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League OneMatchweek 35THE MATCH CENTRE

Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon match centre

Mansfield Town badgeMansfield TownHome · 10 in league
LWDLL
Momentum↘ Falling21/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
AFC Wimbledon badgeAFC WimbledonAway · 19 in league
WLDLW
Momentum→ Steady47/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Russell7′
J. Russell29′
J. Tilley14′
M. Stevens58′ (pen)
One Call Stadium · MansfieldSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.9%Mansfield Town
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.6%AFC Wimbledon
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Mansfield Town 4.0% · no further goal 92.3% · AFC Wimbledon 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Mansfield TownAFC Wimbledon
6Corner Kicks6
11Fouls16
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
391Total passes375
286Passes accurate255

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town47+1266—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18AFC Wimbledon47-2154↑ 1
19Peterborough46-453↓ 1
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Mansfield Town 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

AFC Wimbledon 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Mansfield Town

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Mansfield Town’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

AFC Wimbledon

2/8Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect AFC Wimbledon’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mansfield Town at home with AFC Wimbledon away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:00 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

Mansfield TownAFC Wimbledon
31Matches played32
39Points earned42
10Wins12
1.2Goals scored / match1.3
1.1Goals conceded / match1.4
9Clean sheets6
8Failed to score12

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mansfield Town at home with AFC Wimbledon away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Mansfield Town

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Nigel Clough
  1. 1L. RobertsG
  2. 2K. KnoyleD
  3. 23A. OshilajaD
  4. 20F. Blake-TracyD
  5. 7L. AkinsM
  6. 13J. RussellM
  7. 25L. ReedM
  8. 3S. McLaughlinM
  9. 24R. HendryF
  10. 29T. RobertsF
  11. 19V. AdeboyejoF
Substitutes (7)

8 · A. Lewis

22 · N. Moriah-Welsh

40 · G. Abbott

4 · E. Hewitt

18 · R. Oates

11 · W. Evans

44 · O. Irow

AFC Wimbledon

Confirmed formation3-5-2Johnnie Jackson
  1. 1N. BishopG
  2. 33I. OgundereD
  3. 15P. BauerD
  4. 6R. JohnsonD
  5. 7J. TilleyM
  6. 12A. SmithM
  7. 8C. MaycockM
  8. 21M. HippolyteM
  9. 3S. SeddonM
  10. 11M. BrowneF
  11. 14M. StevensF
Substitutes (7)

20 · J. McDonnell

4 · J. Reeves

16 · A. Hackford

30 · R. Nkeng

9 · O. Bugiel

37 · Z. Nelson

2 · N. Asiimwe

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Mansfield Town

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Liam Roberts905.9—0—35—
Kyle Knoyle907.0—0—341
Adedeji Oshilaja906.2—0—46—
Frazer Blake-Tracy906.7—0—481
Lucas Akins907.2—0129—
Jon Russell648.9202311
Louis Reed907.9—0—641
Stephen McLaughlin756.3—0—255
Regan Hendry646.9—0—24—
Tyler Roberts586.9—1—21—
Victor Adeboyejo587.0—1—71
Will Evans326.2—0131
Rhys Oates326.7—029—
Aaron Lewis266.2—018—
George Abbott267.2—0217—
Elliott Hewitt156.7—015—
Nathan Moriah-Welsh———————
Oliver Irow———————

AFC Wimbledon

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nathan Bishop906.6—0—28—
Isaac Ogundere905.9—0—342
Patrick Bauer887.7—0—451
Ryan Johnson906.9—0—443
James Tilley907.6102311
Alistair Smith906.2—0—551
Callum Maycock906.3—01311
Myles Hippolyte846.7—01352
Steve Seddon906.6—02381
Marcus Browne907.2—1322—
Mathew Stevens846.9101171
Zack Nelson126.3—0—2—
Omar Bugiel126.2—0—1—
Junior Nkeng86.5—0———
Joe McDonnell———————
Nathan Asiimwe———————
Jake Reeves———————
Antwoine Hackford———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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