc Gradišar916.6——1321
Ábel György Krajcsovics386.7———61
Fran Brodić256.5———8—
Bence Gergényi136.6———1—
Giorgi Beridze6——————
Milan Tučić6————2—
Dávid Dombó———————
Riccardo Piscitelli———————
Daviti Kobouri———————
Dominik Kaczvinszki———————
Barnabás Bese———————
Arijan Ademi———————
Tom Lacoux———————

Paks

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ádám Kovácsik976.6———17—
Zsombor Bévárdi837.3——3141
Bence Lenzsér977.2———462
János Szabó976.9———291
Bálint Vécsei977.3———462
Márió Zeke977.5——1271
József Windecker976.7———37—
Kevin Horváth836.3———302
Balázs Balogh976.9——1453
János Hahn456.3——24—
Barna Tóth646.5——216—
Ákos Szendrei525.9———12—
Martin Ádám337.0——28—
Kristóf Hinora147.7———5—
Csaba Máté146.5—————
Márk Gyetván———————
Barnabás Simon———————
Olivér Tamás———————
Áron Alaxai———————
Erik Silye———————
Milán Szekszárdi———————
Gergő Gyurkits———————
Zoltán Pesti———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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