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League OneMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE

Rotherham vs Northampton match centre

Rotherham badgeRotherhamHome · 23 in league
DDLLD
Momentum↓ Low12/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Northampton badgeNorthamptonAway · 24 in league
DDWLL
Momentum↘ Falling30/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
H. Gray58′
E. Adegboyega84′
T. Eaves26′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
RotherhamNorthampton
13Corner Kicks4
13Fouls9
3Yellow Cards0
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves3
332Total passes217
244Passes accurate135

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Rotherham 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Northampton 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Rotherham

0/3Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Rotherham’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Northampton

0/3Wins
0.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Northampton’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rotherham at home with Northampton away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:14 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

RotherhamNorthampton
26Matches played26
25Points earned29
6Wins8
1.0Goals scored / match0.9
1.5Goals conceded / match1.2
5Clean sheets9
9Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rotherham at home with Northampton away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Rotherham

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Matthew Hamshaw
  1. 1C. DawsonG
  2. 2J. RaffertyD
  3. 3Z. JulesD
  4. 15J. BaptisteD
  5. 14M. KaletaM
  6. 8K. SpenceM
  7. 17S. McWilliamsM
  8. 6R. JamesM
  9. 7J. PowellF
  10. 24H. GrayF
  11. 10S. NombeF
Substitutes (7)

13 · T. Cann

11 · A. Martha

16 · D. Yearwood

18 · L. Agbaire

23 · J. Holmes

36 · E. Adegboyega

44 · D. Gore

Northampton

Confirmed formation3-4-3Kevin Anthony Jance Nolan
  1. 34R. FitzsimonsG
  2. 6J. WillisD
  3. 5J. GuthrieD
  4. 3C. McCarthyD
  5. 2J. BurroughsM
  6. 23T. TaylorM
  7. 4D. CampbellM
  8. 12N. Guinness-WalkerM
  9. 7S. HoskinsF
  10. 9T. EavesF
  11. 10E. ListF
Substitutes (7)

1 · L. Burge

11 · K. Swyer

14 · J. Evans

17 · M. Jacobs

21 · J. Perkins

27 · J. Vale

35 · M. Dyche

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Rotherham

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Cameron Dawson906.9—0—26—
Joe Rafferty907.2—02313
Zak Jules906.9—0—371
Jamal Baptiste906.6—0—422
Marvin Kaleta396.7—0—6—
Kian Spence736.9—0—251
Shaun McWilliams866.7—02444
Reece James456.9—0—19—
Joe Powell908.2—22381
Harry Gray907.5102131
Sam Nombe905.9—0117—
ArJany Martha516.6—0183
Daniel Gore456.9—0—141
Emmanuel Adegboyega178.010191
Dru Yearwood106.3—0—3—
Ted Cann———————
Lenny Agbaire———————
Jack Holmes———————

Northampton

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ross Fitzsimons906.5—0—33—
Jordan Willis716.7—0—151
Jon Guthrie907.2—1—16—
Conor McCarthy907.6—01243
Jack Burroughs716.2—0—132
Terry Taylor907.2—0—29—
Dean Campbell906.9—0—343
Nesta Guinness-Walker906.3—01131
Sam Hoskins826.6—0—9—
Tom Eaves817.310571
Elliott List826.5—018—
Max Dyche196.5—0—7—
Kamarai Swyer196.6—0—4—
Jake Evans96.2—0—2—
Michael Jacobs86.3—0—1—
Jack Vale86.3—0—2—
Lee Burge———————
Jack Perkins———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

League One table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League One: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Lincoln4631105894148103
WWWDW
2Cardiff462710990504091
LWWWD
3Stockport County4622111371581377
WLWLD
4Bradford462211135851777
WDDDL
5Bolton461918970521875
LDDWL
6Stevenage462112134946375
WDWDL
7Luton4621111468561274
WWWDW
8Plymouth462271775631273
WWDWD
9Huddersfield4618131574641067
WLDDD
10Mansfield Town4616171362501265
WDWWD
11Wycombe4617121769581163
WLLDL
12Reading461615156460463
LDLLL
13Blackpool46179205465-1160
WWWWL
14Doncaster46179205069-1960
WDLWW
15Barnsley461514176873-559
LWLLD
16Wigan461414184958-956
LLDWW
17Burton Albion461315185060-1054
DDDWD
18Peterborough46158236468-453
LDLDL
19AFC Wimbledon46158235172-2153
LWLLL
20Leyton Orient461410225971-1252
DLLDL
21Exeter City461213215261-949
LDDDW
22Port Vale461012243661-2542
LWLLD
23Rotherham461011254171-3041
LDLWL
24Northampton4698293974-3535
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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