Marseille
0/2Wins
0.5Goals / game
3.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Marseille’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREMarseille vs Paris Saint Germain match centre
Marseille Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Paris Saint Germain Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
Marquinhos5′ (og)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MarseilleParis Saint Germain
1.140Expected goals · API-Football0.670
—Shots on target—
—Total Shots—
—Ball Possession—
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Marseille 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Paris Saint Germain 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Paris Saint Germain
2/2Wins
3.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Paris Saint Germain’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Marseille
2 matchesResults0 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game3.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 2
Both teams scored1 of 2
Only a few results are available.
Paris Saint Germain
2 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.0
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals2 of 2
Both teams scored1 of 2
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Marseille at home with Paris Saint Germain away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:33 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
MarseilleParis Saint Germain
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Marseille at home with Paris Saint Germain away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Marseille
0wins5MEETINGS
Paris Saint Germain
5winsFeb 2023 – Mar 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Marseille first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Marseille
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Roberto De Zerbi
- 1
G. RulliG - 28
B. PavardD - 5
L. BalerdiD - 21
N. AguerdD - 22
T. WeahM - 17
M. O'RileyM - 23
P. HojbjergM - 33
EmersonM - 10
M. GreenwoodF - 14
I. PaixaoF - 9
A. GouiriF
Substitutes (9)
12 · J. De Lange
4 · C. Egan-Riley
32 · F. Medina
62 · M. Murillo
8 · A. Gomes
26 · B. Nadir
18 · A. Vermeeren
97 · P. Aubameyang
34 · R. Vaz
Paris Saint Germain
Confirmed formation3-5-2Luis Enrique Martínez García
- 30
L. ChevalierG - 5
MarquinhosD - 6
I. ZabarnyiD - 51
W. PachoD - 2
A. HakimiM - 33
W. Zaire-EmeryM - 17
VitinhaM - 8
F. RuizM - 25
N. MendesM - 9
G. RamosF - 7
K. KvaratskheliaF
Substitutes (8)
89 · R. Marin
39 · M. Safonov
21 · L. Hernandez
43 · N. Kamara
4 · L. Beraldo
19 · Lee Kang-In
24 · S. Mayulu
49 · I. Mbaye
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Marseille
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerónimo Rulli | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Benjamin Pavard | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Leonardo Balerdi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 3 |
| Nayef Aguerd | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 2 |
| Timothy Weah | 78 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 5 |
| Matt O'Riley | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Emerson Palmieri | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 2 |
| Mason Greenwood | 89 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Igor Paixão | 61 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Amine Gouiri | 78 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | 29 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Amir Murillo | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Bilal Nadir | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Robinio Vaz | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Angel Gomes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Medina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Vermeeren | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey de Lange | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Chevalier | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Marquinhos | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 78 | 2 |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 3 |
| Willian Pacho | 64 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 66 | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 78 | 3 |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 1 |
| Vitinha | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 4 | 101 | 1 |
| Fabián Ruiz | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 69 | — |
| Nuno Mendes | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 4 |
| Gonçalo Ramos | 89 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 42 | — |
| Kang-in Lee | 26 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Senny Mayulu | 17 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Beraldo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Marin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noham Kamara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matvey Safonov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Ligue 1 table
Current standings · Ligue 1 . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 76 | LWWDW |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 70 | WLWDD |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 61 | LWDWD |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 60 | LLWWW |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 59 | WWLDL |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 59 | LWLWW |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60 | 54 | 6 | 54 | LLWDD |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 53 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 45 | LWDLW |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 44 | WWDLL |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 44 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 | DLLLD |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 36 | DDLLD |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 35 | WLDDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 34 | WWWLD |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDDLD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 23 | LWLLD |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 76 | -44 | 17 | DLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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