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Ligue 1Matchweek 19THE MATCH CENTRE

Lille vs Strasbourg match centre

Lille badgeLilleHome · 3 in league
WLLLL
Momentum↘ Falling14/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:4
UK time · Europe/London
Strasbourg badgeStrasbourgAway · 8 in league
WWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising87/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Fernandez-Pardo90′
J. Panichelli25′
J. Enciso26′
M. Godo58′
M. Godo72′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
LilleStrasbourg
8Corner Kicks1
11Fouls13
2Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves5
413Total passes483
353Passes accurate422

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lille 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Strasbourg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Lille

0/3Wins
0.3Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Lille’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Strasbourg

1/1Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Strasbourg’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Strasbourg

1 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 1
Both teams scored1 of 1

Only a few results are available.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lille at home with Strasbourg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:39 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

LilleStrasbourg
18Matches played18
32Points earned27
10Wins8
1.9Goals scored / match1.6
1.4Goals conceded / match1.3
5Clean sheets7
6Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lille at home with Strasbourg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lille

Confirmed formation5-4-1Bruno Genesio
  1. 1B. OzerG
  2. 22T. SantosD
  3. 3N. NgoyD
  4. 18C. MbembaD
  5. 23A. MandiD
  6. 15R. PerraudD
  7. 8E. MbappeM
  8. 17N. MukauM
  9. 32A. BouaddiM
  10. 7M. Fernandez-PardoM
  11. 9O. GiroudF
Substitutes (9)

16 · A. Bodart

4 · Alexsandro

12 · T. Meunier

24 · C. Verdonk

39 · L. Baret

42 · S. Boussadia

14 · M. Broholm

27 · F. Correia

35 · S. Diaoune

Strasbourg

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gary O'Neil
  1. 39M. PendersG
  2. 22G. DoueD
  3. 23M. SarrD
  4. 6I. DoukoureD
  5. 3B. ChilwellD
  6. 32V. BarcoM
  7. 29S. El MourabetM
  8. 7D. MoreiraM
  9. 19J. EncisoM
  10. 20M. GodoM
  11. 9J. PanichelliF
Substitutes (9)

1 · K. Johnsson

2 · A. Omobamidele

24 · L. Hogsberg

11 · S. Nanasi

16 · K. Paez

42 · A. Ouattara

83 · R. Luis

25 · G. Yassine

27 · S. Amo-Ameyaw

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lille

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Berke Özer905.5—0—32—
Tiago Santos696.2—0—191
Nathan Ngoy906.2—01641
Chancel Mbemba905.9—0148—
Aïssa Mandi696.2—0—411
Romain Perraud695.6—0124—
Ethan Mbappé876.6—03261
Ngal'ayel Mukau906.2—01271
Ayyoub Bouaddi906.7—01454
Matías Fernández907.210229—
Olivier Giroud806.2—0410—
Calvin Verdonk216.6—0—192
Thomas Meunier216.3—0—14—
Soriba Diaoune216.5—0371
Félix Correia106.9—0—7—
Marius Sivertsen Broholm86.6—1—2—
Arnaud Bodart———————
Alexsandro Ribeiro———————
Saad Boussadia———————
Lilian Baret———————

Strasbourg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Penders908.0—0—56—
Guéla Doué767.3—1—362
Mamadou Sarr906.6—0—75—
Ismael Doukouré906.9—0—502
Ben Chilwell907.0—0—403
Valentín Barco907.7—0—583
Samir El Mourabet616.6—0—332
Diego Moreira766.9—12281
Julio Enciso769.2115161
Martial Godo908.520218—
Joaquin Panichelli878.2112244
Abdoul Ouattara296.3—0120—
Sebastian Nanasi146.5—0—5—
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw146.0—0—4—
Rafael Luis146.3—0—161
Gessime Yassine86.3—0—2—
Karl-Johan Johnsson———————
Andrew Omobamidele———————
Lucas Høgsberg———————
Kendry Páez———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Ligue 1 table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Ligue 1 . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain34244674294576
LWWDW
2Lens34224866353170
WLWDD
3Lille34187952371561
LWDWD
4Lyon341861053401360
LLWWW
5Marseille341851163451859
WWLDL
6Rennes3417895950959
LWLWW
7Monaco34166126054654
LLWDD
8Strasbourg341581158471153
WWDLW
9Lorient341112114851-345
LWDLW
10Toulouse33128134746144
WWDLL
11Paris FC341111124750-344
WLWLW
12Stade Brestois 2934109154355-1239
DLLLD
13Angers3499162948-1936
DDLLD
14Le Havre34714133244-1235
WLDDD
15Auxerre34810163444-1034
WWWLD
16Nice34711163760-2332
WDDLD
17Nantes3358202952-2323
LWLLD
18Metz3438233276-4417
DLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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