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League OneMatchweek 37THE MATCH CENTRE

Leyton Orient vs Peterborough match centre

Leyton Orient badgeLeyton OrientHome · 20 in league
LWLLW
Momentum→ Steady43/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Peterborough badgePeterboroughAway · 18 in league
LLDDD
Momentum↗ Rising19/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Simpson44′
T. Bakinson81′
J. Morgan85′
Brisbane Road · LondonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.1%Leyton Orient
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Peterborough
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Leyton Orient 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Peterborough 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Leyton OrientPeterborough
7Corner Kicks2
15Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
315Total passes453
203Passes accurate355

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Leyton Orient47-1155↑ 3
18Burton Albion46-1054↓ 1
19Peterborough47-553↓ 1
20AFC Wimbledon46-2153↓ 1
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Leyton Orient 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Peterborough 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Leyton Orient

3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Leyton Orient’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Peterborough

3/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Peterborough’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Leyton Orient at home with Peterborough away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:44 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

Leyton OrientPeterborough
35Matches played35
39Points earned46
11Wins14
1.3Goals scored / match1.4
1.7Goals conceded / match1.4
6Clean sheets8
8Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Leyton Orient at home with Peterborough away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Leyton Orient

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Richie Wellens
  1. 12W. DennisG
  2. 2T. JamesD
  3. 16K. CaseyD
  4. 4J. SimpsonD
  5. 3J. MorrisD
  6. 22A. AbdulaiM
  7. 24D. LevittM
  8. 11D. MitchellM
  9. 25C. WellensM
  10. 7O. O'NeillM
  11. 32D. BallardF
Substitutes (7)

33 · K. Cahill

44 · T. Archibald

15 · T. Bakinson

19 · F. Fawunmi

5 · D. Happe

8 · I. El Mizouni

20 · S. Perkins

Peterborough

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Luke Williams
  1. 1A. BassG
  2. 33J. DornellyD
  3. 30P. KiosoD
  4. 26D. OkagbueD
  5. 2C. JohnstonD
  6. 4A. CollinsM
  7. 8B. KhelaM
  8. 11D. FrithM
  9. 24J. Morgan
  10. 17K. LisbieM
  11. 34D. Kamara
Substitutes (7)

31 · B. Smith

18 · C. Hayes

15 · G. Nevett

23 · H. Mills

39 · O. Aderoju

42 · P. Sykut

32 · L. Mendonca

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Leyton Orient

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Will Dennis906.9—0—29—
Thomas James906.9—02282
Kaelan Casey616.9—0—26—
Jack Simpson907.9101441
James Morris906.6—0—243
Azeem Abdulai796.6—0—223
Dylan Levitt616.9—01222
Demetri Mitchell606.9—02171
Charlie Wellens907.7—1119—
Ollie O'Neill907.5—0133—
Dominic Ballard895.5—0215—
Theodore Archibald307.6—1—151
Daniel Happe296.5—0—8—
Tyreeq Bakinson297.310123—
Idris El Mizouni116.5—0—9—
Sonny Perkins106.5—0—21
Killian Cahill———————
Favour Fawunmi———————

Peterborough

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alex Bass907.9—0—67—
James Dornelly906.5—0—441
Peter Kioso907.0—0—631
David Okagbue907.5—0—851
Carl Johnston306.6—0—16—
Archie Collins908.3—1—421
Brandon Khela906.2—01471
Declan Frith596.3—0—131
Jimmy Morgan908.3103353
Kyrell Lisbie906.9—01141
David Kamara746.2—028—
Harley Mills606.5—01412
Cian Hayes316.5—0—8—
Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju166.0—014—
Bastian Smith———————
George Nevett———————
Lucca Mendonça———————
Patryk Sykut———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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