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HNLMatchweek 14THE MATCH CENTRE

HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 match centre

HNK Gorica badgeHNK GoricaHome · 8 in league
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Istra 1961 badgeIstra 1961Away · 6 in league
L
Momentum→ Limited sample0/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Prsir36′
Gradski stadion Velika Gorica · Velika GoricaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
HNK GoricaIstra 1961
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

HNK Gorica 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Istra 1961 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

HNK Gorica

0/2Wins
0.5Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect HNK Gorica’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Istra 1961

1/2Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Istra 1961’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare HNK Gorica at home with Istra 1961 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

HNL · 2025/26 · all league matches

HNK GoricaIstra 1961
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares HNK Gorica at home with Istra 1961 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

HNK Gorica

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mario Carevic
  1. 71D. MatijasG
  2. 22Z. TronteljD
  3. 45S. PericD
  4. 4J. FilipovicD
  5. 19M. CabrajaM
  6. 8I. PozoM
  7. 36A. KaveljM
  8. 7O. BakicF
  9. 10J. PrsirF
  10. 20L. VrzicD
  11. 9F. CuicF
Substitutes (11)

1 · T. Dosen

30 · D. Zarkov

5 · M. Les

35 · Z. Josic

6 · J. Gurlica

14 · S. Kucis

24 · D. Pavicic

32 · E. Durakovic

29 · V. Pelko

50 · A. Erceg

99 · M. Gashi

Istra 1961

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1F. KolicG
  2. 3M. NasraouiD
  3. 21V. KoskiD
  4. 4D. MaresicD
  5. 23A. JayM
  6. 5J. RadosevicM
  7. 8A. MauricM
  8. 97A. KadusicM
  9. 22D. DjuricF
  10. 70S. LawalF
  11. 17E. FrederiksenF
Substitutes (12)

40 · J. Paus-Kunst

2 · J. Ivanisevic

24 · F. Taraba

38 · R. Kumar

6 · L. Robertsson

18 · I. Ayuma

25 · S. Ukich

41 · M. Zgomba

9 · S. Prevljak

11 · S. Bangura

32 · D. Celija

77 · C. Agada

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

HNK Gorica

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Davor Matijaš907.6—0—31—
Žan Trontelj907.3—0—50—
Stefan Perić907.3—0148—
Jakov Filipović907.7—0—383
Marijan Čabraja908.0—0—553
Iker Pozo907.5—1—471
Ante Kavelj906.6—0—25—
Ognjen Bakić826.3—0—23—
Jurica Pršir827.6101231
Luka Vrzić646.9—01232
Filip Čuić896.7—0424—
Mateo Leš266.6—0—9—
Domagoj Pavičić87.0—0—6—
Elvir Duraković86.9—0—33
Vanja Pelko1——0221
Tin Došen———————
Darijan Žarkov———————
Zvonimir Josić———————
Jakov Gurlica———————
Stjepan Kučiš———————
Ante Erceg———————
Medin Gashi———————

Istra 1961

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Franko Kolić907.7—0—16—
Mohamed Nasraoui736.2—02371
Ville Koski907.0—0—77—
Dario Marešić907.3—0—803
Alejandro Jay605.6—0—17—
Josip Radošević906.9—0—721
Antonio Maurić907.0—01702
Advan Kadušić906.3—02542
Danijel Dejan Djuric785.9—0329—
Salim Fago Lawal786.3—02141
Emil Frederiksen907.2—0338—
Smail Prevljak306.5—0—9—
Raul Kumar177.2—0—162
Saydou Bangura126.7—0—1—
Charles Adah Agada126.3—0—1—
Jan Paus-Kunšt———————
Jovan Ivanišević———————
Filip Taraba———————
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson———————
Israel Ayuma———————
Stipe Ukich———————
Marin Žgomba———————
Dominik Celija———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

HNL table

League centre ↗

Current standings · HNL . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Dinamo Zagreb36275493286586
DWWWW
2HNK Hajduk Split36208861362568
WDLWD
3NK Varazdin36159124746154
WWDLL
4HNK Rijeka3614111149361353
WDWWD
5NK Lokomotiva Zagreb361014124052-1244
DDDLD
6Istra 196136127173950-1143
LDWWL
7NK Slaven Belupo361011154661-1541
LLWLD
8HNK Gorica36118174048-841
LWLLW
9NK Osijek36811172749-2235
WLLLD
10Vukovar36610203773-3628
LLLWD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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