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Ligue 1Matchweek 18THE MATCH CENTRE

Toulouse vs Nice match centre

Toulouse badgeToulouseHome · 10 in league
WWWLD
Momentum↘ Falling60/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:1
UK time · Europe/London
Nice badgeNiceAway · 16 in league
LLWDD
Momentum→ Steady36/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Hidalgo7′
F. Magri45′
S. Hidalgo55′
C. Casseres74′
J. Vignolo80′
E. Wahi49′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ToulouseNice
6Corner Kicks7
12Fouls17
1Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
5Goalkeeper Saves4
388Total passes518
322Passes accurate438

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Toulouse 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Nice 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Toulouse

1/2Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Toulouse’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Nice

1/2Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Nice’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toulouse at home with Nice away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:52 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

ToulouseNice
17Matches played17
23Points earned18
6Wins5
1.5Goals scored / match1.2
1.3Goals conceded / match1.8
6Clean sheets2
5Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toulouse at home with Nice away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Toulouse

Confirmed formation3-4-3Carles Martinez
  1. 1G. RestesG
  2. 19D. SidibeD
  3. 4C. CresswellD
  4. 2R. NicolaisenD
  5. 22R. MessaliM
  6. 45A. VossahM
  7. 18P. DembaM
  8. 15A. DonnumM
  9. 11S. HidalgoF
  10. 9F. MagriF
  11. 10Y. GbohoF
Substitutes (9)

16 · K. Haug

44 · G. Bakhouche Piernas

35 · S. Koumbassa

12 · W. Kamanzi

23 · C. Casseres

77 · M. Sauer

8 · N. Schmidt

7 · J. Vignolo

31 · N. Edjouma

Nice

Confirmed formation4-3-3Claude Puel
  1. 31M. DupeG
  2. 92J. ClaussD
  3. 28J. BahD
  4. 36B. MantsoungaD
  5. 26M. BardD
  6. 22T. NdombeleM
  7. 41E. PereiraM
  8. 8M. SansonM
  9. 20T. LouchetF
  10. 11E. WahiF
  11. 21I. JanssonF
Substitutes (9)

30 · B. Zelazowski

2 · A. Abdi

37 · K. Peprah

99 · S. Abdul Samed

24 · C. Vanhoutte

47 · T. Gouveia

25 · M. Cho

44 · Z. Diallo

90 · Kevin

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Toulouse

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Guillaume Restes907.3—0—22—
Djibril Sidibé907.0—0—482
Charlie Cresswell907.3—0—571
Rasmus Nicolaisen827.2—01481
Rafik Messali907.2—0—24—
Alexis Vossah566.3—0—17—
Pape Diop826.7—01371
Aron Dønnum907.9—12382
Santiago Hidalgo758.320317—
Frank Magri828.2116111
Yann Gboho908.3—1—26—
Cristian Cásseres Jr.347.6101241
Julian Vignolo157.61023—
Seny Koumbassa86.7—0—9—
Mario Sauer86.7—0—4—
Noah Edjouma86.5—0121
Kjetil Haug———————
Gaëtan Bakhouche———————
Warren Kamanzi———————
Niklas Schmidt———————

Nice

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Maxime Dupé904.6—0—32—
Jonathan Clauss905.7—01591
Abdulay Juma Bah906.9—0—952
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga907.0—0—866
Melvin Bard706.2—01561
Tanguy Ndombélé456.9—0161
Everton Pereira675.6—0—24—
Morgan Sanson905.3—02452
Tom Louchet906.9—02341
Elye Wahi827.510114—
Isak Jansson456.3—0191
Tiago Gouveia456.2—01171
Mohamed-Ali Cho456.6—01151
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi236.3—0—3—
Ali Abdi205.9—0—112
Charles Vanhoutte86.9—0—101
Bartosz Żelazowski———————
Kojo Peprah Oppong———————
Salis Abdul Samed———————
Zoumana Diallo———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Ligue 1 table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Ligue 1 . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain34244674294576
LWWDW
2Lens34224866353170
WLWDD
3Lille34187952371561
LWDWD
4Lyon341861053401360
LLWWW
5Marseille341851163451859
WWLDL
6Rennes3417895950959
LWLWW
7Monaco34166126054654
LLWDD
8Strasbourg341581158471153
WWDLW
9Lorient341112114851-345
LWDLW
10Toulouse33128134746144
WWDLL
11Paris FC341111124750-344
WLWLW
12Stade Brestois 2934109154355-1239
DLLLD
13Angers3499162948-1936
DDLLD
14Le Havre34714133244-1235
WLDDD
15Auxerre34810163444-1034
WWWLD
16Nice34711163760-2332
WDDLD
17Nantes3358202952-2323
LWLLD
18Metz3438233276-4417
DLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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