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Canada vs Guatemala match centre

Canada badgeCanadaHome · 1 in league
WWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Guatemala badgeGuatemalaAway
WLWLW
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. David30′ (pen)
R. Rubín69′
U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MinnesotaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CanadaGuatemala
9Corner Kicks4
10Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
271Total passes385
207Passes accurate317

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Canada 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Guatemala 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Canada

4/4Wins
3.5Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Canada’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Guatemala

6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Guatemala’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Canada at home with Guatemala away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

CONCACAF Gold Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches

CanadaGuatemala
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Canada at home with Guatemala away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Canada

Confirmed formation4-4-2Jesse Alan Marsch
  1. 1D. St. ClairG
  2. 2A. JohnstonD
  3. 15L. De FougerollesD
  4. 13D. CorneliusD
  5. 22R. LaryeaD
  6. 17T. BuchananM
  7. 23N. SigurM
  8. 6M. ChoinièreM
  9. 14J. ShaffelburgM
  10. 10J. DavidF
  11. 12T. OluwaseyiF
Substitutes (12)

24 · P. David

9 · C. Larin

19 · N. Saliba

11 · D. Jebbison

3 · Z. Bassong

16 · M. Crépeau

25 · J. Nelson

8 · I. Koné

5 · J. Waterman

26 · J. Knight-Lebel

4 · K. Miller

18 · T. McGill

Guatemala

Confirmed formation4-3-3Luis Fernando Tena Garduño
  1. 12K. NavarroG
  2. 7A. HerreraD
  3. 4J. PintoD
  4. 3N. SamayoaD
  5. 16J. MoralesD
  6. 13S. RoblesM
  7. 5J. RosalesM
  8. 11R. MuñozM
  9. 20O. EscobarF
  10. 9R. RubínF
  11. 18Ó. SantisF
Substitutes (12)

8 · R. Saravia

14 · D. Lom

19 · A. Ordóñez

10 · P. Altán

6 · E. Lémus

15 · D. Rivera

24 · C. Aguilar

2 · J. Ardón

26 · M. Evans

17 · Ó. Castellanos

25 · K. Ramírez

21 · L. Morán

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Canada

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dayne St. Clair987.3———24—
Alistair Johnston987.2———245
Luc De Fougerolles986.9———241
Derek Cornelius987.0———20—
Richie Laryea986.9———333
Tajon Buchanan586.9——1173
Niko Sigur716.7———162
Mathieu Choinière986.6———41—
Jacob Shaffelburg495.7—0—121
Jonathan David917.51—123—
Tani Oluwaseyi717.3——1122
Daniel Jebbison406.2———91
Nathan-Dylan Saliba276.9——182
Cyle Larin276.5———6—
Promise David7————2—
Tom McGill———————
Maxime Crépeau———————
Joel Waterman———————
Kamal Miller———————
Zorhan Bassong———————
Jamie Knight-Lebel———————
Ismael Koné———————
Jayden Nelson———————

Guatemala

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kenderson Navarro987.5———34—
Aaron Herrera987.7———544
José Pinto987.0———665
Nicolás Samayoa986.9———65—
José Morales986.2———391
Stheven Robles986.9———362
Jose Marroquín826.3———20—
Rudy Muñoz716.3——191
Olger Escobar716.9——181
Rubio Rubin777.21—116—
Óscar Santis987.5—14123
Pedro Altán276.6———6—
Arquímides Ordóñez276.7———6—
Darwin Lom216.5——12—
Rodrigo Saravia166.3———12—
Luis Morán———————
José Ardón———————
Carlos Aguilar———————
Matthew Evans———————
Oscar Castellanos———————
Kevin Ramirez———————
Erick Lemus———————
Damián Rivera———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

CONCACAF Gold Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Canada32109187
WDW
2Honduras320147-36
WWL
3Curaçao302123-12
LDD
4El Salvador301204-41
LLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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