Ajax
1/1Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.
Inspect Ajax’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 13THE MATCH CENTREAjax vs Excelsior match centre
Goalscorers
K. Dolberg59′
N. Naujoks37′
N. Naujoks46′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AjaxExcelsior
1.440Expected goals · API-Football0.510
—Shots on target—
—Total Shots—
—Ball Possession—
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Excelsior 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Excelsior
No usable regulation-time results are stored for this sample yet.
Inspect Excelsior’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ajax
1 matchesOldest newest
Results1 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 1
Both teams scored1 of 1
Only a few results are available.
See results
Excelsior
0 matchesOldest newest
Results0 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game—
Goals conceded per game—
Games with 3+ goals—
Both teams scored—
Only a few results are available.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ajax at home with Excelsior away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:36 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
AjaxExcelsior
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ajax at home with Excelsior away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Ajax
3wins5MEETINGS
Excelsior
0winsApr 2019 – Apr 2024 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Ajax first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ajax
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Johnny Gijsbert Alan Heitinga
- 22
R. PasveerG - 3
A. GaaeiD - 37
J. SutaloD - 15
Y. BaasD - 41
G. AldersD - 6
Y. RegeerM - 8
K. TaylorM - 17
O. EdvardsenM - 10
O. GloukhM - 11
M. GodtsM - 25
W. WeghorstF
Substitutes (12)
1 · V. Jaros
52 · P. Reverson
4 · K. Itakura
5 · O. Wijndal
7 · R. Moro
9 · K. Dolberg
16 · J. McConnell
18 · D. Klaassen
24 · J. Mokio
28 · K. Fitz-Jim
43 · R. Bounida
48 · S. Steur
Excelsior
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ruben den Uil
- 1
S. van GasselG - 2
I. BronkhorstD - 4
C. WidellD - 3
R. MeissenD - 17
N. MartensD - 23
I. YegoianM - 20
L. HartjesM - 30
D. Sanches FernandesM - 10
N. NaujoksM - 11
G. de RegtM - 33
J. BergraafF
Substitutes (10)
16 · C. Raatsie
5 · S. Henderikx
6 · A. Carlen
9 · S. Wlodarczyk
14 · L. Schouten
15 · S. Janssen
22 · S. Mitrovic
25 · S. Middendorp
29 · M. van Duinen
34 · N. El Hamdaoui
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remko Pasveer | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Anton Gaaei | 57 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Josip Šutalo | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 97 | 1 |
| Youri Baas | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 103 | 6 |
| Gerald Alders | 76 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 3 |
| Youri Regeer | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 62 | 5 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | — |
| Oliver Edvardsen | 76 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 59 | 5 |
| Mika Godts | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Wout Weghorst | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | — |
| Kasper Dolberg | 33 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | — |
| Owen Wijndal | 14 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Raúl Moro | 14 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Davy Klaassen | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Vítězslav Jaroš | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Reverson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ko Itakura | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Bounida | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James McConnell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Steur | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorthy Mokio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kian Fitz-Jim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Excelsior
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stijn van Gassel | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 47 | — |
| Ilias Bronkhorst | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 2 |
| Casper Widell | 84 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 2 |
| Rick Meissen | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Nolan Martens | 84 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 2 |
| Irakli Yegoian | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 4 |
| Lennard Hartjes | 52 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Derensili Sanches Fernandes | 66 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Noah Naujoks | 90 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 3 |
| Gyan de Regt | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Jerolldino Bergraaf | 66 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Adam Carlén | 38 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 2 |
| Mike van Duinen | 24 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Stefan Mitrović | 24 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Simon Janssen | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Lewis Schouten | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Calvin Raatsie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stan Henderikx | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stijn Middendorp | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noa el Hamdaoui | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Szymon Włodarczyk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eredivisie table
Current standings · Eredivisie. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 96 | 44 | 52 | 81 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 62 | DWWDD |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 58 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 52 | 23 | 56 | LDDDW |
| 5 | Ajax | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 55 | LDWWL |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 51 | DDDWW |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 50 | WWLWL |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 50 | LWWLW |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 45 | WLLDW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 43 | LDLLD |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 38 | LDDDW |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 37 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Excelsior | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 35 | DWWDL |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 34 | WDWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 32 | DLWLD |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 28 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 34 | 83 | -49 | 19 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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