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Premiership1st Phase - 2THE MATCH CENTRE

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock match centre

Hibernian badgeHibernianHome · 5 in league
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Kilmarnock badgeKilmarnockAway · 11 in league
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
R. Bushiri20′
T. Youan27′
L. Polworth45′
B. Brannan48′
Easter Road · EdinburghSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
HibernianKilmarnock
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Hibernian 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Kilmarnock 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Hibernian

1/2Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Hibernian’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Kilmarnock

0/2Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Kilmarnock’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Hibernian at home with Kilmarnock away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:45 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premiership · 2025/26 · all league matches

HibernianKilmarnock
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Hibernian at home with Kilmarnock away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Hibernian

2wins
3 draws

Kilmarnock

0wins

Nov 2023 – Mar 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Hibernian first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Hibernian

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1David Peter Gray
  1. 13J. SmithG
  2. 5W. O'HoraD
  3. 33R. BushiriD
  4. 4G. HanleyD
  5. 20J. MulliganM
  6. 17J. McGrathM
  7. 6D. LevittM
  8. 21J. ObitaM
  9. 7T. YouanF
  10. 23J. HoilettF
  11. 9K. BowieF
Substitutes (9)

1 · R. Sallinger

8 · A. Manneh

10 · M. Boyle

12 · C. Cadden

15 · J. Iredale

18 · T. Klidje

27 · K. Megwa

30 · J. MacIntyre

32 · J. Campbell

Kilmarnock

Confirmed formation3-5-2Stuart Kettlewell
  1. 1M. StryjekG
  2. 25E. Schilte-BrownD
  3. 5L. MayoD
  4. 6R. DeasD
  5. 2J. BrandonM
  6. 12D. WatsonM
  7. 31L. PolworthM
  8. 7R. McKenzieM
  9. 26B. BrannanM
  10. 29D. DanielsF
  11. 9M. DackersF
Substitutes (8)

30 · E. Beach

3 · D. Thompson

22 · J. Thomson

11 · G. Kiltie

19 · B. Anderson

23 · M. Watkins

38 · A. Traynor

99 · A. Davis

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Hibernian

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jordan Smith905.5—0—25—
Warren O'Hora906.2—0—76—
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga907.210279—
Grant Hanley596.2—0—55—
Josh Mulligan907.3—01393
Jamie McGrath908.3—1131—
Dylan Levitt826.9—0—541
Jordan Obita906.9—0—58—
Thody Elie Youan597.910125—
Junior Hoilett597.3—12223
Kieron Bowie896.2—04182
Jack Iredale317.0—0—33—
Christopher Cadden316.3—0—13—
Martin Boyle316.2—0—5—
Josh Campbell86.3—0—51
Thibault Klidje1——0———
Raphael Sallinger———————
Kanayochukwu Megwa———————
Jacob MacIntyre———————
Alasana Manneh———————

Kilmarnock

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Max Stryjek907.2—0—24—
Ethan Brown907.0—0—485
Lewis Mayo907.2—0—513
Robbie Deas906.9—0—29—
Jamie Brandon687.3—0—329
David Watson906.7—0—301
Liam Polworth908.6101503
Rory McKenzie636.2—0—211
Ben Brannan908.5101194
Djenairo Daniels826.7—01111
Marcus Dackers905.9—0328—
Greg Kiltie276.3—0—101
Dominic Thompson226.9—0—91
Bruce Anderson86.2—0—2—
Eddie Beach———————
Archie Traynor———————
Jack Thomson———————
Marley Watkins———————
Aaron Davis———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Premiership table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premiership . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Heart Of Midlothian33217558283070
LWDWW
2Rangers331912266313569
WLLLL
3Celtic33214859352467
WWWWW
4Motherwell331412752292354
WLDLW
5Hibernian331312851371451
LWWLL
6Falkirk33137134548-346
LLLWL
7Dundee Utd33913114554-940
DDLLW
8Aberdeen3396183348-1533
LLWDW
9Dundee3389163453-1933
WLWWL
10ST Mirren3379172748-2130
WDDWL
11Kilmarnock33610173765-2828
WWWWL
12Livingston33113193566-3116
LDLDW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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