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EredivisieMatchweek 23THE MATCH CENTRE

Heracles vs NAC Breda match centre

Heracles badgeHeraclesHome · 18 in league
DLLWL
Momentum↗ Rising28/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
NAC Breda badgeNAC BredaAway · 17 in league
DLDDL
Momentum↓ Low19/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
C. Leemans80′ (pen)
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
HeraclesNAC Breda
4Corner Kicks3
8Fouls11
0Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves3
371Total passes340
274Passes accurate259

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Heracles 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

NAC Breda 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Heracles

1/4Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Heracles’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

NAC Breda

0/4Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect NAC Breda’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Heracles at home with NAC Breda away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:38 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches

HeraclesNAC Breda
22Matches played22
17Points earned16
5Wins3
1.4Goals scored / match1.1
2.6Goals conceded / match1.6
1Clean sheets2
8Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Heracles at home with NAC Breda away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Heracles

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ernest Faber
  1. 22R. PasveerG
  2. 23M. te WierikD
  3. 6S. CesticD
  4. 24I. MesikD
  5. 2M. BenitaM
  6. 70A. HrusticM
  7. 4D. MiraniM
  8. 5D. van der KustM
  9. 73W. Ould ChikhF
  10. 9N. UnuvarF
  11. 19L. KulenovicF
Substitutes (9)

16 · T. Jansink

30 · R. Mantel

39 · S. Blokhuis

13 · J. Zamburek

14 · E. Ahlstrand

17 · T. van Gilst

18 · R. Bozinovski

27 · J. Tijink

10 · T. Bruns

NAC Breda

Confirmed formation4-3-3Carl Hoefkens
  1. 99D. BielicaG
  2. 25C. ValeriusD
  3. 12L. GreimlD
  4. 8C. LeemansD
  5. 4B. KemperD
  6. 90L. HoltbyM
  7. 16M. BalardM
  8. 14K. SowahM
  9. 7C. BrymF
  10. 24A. AyewF
  11. 9M. SoumanoF
Substitutes (12)

1 · R. Kortsmit

31 · K. Lamprou

2 · B. Lucassen

3 · D. Odoi

10 · M. Nassoh

11 · R. Paula

15 · E. Mahmutovic

19 · A. Salama

21 · J. Candelaria

26 · P. Reulen

32 · J. Talvitie

55 · B. Ghalidi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Heracles

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Remko Pasveer906.6—0—38—
Mike te Wierik907.3—01403
Sava Arangel Čestić906.5—01571
Ivan Mesík906.2—02453
Mimeirhel Benita606.9—0—161
Ajdin Hrustić907.0—0241—
Damon Mirani907.3—0—294
Djevencio van der Kust896.7—0—224
Walid Ould-Chikh616.5—0—211
Naci Ünüvar897.5—01172
Luka Kulenović907.2—02271
Rhys Bozinovski306.5—0—91
Erik Ahlstrand296.9—0—81
Thomas Bruns86.7—0—2—
Tristan van Gilst86.3—0—1—
Robin Mantel———————
Timo Jansink———————
Jop Tijink———————
Jan Žambůrek———————
Sil Blokhuis———————

NAC Breda

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Bielica908.2—0—28—
Cherrion Valerius906.6—0—201
Leo Greiml366.9—0—241
Clint Leemans856.9103541
Boy Kemper906.9—0—36—
Lewis Holtby906.6—0—273
Maximilien Balard906.9—0—33—
Kamal Sowah906.9—0—293
Charles-Andreas Brym846.9—0121—
André Ayew906.3—03201
Moussa Soumano756.2—0216—
Denis Odoi546.9—0—152
Amine Salama156.9—0—11—
Boyd Lucassen146.7—0—31
Enes Mahmutović136.9—0—31
Roy Kortsmit———————
Kostas Lamprou———————
Jayden Candelaria———————
Raul Paula———————
Juho Talvitie———————
Mohamed Nassoh———————
Brahim Ghalidi———————
Pepijn Reulen———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Eredivisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eredivisie. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PSV Eindhoven33263496445281
WDWWW
2Feyenoord33188768442462
DWWDD
3Twente331513558352358
WDDWW
4NEC Nijmegen331511775522356
LDDDW
5Ajax331413662412155
LDWWL
6AZ Alkmaar33149105548751
DDDWW
7Utrecht331481153421150
WWLWL
8Heerenveen33148115753450
LWWLW
9Groningen33136144744345
WLLDW
10Sparta Rotterdam33127143859-2143
LDLLD
11Fortuna Sittard33116164961-1239
WLLDL
12GO Ahead Eagles33814115351238
LDDDW
13PEC Zwolle33910144469-2537
LWLDL
14Excelsior3398164054-1435
DWWDL
15Telstar33810154754-734
WDWLL
16FC Volendam3388173453-1932
DLWLD
17NAC Breda33610173255-2328
WLLDD
18Heracles3354243483-4919
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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