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BundesligaMatchweek 18THE MATCH CENTRE

1. FC Köln vs FSV Mainz 05 match centre

1. FC Köln badge1. FC KölnHome · 14 in league
LLWDD
Momentum→ Steady36/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
FSV Mainz 05 badgeFSV Mainz 05Away · 10 in league
DWDDW
Momentum→ Steady62/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Ache57′
R. Ache85′
S. Bell29′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
1. FC KölnFSV Mainz 05
9Corner Kicks5
6Fouls10
4Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
5Goalkeeper Saves4
472Total passes294
371Passes accurate196

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

1. FC Köln 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FSV Mainz 05 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FSV Mainz 05

1/1Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

1. FC Köln

0 matches
Oldest newest
Results0 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game—
Goals conceded per game—
Games with 3+ goals—
Both teams scored—

Only a few results are available.

See results

FSV Mainz 05

1 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 1
Both teams scored1 of 1

Only a few results are available.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare 1. FC Köln at home with FSV Mainz 05 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:39 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

1. FC KölnFSV Mainz 05
17Matches played17
17Points earned12
4Wins2
1.5Goals scored / match1.0
1.7Goals conceded / match1.7
2Clean sheets1
3Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares 1. FC Köln at home with FSV Mainz 05 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

1. FC Köln

Confirmed formation3-4-3Lukas Kwasniok
  1. 1M. SchwabeG
  2. 28S. SebulonsenD
  3. 22J. Simpson-PuseyD
  4. 39C. OzkacarD
  5. 37L. MainaM
  6. 6E. MartelM
  7. 18I. JohannessonM
  8. 17A. Castro-MontesM
  9. 16J. KaminskiF
  10. 30M. BulterF
  11. 13S. El MalaF
Substitutes (9)

20 · R. Zieler

33 · R. van den Berg

32 · K. Lund

29 · J. Thielmann

11 · F. Kainz

5 · T. Krauss

40 · F. Schenten

9 · R. Ache

7 · L. Waldschmidt

FSV Mainz 05

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Urs Fischer
  1. 33D. BatzG
  2. 31D. KohrD
  3. 16S. BellD
  4. 48K. PotulskiD
  5. 6K. SanoM
  6. 21D. da CostaM
  7. 8P. NebelM
  8. 7Lee Jae-SungM
  9. 30S. WidmerM
  10. 26SilasF
  11. 20P. TietzF
Substitutes (9)

1 · L. Riess

5 · M. Leitsch

9 · A. Nordin

15 · L. Maloney

24 · S. Kawasaki

11 · A. Sieb

14 · W. Boving

36 · F. Moreno Fell

37 · B. Bobzien

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

1. FC Köln

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marvin Schwäbe907.3—0—46—
Sebastian Sebulonsen906.9—0—541
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey907.3—0—581
Cenk Özkaçar456.3—0—31—
Linton Maina736.3—0121—
Eric Martel456.7—0—252
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson457.2—0—241
Alessio Castro-Montes837.7—1—582
Jakub Kamiński906.6—01362
Marius Bülter905.9—0520—
Said El Mala907.3—04283
Kristoffer Lund456.6—0—24—
Tom Krauß456.9—0—23—
Ragnar Ache458.920315—
Luca Waldschmidt176.9—0—8—
Jan Thielmann136.9—0—2—
Ron-Robert Zieler———————
Rav van den Berg———————
Florian Kainz———————
Fynn Schenten———————

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Batz907.2—0—32—
Dominik Kohr906.2—0—332
Stefan Bell748.2101261
Kacper Potulski906.9—01193
Kaishu Sano896.7—0—271
Danny da Costa907.9—11214
Paul Nebel896.2—0—293
Jae-sung Lee746.2—0—181
Silvan Widmer906.3—01241
Silas616.3—029—
Phillip Tietz906.7—0334—
Armindo Sieb296.9—0184
Lennard Maloney167.0—0—53
William Bøving166.7—0—5—
Arnaud Nordin1——0—2—
Fabio Moreno Fell1——0—1—
Lasse Riess———————
Maxim Leitsch———————
Sota Kawasaki———————
Ben Justus Bobzien———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bayern München342851122368689
WWDWW
2Borussia Dortmund34227570343673
WWLWL
3RB Leipzig34205966471965
LWLWW
4VfB Stuttgart34188871492262
DWDDL
51899 Hoffenheim34187965521361
LWDWW
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968472159
DLWWL
7SC Freiburg34138135157-647
WLDLW
8Eintracht Frankfurt341111126165-444
DLLDL
9FC Augsburg34127154561-1643
LWWDW
10FSV Mainz 05341010144453-940
WLWLD
11Union Berlin34109154458-1439
WWDLL
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34911144253-1138
WLWDD
13Hamburger SV34911144054-1438
DWWLL
141. FC Köln34711164963-1432
LLDLD
15Werder Bremen3488183760-2332
LLLDW
16VfL Wolfsburg3478194569-2429
WLDDW
171. FC Heidenheim3468204172-3126
LWDWL
18FC St. Pauli3468202960-3126
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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