Lens
3/4Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Lens’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 20THE MATCH CENTRELens vs Le Havre match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Aguilar45′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LensLe Havre
2.140Expected goals · API-Football0.470
3Shots on target2
15Total Shots8
54%Ball Possession46%
4Corner Kicks3
20Fouls10
1Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves2
472Total passes406
399Passes accurate316
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lens 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Le Havre 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Le Havre
0/4Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Le Havre’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lens
4 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 4
Both teams scored2 of 4
Only a few results are available.
Le Havre
4 matchesResults0 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals1 of 4
Both teams scored2 of 4
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lens at home with Le Havre away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
LensLe Havre
19Matches played19
43Points earned20
14Wins4
1.7Goals scored / match0.9
0.8Goals conceded / match1.3
7Clean sheets6
4Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lens at home with Le Havre away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lens
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Pierre Sage
- 40
R. RisserG - 32
K. AntonioD - 25
I. GaniouD - 20
M. SarrD - 2
R. AguilarM - 8
M. SangareM - 28
A. ThomassonM - 14
M. UdolM - 10
F. ThauvinF - 22
W. SaidF - 11
O. EdouardF
Substitutes (9)
1 · M. Gorgelin
4 · N. Celik
23 · S. Abdulhamid
5 · A. Bulatovic
21 · A. Haidara
26 · A. Bermont
7 · F. Sotoca
19 · A. Sima
38 · R. Fofana
Le Havre
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Didier Digard
- 77
L. Mpasi-NzauG - 29
S. ZagadouD - 15
A. SekoD - 93
A. SanganteD - 7
L. NegoM - 19
L. Gourna-DouathM - 26
S. EbonogM - 18
Y. ZouaouiM - 14
R. NdiayeF - 45
I. SoumareF - 17
S. BoufalF
Substitutes (9)
99 · M. Diaw
13 · F. Doucoure
32 · T. Pembele
8 · Y. Kechta
78 · D. N. Mosengo
11 · G. Kyeremeh
10 · F. Mambimbi
20 · N. Obougou
33 · K. Quetant
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lens
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Risser | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Kyllian Antonio | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 3 |
| Ismaelo Ganiou | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Malang Sarr | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 53 | 1 |
| Ruben Aguilar | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 3 |
| Mamadou Sangare | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 77 | 5 |
| Adrien Thomasson | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 3 |
| Matthieu Udol | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| Florian Thauvin | 89 | 8.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 50 | 1 |
| Wesley Saïd | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | 1 |
| Odsonne Édouard | 74 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| Rayan Fofana | 16 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Abdallah Sima | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Florian Sotoca | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Mathieu Gorgelin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nidal Čelik | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saud Abdulhamid | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Bermont | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrija Bulatovic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Haidara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Le Havre
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel M'Pasi | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Stephan Zagadou | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Ayumu Seko | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 2 |
| Arouna Sangante | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 2 |
| Loic Négo | 78 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Lucas Gourna-Douath | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 49 | 1 |
| Simon Ebonog | 89 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Yanis Zouaoui | 70 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Rassoul Ndiaye | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Issa Soumaré | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | — |
| Sofiane Boufal | 69 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Daren Nbenbege Mosengo | 31 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Noam Obougou Jacquet | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Timothee Pembele | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Fodé Doucouré | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 |
| Kenny Quetant | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Felix Mambimbi | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 2 |
| Mory Diaw | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Godson Kyeremeh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yassine Kechta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Ligue 1 table
Current standings · Ligue 1 . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 76 | LWWDW |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 70 | WLWDD |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 61 | LWDWD |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 60 | LLWWW |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 59 | WWLDL |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 59 | LWLWW |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60 | 54 | 6 | 54 | LLWDD |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 53 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 45 | LWDLW |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 44 | WWDLL |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 44 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 | DLLLD |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 36 | DDLLD |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 35 | WLDDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 34 | WWWLD |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDDLD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 23 | LWLLD |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 76 | -44 | 17 | DLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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