Plymouth
7/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Plymouth’s results
League OneMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTREPlymouth vs Cardiff match centre
Full time
5:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Tolaj28′
A. Pepple31′
A. Pepple34′
L. Tolaj68′ (pen)
M. Ross81′
O. Kellyman33′
O. Kellyman43′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
PlymouthCardiff
2.670Expected goals · API-Football2.210
9Shots on target6
16Total Shots18
29%Ball Possession71%
3Corner Kicks8
23Fouls10
3Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves3
186Total passes463
119Passes accurate371
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Plymouth 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Cardiff 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Cardiff
5/7Wins
2.7Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Cardiff’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Plymouth
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Leyton OrientAway · League One3–1BlackpoolAway · League One4–0LincolnHome · League One1–4Stockport CountyAway · League One1–2Mansfield TownHome · League One1–1LutonHome · League One1–0PeterboroughAway · League One1–0Bristol RoversAway · EFL Trophy4–3Burton AlbionHome · League One3–0Burton AlbionAway · League One4–0
Cardiff
7 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 7
Both teams scored5 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Plymouth at home with Cardiff away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:04 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
PlymouthCardiff
32Matches played32
43Points earned69
13Wins21
1.4Goals scored / match1.9
1.5Goals conceded / match1.0
9Clean sheets12
8Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Plymouth at home with Cardiff away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Plymouth
Confirmed formation4-4-2Tom Cleverley
- 1
C. HazardG - 8
J. EdwardsD - 2
M. RossD - 15
A. MitchellD - 45
W. HardingD - 28
R. CurtisM - 19
M. BoatengM - 4
B. WireduM - 17
C. WattsM - 9
L. TolajF - 27
A. PeppleF
Substitutes (7)
21 · L. Ashby-Hammond
5 · J. Pleguezuelo
35 · O. Dale
10 · X. Amaechi
3 · J. MacKenzie
29 · M. Sorinola
23 · B. Ibrahim
Cardiff
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Brian Barry-Murphy
- 13
N. TrottG - 38
P. NgD - 4
G. OshoD - 12
C. ChambersD - 3
J. BaganD - 18
A. RobertsonM - 14
D. TurnbullM - 11
O. TannerM - 27
J. ColwillM - 16
C. WillockM - 8
O. KellymanF
Substitutes (7)
10 · R. Colwill
23 · C. Scanlon
45 · C. Ashford
44 · R. Kpakio
47 · C. Robinson
6 · R. Wintle
48 · D. Lawlor
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Plymouth
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Hazard | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Joe Edwards | 90 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 |
| Mathias Ross | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Alex Mitchell | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Wes Harding | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3 |
| Ronan Curtis | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Malachi Boateng | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Caleb Watts | 45 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Lorent Tolaj | 85 | 9.2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| Aribim Pepple | 86 | 9.3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Matthew Sorinola | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 |
| Bradley Ibrahim | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Xavier Amaechi | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 3 |
| Owen Dale | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Luca Ashby-Hammond | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Mackenzie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Pleguezuelo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cardiff
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Trott | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Perry Ng | 76 | 6.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Gabriel Osho | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 2 |
| Calum Chambers | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 1 |
| Joel Bagan | 88 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 3 |
| Alex Robertson | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 1 |
| David Turnbull | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Ollie Tanner | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Joel Colwill | 62 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 |
| Chris Willock | 62 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| Omari Kellyman | 90 | 9.3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 |
| Rubin Colwill | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Cian Ashford | 28 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Callum Robinson | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Ronan Kpakio | 14 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Calum Scanlon | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Dylan Lawlor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Wintle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League One table
Current standings · League One: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 103 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90 | 50 | 40 | 91 | LWWWD |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71 | 58 | 13 | 77 | WLWLD |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 77 | WDDDL |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70 | 52 | 18 | 75 | LDDWL |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 75 | WDWDL |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68 | 56 | 12 | 74 | WWWDW |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 73 | WWDWD |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74 | 64 | 10 | 67 | WLDDD |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 65 | WDWWD |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 63 | WLLDL |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 | LDLLL |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 60 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 59 | LWLLD |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 56 | LLDWW |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 54 | DDDWD |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 53 | LDLDL |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 53 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 | DLLDL |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 49 | LDDDW |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 41 | LDLWL |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 35 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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