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USA vs Costa Rica match centre

USA badgeUSAHome
W
Momentum→ Limited sample100/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Costa Rica badgeCosta RicaAway · 2 in league
WWWWD
Momentum↘ Falling83/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Luna43′
M. Arfsten47′
F. Calvo12′ (pen)
A. Martínez71′
U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MinnesotaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
USACosta Rica
9Corner Kicks2
14Fouls14
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
483Total passes274
413Passes accurate216

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

USA 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Costa Rica 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

USA

1/1Wins
3.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect USA’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Costa Rica

7/9Wins
3.7Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Costa Rica’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

USA

1 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 1
Both teams scored1 of 1

Only a few results are available.

See results

Costa Rica

9 matches
Oldest newest
Results7 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.7
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare USA at home with Costa Rica away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:44 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

CONCACAF Gold Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches

USACosta Rica
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares USA at home with Costa Rica away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

USA

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mauricio Roberto Pochettino Trossero
  1. 25M. FreeseG
  2. 16A. FreemanD
  3. 3C. RichardsD
  4. 13T. ReamD
  5. 18M. ArfstenD
  6. 4T. AdamsM
  7. 14L. de la TorreM
  8. 8S. BerhalterM
  9. 17M. TillmanM
  10. 10D. LunaM
  11. 24P. AgyemangF
Substitutes (12)

23 · B. White

2 · J. Tolkin

6 · J. McGlynn

9 · D. Downs

7 · Q. Sullivan

21 · P. Aaronson

22 · M. McKenzie

20 · N. Harriel

11 · B. Aaronson

12 · M. Robinson

5 · W. Zimmerman

1 · M. Turner

Costa Rica

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre
  1. 1K. NavasG
  2. 22C. MoraD
  3. 4J. VargasD
  4. 6A. GamboaD
  5. 15F. CalvoD
  6. 14O. GaloM
  7. 16A. BranM
  8. 19K. VargasM
  9. 10B. AguileraM
  10. 20J. AlcócerM
  11. 12A. MartínezF
Substitutes (10)

2 · S. van der Putten

26 · K. Myrie

25 · C. Núñez

7 · A. Rojas

13 · J. Brenes

24 · G. Villalobos

21 · Á. Zamora

18 · A. Lezcano

5 · F. Faerron

23 · P. Sequeira

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

USA

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matthew Freese946.7———25—
Alexander Freeman946.3——1362
Chris Richards947.0——2581
Tim Ream946.7———72—
Maximilian Arfsten848.2112291
Tyler Adams946.3———712
Luca De La Torre786.9———393
Sebastian Berhalter947.3———421
Malik Tillman947.7—12305
Diego Luna837.31—3451
Patrick Agyemang907.0——117—
Damion Downs166.5——11—
Jack McGlynn116.6———9—
John Tolkin106.9———61
Brian White4———13—
Matt Turner———————
Walker Zimmerman———————
Miles Robinson———————
Nathan Harriel———————
Mark McKenzie———————
Brenden Aaronson———————
Quinn Sullivan———————
Paxten Aaronson———————

Costa Rica

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Keylor Navas946.5———27—
Carlos Mora887.3—11194
Juan Pablo Vargas946.6———454
Alexis Gamboa946.6———351
Francisco Calvo947.21—1382
Orlando Galo946.6———241
Alejandro Bran746.7——215—
Kenneth Vargas586.5———2—
Brandon Aguilera586.5———92
Josimar Alcócer886.3———173
Alonso Martínez947.91—2101
Jefferson Brenes366.7——118—
Andy Rojas366.3———6—
Cristopher Núñez206.5———5—
Santiago van der Putten6————3—
Kenan Myrie6————1—
Patrick Sequeira———————
Alexandre Lezcano———————
Fernán Faerron———————
Guillermo Villalobos———————
Álvaro Zamora———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

CONCACAF Gold Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Mexico32105237
DWW
2Costa Rica32106427
DWW
3Dominican Republic301235-21
DLL
4Suriname301236-31
DLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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