Wigan
0/9Wins
0.7Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Wigan’s results
League OneMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREWigan vs Luton match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Taylor73′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
WiganLuton
1.100Expected goals · API-Football2.620
5Shots on target1
7Total Shots9
45%Ball Possession55%
7Corner Kicks4
8Fouls14
4Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
1Goalkeeper Saves4
325Total passes406
233Passes accurate321
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Wigan 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Luton 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Luton
3/8Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Luton’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Wigan
9 matchesResults0 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 9
Both teams scored4 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
Luton
8 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored5 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Wigan at home with Luton away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
WiganLuton
30Matches played31
31Points earned45
7Wins13
1.0Goals scored / match1.3
1.4Goals conceded / match1.2
6Clean sheets11
10Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Wigan at home with Luton away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Wigan
Confirmed formation5-3-2Gary Caldwell
- 1
S. TickleG - 21
R. Borges RodriguesD - 4
W. AimsonD - 15
J. KerrD - 3
M. FoxD - 7
F. MurrayD - 6
J. WeirM - 33
O. MoxonM - 8
C. WrightM - 10
J. TaylorF - 9
C. SaydeeF
Substitutes (7)
30 · T. Savin
20 · C. McManaman
17 · M. Smith
11 · D. Costelloe
5 · S. Sessegnon
44 · J. Hungbo
43 · H. Bettoni
Luton
Confirmed formation4-4-2Jack Wilshere
- 24
J. KeeleyG - 17
N. LonwijkD - 15
T. MengiD - 5
M. AndersenD - 3
K. NaismithD - 27
J. RichardsM - 54
K. PalmerM - 18
J. ClarkM - 25
I. JonesM - 22
D. ColeF - 12
A. Al HamadiF
Substitutes (7)
1 · J. Shea
23 · G. Saville
14 · S. Morris
38 · J. Johnson
21 · N. Wells
6 · D. van den Berg
30 · G. Kodua
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Wigan
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Tickle | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Raphael Rodrigues | 44 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Will Aimson | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | — |
| Jason Kerr | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Morgan Fox | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 2 |
| Fraser Murray | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 5 |
| Jensen Weir | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| Owen Moxon | 80 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Callum Wright | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Joe Taylor | 79 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Christian Saydee | 59 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Joseph Hungbo | 46 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Matthew Smith | 31 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Dara Costelloe | 31 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Harrison Bettoni | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Steven Sessegnon | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Toby Savin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum McManaman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Luton
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Keeley | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Nigel Cello Lonwijk | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 4 |
| Teden Mengi | 83 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Mads Juel Andersen | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 1 |
| Kal Naismith | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 1 |
| Jake Richards | 61 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Kasey Palmer | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 2 |
| Jordan Clark | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Isaiah Jones | 83 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Devante Cole | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Ali Al-Hamadi | 82 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Shayden Morris | 29 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Nahki Wells | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Davy van den Berg | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Gideon Kodua | 16 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| James Shea | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Johnson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| George Saville | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League One table
Current standings · League One: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 103 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90 | 50 | 40 | 91 | LWWWD |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71 | 58 | 13 | 77 | WLWLD |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 77 | WDDDL |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70 | 52 | 18 | 75 | LDDWL |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 75 | WDWDL |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68 | 56 | 12 | 74 | WWWDW |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 73 | WWDWD |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74 | 64 | 10 | 67 | WLDDD |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 65 | WDWWD |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 63 | WLLDL |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 | LDLLL |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 60 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 59 | LWLLD |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 56 | LLDWW |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 54 | DDDWD |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 53 | LDLDL |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 53 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 | DLLDL |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 49 | LDDDW |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 41 | LDLWL |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 35 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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