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EredivisieMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRE

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard match centre

NEC Nijmegen badgeNEC NijmegenHome · 4 in league
WWWDD
Momentum↘ Falling67/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London
Fortuna Sittard badgeFortuna SittardAway · 11 in league
WLDLW
Momentum→ Steady47/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
T. Chery19′
B. Linssen90+3′
I. Marquez27′
M. Ihattaren59′
J. Hubner65′
Goffertstadion · NijmegenSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%NEC Nijmegen
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate96.1%Fortuna Sittard
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: NEC Nijmegen 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Fortuna Sittard 4.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
10Corner Kicks4
10Fouls13
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves1
490Total passes230
413Passes accurate157

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Eredivisie

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1PSV Eindhoven33+5281—
2Feyenoord33+2462—
3Twente33+2358—
4NEC Nijmegen34+2256—
5Ajax33+2155—
6AZ Alkmaar33+751—
7Utrecht33+1150—
8Heerenveen33+450—
9Groningen33+345—
10Sparta Rotterdam33-2143—
11Fortuna Sittard34-1142—
12GO Ahead Eagles33+238—
13PEC Zwolle33-2537—
14Excelsior33-1435—
15Telstar33-734—
16FC Volendam33-1932—
17NAC Breda33-2328—
18Heracles33-4919—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

NEC Nijmegen 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Fortuna Sittard 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

NEC Nijmegen

6/9Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect NEC Nijmegen’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Fortuna Sittard

3/7Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Fortuna Sittard’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare NEC Nijmegen at home with Fortuna Sittard away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches

NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
24Matches played24
43Points earned29
12Wins8
2.4Goals scored / match1.6
1.7Goals conceded / match1.8
3Clean sheets3
1Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares NEC Nijmegen at home with Fortuna Sittard away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

NEC Nijmegen

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Dick Schreuder
  1. 1G. CrettazG
  2. 2B. PereiraD
  3. 4A. KaplanD
  4. 24D. FonvilleD
  5. 25S. OuaissaM
  6. 23K. SanoM
  7. 6D. NejasmicM
  8. 11B. OnalM
  9. 10T. CheryF
  10. 9Danilo PereiraF
  11. 18K. OgawaF
Substitutes (12)

22 · J. Cillessen

34 · Y. El Kachati

8 · I. Hansen-Aaroen

20 · N. Lebreton

30 · B. Linssen

7 · V. Misidjan

17 · B. Nuytinck

5 · T. Ouwejan

71 · D. Proper

3 · P. Sandler

15 · J. Willems

19 · W. T. Willumsson

Fortuna Sittard

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Danny Buijs
  1. 1L. KoopmansG
  2. 12I. PintoD
  3. 44I. MarquezD
  4. 28J. HubnerD
  5. 8J. DahlhausD
  6. 23P. BrittijnM
  7. 20E. MichutM
  8. 52M. IhattarenM
  9. 70L. DuijvestijnM
  10. 18D. LimniosM
  11. 9K. SierhuisF
Substitutes (11)

4 · S. Adewoye

22 · S. Bastien

19 · P. Gladon

10 · A. Halilovic

21 · N. Kasanwirjo

32 · N. Marsman

25 · N. Martens

5 · Y. Oukili

7 · K. Peterson

77 · L. Tunjic

6 · S. van Ottele

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

NEC Nijmegen

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gonzalo Crettaz907.5—0—43—
Brayann Pereira906.7—0—517
Ahmetcan Kaplan676.2—0—511
Deveron Fonville906.9—0—694
Sami Ouaissa907.0—0—381
Kodai Sano906.0—0—362
Darko Nejašmić907.3—0—583
Başar Önal676.5—01181
Tjaronn Chery797.610142—
Danilo796.9—01171
Koki Ogawa686.0—0—14—
Noe Lebreton236.9—02211
Virgil Misidjan237.2—0—16—
Bryan Linssen227.91028—
Isak Hansen Aarøen115.9—0—91
Willum Thor Willumsson116.3—0—4—
Jasper Cillessen———————
Thomas Ouwejan———————
Philippe Sandler———————
Bram Nuytinck———————
Jetro Willems———————
Dirk Proper———————
Youssef El Kachati———————

Fortuna Sittard

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luuk Koopmans906.3—0—20—
Ivo Pinto906.3—0—243
Iván Márquez908.3101131
Justin Hubner907.5102191
Jasper Dahlhaus906.7—0118—
Philip Brittijn766.9—01144
Édouard Michut906.7—0—243
Mohamed Ihattaren779.9122283
Lance Duijvestijn857.0—01275
Dimitris Limnios727.0—11173
Kaj Sierhuis857.9—03231
Neraysho Kasanwirjo186.3—0—2—
Shawn Adewoye146.2—0—2—
Yassin Oukili136.7—0—41
Kristoffer Peterson106.2—011—
Paul Gladon106.6—0—41
Niels Martens———————
Nick Marsman———————
Syb van Ottele———————
Luka Tunjić———————
Samuel Bastien———————
Alen Halilović———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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