Port Vale
2/5Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Port Vale’s results
League OneMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREPort Vale vs Exeter City match centre
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Humphreys75′
C. Mendes22′
J. Wareham47′
T. Tuterov59′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Port ValeExeter City
Expected goals · API-Football
3Shots on target4
13Total Shots11
49%Ball Possession51%
12Corner Kicks4
4Fouls17
1Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
1Goalkeeper Saves2
355Total passes382
279Passes accurate311
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Port Vale 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Exeter City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Exeter City
2/3Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Exeter City’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Port Vale
5 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
Exeter City
3 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 3
Both teams scored1 of 3
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Port Vale at home with Exeter City away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:45 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
Port ValeExeter City
24Matches played25
18Points earned33
4Wins10
0.7Goals scored / match1.1
1.4Goals conceded / match1.0
6Clean sheets9
15Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Port Vale at home with Exeter City away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Port Vale
Confirmed formation4-3-3Darren Mark Moore
- 46
J. GauciG - 6
J. Lawrence-GabrielD - 4
B. HeneghanD - 5
C. HallD - 15
L. GordonD - 18
R. CroasdaleM - 14
F. OjoM - 26
J. ShipleyM - 33
G. HallF - 44
D. ColeF - 11
E. ArcherF
Substitutes (7)
13 · B. Amos
3 · J. Headley
9 · J. Stockley
10 · D. Brown
19 · B. Waine
24 · Kyle John
25 · C. Humphreys
Exeter City
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Gary Robert Caldwell
- 1
J. WhitworthG - 26
P. SweeneyD - 5
J. FitzwaterD - 20
L. WoodhouseD - 14
I. NiskanenM - 31
J. Doyle-HayesM - 6
E. BrierleyM - 34
L. OakesM - 10
J. AitchisonF - 9
J. WarehamF - 7
C. MendesF
Substitutes (7)
23 · J. Bycroft
2 · J. McMillan
4 · E. Turns
28 · T. Tuterov
12 · R. Cole
27 · J. Magennis
19 · S. Cox
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Port Vale
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Gauci | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 2 |
| Ben Heneghan | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 1 |
| Connor Hall | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 62 | — |
| Liam Gordon | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Ryan Croasdale | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 26 | 3 |
| Funso Ojo | 64 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Jordan Shipley | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| George Hall | 64 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| Devante Cole | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Ethon Archer | 89 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Cameron Humphreys | 26 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Dajaune Brown | 26 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Jayden Stockley | 26 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Jaheim Headley | 17 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Ben Waine | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Ben Amos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle John | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Exeter City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Whitworth | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 47 | — |
| Pierce Sweeney | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Jack Fitzwater | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Luca Woodhouse | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | 4 |
| Ilmari Niskanen | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 3 |
| Jake Doyle Hayes | 55 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Ethan Brierley | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 2 |
| Liam Oakes | 68 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Jack Aitchison | 82 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Jayden Wareham | 68 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| Carlos Mendes Gomes | 55 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 |
| Timur Tutierov | 35 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| Jack McMillan | 35 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Reece Cole | 22 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Josh Magennis | 22 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Sonny Cox | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jack Bycroft | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ed Turns | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League One table
Current standings · League One: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 103 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90 | 50 | 40 | 91 | LWWWD |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71 | 58 | 13 | 77 | WLWLD |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 77 | WDDDL |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70 | 52 | 18 | 75 | LDDWL |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 75 | WDWDL |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68 | 56 | 12 | 74 | WWWDW |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 73 | WWDWD |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74 | 64 | 10 | 67 | WLDDD |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 65 | WDWWD |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 63 | WLLDL |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 | LDLLL |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 60 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 59 | LWLLD |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 56 | LLDWW |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 54 | DDDWD |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 53 | LDLDL |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 53 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 | DLLDL |
| 21 | Exeter City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 49 | LDDDW |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 41 | LDLWL |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 35 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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